A.J. Green

A.J. Green

WR - CIN
Height: 6' 4"Weight: 210 lbsAge: 30College: GeorgiaDrafted: #4 (1st Rd. by Cincinnati)

2019 Outlook

Strength of Schedule
WR Rank: 26th (hard)
Draft Rank (ECR) #27
Best / Worst #18 / #61
ADP #34

Ownership

 
Yahoo
99%
 
ESPN
99%
 
FanDuel
 
DraftKings

Can someone explain why everyone suddenly stopped believing Green to be a second-tier fantasy receiver. Every time he has played 16 games, Green has finished among the top 10 fantasy receivers. Sure, there have been two injuries in the last three seasons, but he was still dominant up until those. If you pro-rate his 2018 numbers out to a full season, we were looking at a pace of 90 receptions, 1,374 yards and 12 scores. Friends, that would have placed him sixth among wide receivers in fantasy scoring, just between Julio Jones and Michael Thomas. Don't stop drafting him as anything other than a WR1 until he stops performing that way.

I just can't draft Green this season. He's injured every part of his body, and is now coming off toe surgery. He hasn't been worth has draft stock since 2015, and there's just no reason to believe he will be this season. Mixon and Boyd are going to have major roles in the offense, so Green can have a good season, but he's not going to return to his 2012-2015 form. Now at age 31, the risk just isn't worth it for Green, even at his mid third round ADP. There are plenty of studs still available in that range, many of whom have just as much upside, but without the risk.

Most don't realize that A.J. Green is still an elite wide receiver. The reason he's not going anywhere near the elite receivers this year is due to his injury-plagued history. This decade, there are just four wide receivers who have posted WR2 or better numbers in a higher percentage of games than Green. Those players are Odell Beckham Jr., Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, and Michael Thomas. The difference? You can't get those guys in the third-round. If he stays healthy, he can help you win a fantasy championship.

The big concern with Green is becoming durability. He only started 10 games in 2016 and 9 games in 2018. When he is healthy, he is a WR1, but health is becoming a big question mark with him.