Michael Penix Jr. Fantasy Football Outlook (2025)

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Aug 14th 2025, 1:02pm EDT

Michael Penix showed some promise in his brief cup of coffee as the starter last year, but he'll need to continue to hone his game if he wants to fulfill the hope that he can be a difference-making quarterback for Atlanta for years to come. In Weeks 16-18 last season, he averaged 15.2 fantasy points per game, which would have translated to QB23 for the season. He was extremely aggressive, ranking sixth in deep throw rate, fourth in hero throw rate, and second in aDOT. Among 47 qualifying quarterbacks last season, he ranked 16th in yards per attempt, 23rd in CPOE, 43rd in highly accurate throw rate, and 21st in catchable target rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Penix isn't a rushing threat, with no more than five rushing yards in any of his starts last year, so he'll have to rack up all of his fantasy scoring from the pocket. He'll definitely have plenty of spike weeks this season for the quarterback streaming crowd, but it's unlikely he will finish the year as anything more than QB2.