RB - GB
The Packers did add A.J. Dillion, who profiles as a bruising back who can steal goal-line work, but Aaron jones will be just fine. He doesn't need to score 19 TDs to be a RB1/high-end RB2 and he has always ceded some work to other RBs. The GB O-line was great last season and should be again this season. I also don't know if a RB has ever received less praise than Aaron Jones for his 49/474/3 receiving line. Draft Jones confidently.
Despite having Aaron Rodgers under center, the Packers decided to add a third-string running back and fullback to their roster on Day 2 of the NFL Draft. Is that worrisome to Jones' production? Maybe a bit, as Matt LaFleur seems to want to continue his timeshare ways. Jones is by far the most talented, so even if we were to see him dip down to 13-15 touches per game, that's enough for him to do damage, especially considering Rodgers targets him in the passing game. Jones is one of just two running backs (Alvin Kamara is the other) who've finished with a top-30 season over the last 10 years with less than 300 touches. Jones is one of the most efficient running backs in football, though the coaching staff keeps him in RB2 territory.
Was No. 2 RB in FAN PTS, and advanced metrics supported his effort, but you have to factor in negative TD regression after 19 trips to the end zone in 2019
Everyone is screaming "regression for Aaron Jones." I get it, he rushed for 19 TDs, you can't expect him to do that again. So, go ahead and take away 9 of Jones' 19 TDs, he still would've finished as RB9! Jones is a star entering his prime.
Unfortunately, the Packers went out and drafted a RB in the second round that profiles as a prolific goal line back in the NFL. Jones finished as the RB2 last season on the back of 16 touchdowns and that's unlikely to repeat in 2020. Jones has more competition for touches and may lose goal line work to AJ Dillon, but he's still one of the most talented RBs in the league and is a solid option as a RB2 for your roster.
Playing on the last year of his rookie deal, he's set to make just $735K in 2020 (none guaranteed). After leading all RBs in TDs with 19 scores and carrying his team deep into the playoffs, he's surely to be a candidate for a contract situation (good or bad). @FFHurcules
Aaron Jones was a monster last year, rumbling to a RB2 finish in half-PPR while logging 49 receptions and 19 total TDs. The Packers have since shown every indication they intend to commit to the run, sadly that commitment extended to drafting AJ Dillon in the second round. Ignoring how stupid the Packers draft was, it is reason for concern for Aaron Jones fans. While he's still clearly the lead guy in the Packers backfield, he simply isn't guaranteed close to enough carries to be a reliable fantasy option. To add to the issues, Dillon is a good goal line back and will likely chip into Jones's 46 red zone looks. Jones retains is high upside but is a risk I'd rather delay to the second round in all formats.
Coming off of a year with 19 TDs and limited competition for those TDs, I just an expect a natural regression. His receiving work should keep him in the mix to easily stay inside the top 10. Just another way to say that he's miles better than Jamaal Williams is their Rushing grade, versus Run Blocking grade on PFF. Williams struggles to produce little more than what his line gives him, while Jones has been elite all 3 years with average line play. AJ Dillon is coming for Jamaal, not Aaron.
Aaron Jones is still a RB1 coming off a season with 1,558 yards from scrimmage and 19 total touchdowns. There are two concerns, one is that he had only 236 rushing attempts and 49 receptions to accomplish those totals. Second, the Packers also added A.J. Dillon in the NFL Draft, which could take away some touches this season.
Drafting of Dillon can cut into his impressive TD production. Still should be the lead RB for the Packers but is in contract year and rookie could be phased in.
4.6 YPC on 236 carries. 49 receptions. A workhorse. Expect the TDs to come way down however. 18 is an anomaly. Let's shoot for 8.
25 years old - UFA 2021
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