Baker Mayfield Fantasy Football Outlook (2025)

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Wed, Jun 18th 2025, 4:24pm EDT

Baker Mayfield is coming off a career year as the QB4 in fantasy points per game. He led an offense that ranked eighth in pass rate over expectation. Mayfield ranked fifth in passing attempts, third in passing yards, and second in passing touchdowns. Mayfield's passing touchdowns could regress some in 2025, as he had 41 last year when he has never eclipsed 30 before. Now, that doesn't mean his passing touchdowns will drop back into the 20s, but I do expect him to finish somewhere in the mid-30s. Another area where Mayfield could see some regressing is in the rushing department. Last year, he finished with 378 rushing yards (10th-best) and three rushing scores (12th-best). Both of those figures were also career highs. I'm not trying to take anything away from Mayfield because he was studly on a per-dropback basis. Among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, he was seventh in yards per attempt and CPOE and second in highly accurate throw rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Mayfield should backslide in a number of categories this season, but he is still in a pass-happy offense, surrounded by an awesome cast of skill weapons, and is playing the best football of his career. Mayfield is a strong QB1.