Justin Herbert Week 14 Outlook - Falcons at Chargers

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 10th 2020, 8:43am EST

If there's a silver lining to Herbert's performance last week, it's that it was the week before the fantasy playoffs. Believe me, you probably wouldn't have been there without him. That was just the second time all year he's finished worse than QB14, which is simply remarkable for a rookie. Herbert has now thrown 154 pass attempts over the last three weeks, which is great news for his follow-up performance to that bad game. When an opponent takes an offensive snap against the Falcons, it nets an average of 1.60 PPR points, which is the highest number in the league. It might not seem like much more than the league average of 1.44 points, but when you add in the 63.9 plays per game their opponents are averaging, it amounts to more than 10 fantasy points. So, when you see the Falcons have allowed a league-leading 23.7 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, you shouldn't be shocked. That's a full point per game more than the No. 2 team in that category. We all love it when quarterbacks throw for 300-plus yards, right? Well, the Falcons have allowed 300.7 passing yards per game on average. We've also seen Herbert rush at times this year, which is another positive of this matchup, as the Falcons have allowed 322 rushing yards (3rd-most) and six rushing touchdowns (most in NFL) to quarterbacks. That amounts to 68.2 fantasy points, which is the most in the league. There should be tons of plays in this game, too, as both teams rank in the top-six for total plays per game. I'm buying into Herbert bouncing back as a top-five option for the first week of the fantasy playoffs.