Philip Rivers Week 16 Outlook - 49ers at Colts

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 18th 2025, 1:35pm EST

Before we get into last week's numbers, I want to say Philip Rivers surprised me. Considering that he hadn't played in the NFL in five years and suited up on short notice, he looked good. Did he look like a 45-year-old quarterback at times, moving around in the pocket? Yep. Would I like him to have more zip on some passes? Yep. Does that mean he can't play point guard for this offense right now? Nope. Last week, Rivers played point effectively with a 4.8 aDOT, a 66.7% highly accurate throw rate, and a 77.8% catchable target rate. Sadly, that amounted to only 120 passing yards, one passing touchdown, 4.4 yards per attempt, and a QB28 finish for fantasy. Rivers is a low-end QB2 again this week, but he should be able to manage the game effectively again. Since Week 11, the 49ers have allowed the 13th-most passing yards per game, the fourth-highest CPOE, and ranked 16th in yards per attempt. It should also help Rivers that during that span, this defense has had the third-lowest pressure rate.