SP - Miami Marlins
- Age 30
- Bats: R
- Throws: R
2026 Outlook
- Draft Rank (ECR)
- P #46
- Best / Worst
- #29 / #106
- ADP
- #164
Eligibility
- Yahoo
- SP
- ESPN
- SP
- CBS
- SP
Availability
Sandy Alcantara's 2025 season was a clear step back from his Cy Young peak, as his ERA ballooned to 5.36 with a diminished 19.1% strikeout rate and a career-worst 45.1% hard-hit rate allowed. His average exit velocity spiked to 90.6 mph, and his ground-ball rate dipped under 47%, a troubling shift for a pitcher who has historically relied on weak contact and heavy sink. While his walk rate (7.7%) remained manageable, the combination of louder contact and fewer whiffs led to a 4.28 FIP and negative run value metrics across the board. The 2026 projections expect some normalization — particularly in ERA and WHIP — but not a full return to his 2022 dominance. Without a rebound in strikeout rate or ground-ball lean, Alcantara profiles more as a volume-based SP3/SP4 than a frontline fantasy anchor. The innings floor still carries value in deeper formats, but managers drafting him as a bounce-back ace are assuming skills growth that hasn't yet reappeared in the underlying data.
