Josh Allen Week 18 Outlook - Patriots at Bills

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Sun, Jan 8th 2023, 12:05pm EST

We're getting skinny with a Josh Allen stack here. The Patriots' run defense has been stout, and the Bills' backfield usage unpredictable, so I'm fading Devin Singletary and James Cook and making the bet that Allen is the goal-line back we need. The Patriots have been tough against tight ends, and Gabriel Davis has never topped 42 receiving yards against this defense, so I'm limiting Allen to a pairing with his man Stefon Diggs. Allen ranks sixth in PFF passing grade, 12th in yards per attempt, and second in big-time throw rate (minimum 100 dropbacks). Allen faces a Patriots' secondary that has shown vulnerability recently. Since Week 12, they have been 30th in passing yards per game, 22nd in explosive pass rate allowed, and 26th in success rate per dropback.