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Tevin Coleman Week 2 Outlook -

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Sep 17th 2020, 9:08am EDT

In the first game since Mostert's contract extension, we saw him total 37 snaps compared to 19 for McKinnon and six for Coleman. Not only was it the snaps, but more importantly, the opportunities. Mostert 20, McKinnon 8, Coleman 6. To be fair, the 49ers didn't even know if Coleman was going to play last week due to the air quality concerns colliding with his asthma. This Kyle Shanahan coached backfield took all sorts of twists and turns last year, so this week will mean a lot. If Mostert gets a similar workload, I'll be all in. The Jets are going to present a tough matchup, though. Since Gregg Williams became the defensive coordinator at the start of the 2019 season, they've allowed a miniscule 1,101 yards on 353 carries, which amounts to 3.12 yards per carry, which is the second-lowest mark in the league over that time. There were only six running backs who totaled at least 15 carries against them last year, and all of those running backs finished as the RB20 or better, so that's the magic number. It is worth noting that the Jets defense has lost some of their key playmakers over the last few months as linebacker C.J. Mosley opted out, they traded away safety Jamal Adams, and now linebacker Avery Williamson was forced to miss Week 1 with a hamstring injury. This is strength against strength, but I'm guessing the 49ers run game will prevail, even if it's nothing massive. Mostert comes with some risk of this backfield returning to 2019 form but should probably be played as a high-end RB3 until proven otherwise. It helps knowing he saw five targets last week due to all the injuries to receivers, which raises his floor. Coleman didn't play enough snaps to even consider him this week, though as we've seen before, things can change quickly. Fortunately, the matchup is bad enough where you don't even need to consider him. McKinnon also saw five targets last week, a number that can actually increase in Week 2 considering how good the Jets are against the run. There were 17 running backs who totaled 20-plus receiving yards against the Jets last year, including 10 who totaled at least 36 receiving yards. If you're looking for a last-minute replacement for someone like Le'Veon Bell, McKinnon is in the RB4 conversation.

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