Jaylen Waddle Week 16 Outlook - Bengals at Dolphins

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 18th 2025, 1:35pm EST

Since Week 10, the Dolphins have moved to being a run-first team, and it has hurt Waddle as the WR28 in fantasy points per game since then. Since Week 10, his per-route numbers and market share have remained awesome, but the decrease in passing volume has lowered his weekly ceiling and floor. Across his last five games, he has had a 27.4% target share with 50.4 receiving yards per game, 2.38 yards per route run, and a 35.6% first-read share. That market share has amounted to only 6.2 targets per game. In that span, he has had only two red zone targets and seven deep targets. Add in a possible shadow from DJ Turner this week, and the uncertainty of Quinn Ewers under center and Waddle becomes a shaky player to start. DJ Turner has followed DK Metcalf (twice), Justin Jefferson, Romeo Doubs, Zay Flowers (twice), and Gabe Davis on 62.9-90.3% of their routes. None of those receivers surpassed 50 receiving yards in his coverage, and only Flowers scored a touchdown (in their second meeting).