Jacob deGrom

From 2021 through 2024, Jacob deGrom threw a total of 196 innings, so you can forgive all fantasy managers everywhere for not foreseeing the 172 2/3 innings that arrived in 2025. The 37-year-old started 30 games for the Rangers, ending the year with a 2.97 ERA and his calling card of a 0.92 WHIP, while striking out 185 batters. His strikeout rate was down to 27.7%, which is still pretty elite, but the lowest it had been since 2016. He also got lucky with an opposing batter BABIP of .230, which suppressed his ERA by about 40 points. His FIP was also the highest of his career at 3.64. Look, projecting Jacob deGrom at this point seems like a fool's errand because it is all about health. If he throws another 160+ innings, he'll probably be worth his fourth-round price tag, but I wouldn't bet on that happening.

DeGrom still has it despite all the injuries, as long as he stays healthy he is a BEAST

I bow down to one of the great pitchers of this millennium. But he just turned 38, and has only started more than 15 games once in the past 6 years (last year). And while the 2.97 ERA looks great, he was greatly aided by a .230 BABIP. His (more than respectable) 3.64 FIP is more indicative of the pitcher he was last year, and will be in his age 38 season, making him a pass for me at his current ADP.