Tua Tagovailoa Week 15 Outlook - Dolphins at Steelers

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 11th 2025, 1:35pm EST

Since Week 10, Miami has taken the air out of the ball and skewed massively run-heavy. Across their last four games, the Dolphins have had the lowest neutral passing rate (44%), and Tua Tagovailoa hasn't attempted more than 23 passes in any game. It has capped the ceiling and dropped the weekly floor for Tagovailoa and all of the team's pass catchers. Since Week 10, Tagovailoa has managed double-digit fantasy points only once and hasn't finished higher than QB18 in any week. Add in that since Week 10, Pittsburgh has allowed the eighth-lowest success rate per dropback, the eighth-fewest yards per attempt, and the third-lowest CPOE, and Tagovailoa is a low-end QB2 not worth playing this week.