Availability
Robbie Ray rebounded in 2025 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.21 WHIP across 182.1 innings for San Francisco, earning an All-Star nod after an injury-marred 2023 and abbreviated 2024. While his 24.6% strikeout rate dipped well below his 2021 Cy Young peak (32.1%), he paired it with a manageable 9.7% walk rate and a reduced 2.9% HR rate, driving a solid .221 opponent average and .681 OPS against. The underlying metrics (3.93 FIP, 90.5 mph EV allowed, 45.1% hard-hit rate) suggest he's no longer overpowering hitters at an elite level, but he remains effective when commanding the zone. Looking ahead to 2026, projections point to stable mid-rotation production rather than a return to ace-level dominance. Ray's declining strikeout trend (from 32% in 2021 to sub-25% in 2025) caps his fantasy ceiling, but his ability to take the ball for 30+ starts and limit damage keeps his floor relatively intact.