A.J. Brown Fantasy Football Outlook (2025)

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Jun 12th 2025, 3:40pm EDT

Last year, Brown still managed to finish as a WR1 (WR12) despite being locked inside a passing offense that finished with the fewest passing attempts in the NFL (448). Brown remains an elite receiving option. Last year, he ranked second in target share (31.1%), fifth in receiving yards per game (83), second in yards per route run (3.22), second in first-read share (42.1%), and second in first downs per route run (0.152, per Fantasy Points Data). Brown's insane per-route efficiency has been a calling card during his career. I don't expect much if any, drop-off from that this season. Despite his amazing talent, Brown was 25th in targets per game. Philly's passing volume will naturally regress, so we should see more volume for Brown and the rest of these pass catchers in 2025. The only question is how much. Brown remains a locked-in WR1 for this season, with his ceiling and floor tied to Philly's passing volume.