Tua Tagovailoa Fantasy Football Outlook (2025)

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Aug 14th 2025, 1:02pm EDT

Tua Tagovailoa's concussion history is well-known, so I won't be diving into that here. Anyone drafting Tagovailoa is well aware at this point of the risk that he carries weekly. Let's discuss what he did when on the field last season. Miami went with a conservative "get the ball out of his hands QUICKLY" approach last season. Among 40 qualifying quarterbacks last season, he had the lowest aDOT (5.9) and the second-lowest time to throw behind only Copper Rush (per Fantasy Points Data). While this Chad Pennington-esque approach hurt his receivers, it didn't impact Tagovailoa's fantasy output, as he was the QB13 in fantasy points per game. Among the previous subset of quarterbacks discussed, he also ranked 18th in yards per attempt, eighth in passer rating, tenth in CPOE, and first in highly accurate throw rate. Tagovailoa should be a strong QB2 this season. If he can manage a spike in passing touchdown rate in 2025, he might flirt with low-end QB1 production.