Luis Castillo

Luis Castillo

SP - CIN
Age: 26Bats: RThrows: R

Next Game

CIN @ MIL
Mon, 7/22 8:10pm
Matchup (?) N/A
Rank P #14
Projection (?) 0 pts

Ownership

 
Yahoo
89%
 
ESPN
99%

Eligibility

Yahoo SP
ESPN SP
CBS SP

Castillo has picked up right where he left off last September, when he began dominating hitters. He is generating more swings-and-misses than he did in his first two Big League seasons, providing confidence that the breakout is real. His high walk rate is a little concerning, but Castillo is here to stay as an upper-tier fantasy starter.

One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA because of an atrocious start. This time, he has dominated out of the gate, compiling a 2.29 ERA and 28.8 K% through 18 turns. The elevated 12.3% walk rate is concerning, but he's good at missing bats to significantly worry. No qualified starter has a lower contact rate, and Castillo is also fourth in swinging-strike rate and first with an anemic .184 xBA. He's looking a lot like the stud who posted a 2.44 ERA after the All-Star break last year, so consider him a top-20 starter with legitimate top-10 upside.

Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.