Lamar Jackson Fantasy Football Outlook (2026)

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Wed, Jul 29th 2026, 8:54pm EDT

Yes, I'm lower than consensus with Lamar Jackson this season, but I fully acknowledge his upside. Prior to 2025, in his previous six seasons, he logged three inside as the QB3 or higher in fantasy points per game (QB3, QB1, QB1), but last season's production was frightening. Last season, in Weeks 9-18, he was the QB20 in fantasy points per game. During that stretch, among 34 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranked 33rd in highly accurate throw rate, 26th in catchable target rate, and 31st in hero throw rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Jackson is also coming off a career-worst 26.8 rushing yards per game with the second-lowest yards per carry of his career. Can we chalk a lot of that up to his injuries last year? Yes, possibly, but even if he bounces back in this department, the question is how much. Jackson will be operating behind a reworked offensive line with a new offensive playcaller and with a questionable receiving depth chart behind Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. Could everything gel this season and he be the QB1 in fantasy points per game again? Yep, that's possible, but where he's being drafted is baking in that as a near certainty when it's not. I won't discourage anyone for taking the swing on Jackson in any draft, but I won't be in 2026 unless he slips quite far past his current ADP.