RB - NYJ
6'1 / 220 LBS / 20 years old, Iowa State, 4.39-second 40-yard dash and a 40.0-inch vertical jump.
He's RB22 on this board, which may be conservative considering the top RB selected in each of the past 7 NFL drafts have finished no worse than RB21
My highest-ranked rookie running back is Breece Hall. The Jets selected the Iowa State product at the top of Round 2, signifying his status as the team's locked-in RB1 for the foreseeable future. Hall's three-down skill set suggests he never has to come off the field, and the sheer volume he garners will vault him into redraft top-20 running back territory.
The Iowa State product totaled over 4,500 yards from scrimmage, 50 touchdowns and 80 catches over three seasons in the college ranks.
A workload of approximately 240 touches - based on ESPN fantasy analyst Mike Clay's projections and how many touches the cumulative Jets RB1 earned last season - would place Hall inside the top-15 considering every running back last season that hit that threshold finished inside that ranking.
2021 fourth-rounder Michael Carter had his moments as a rookie, but the Jets know he's just a No. 2 running back. Anticipate Hall to shoulder 15-20 touches per game based on the workload that Carter received last season when Tevin Coleman missed time.
From Weeks 7-9 with Coleman sidelined, Carter averaged 19 touches per game and a 66% snap share. Upon Coleman's return from injury in Week 10, Carter averaged 14 touches per game and a 55% snap share in the games they played together.
Hall is too high of a pick in the NFL Draft to come in as the backup to Michael Carter. I think Hall starts the season as the Jets RB1 and he would have RB2 / flex value as the starting running back on a young offense that is on the rise.
The first running back selected in the draft, and he should be a bellcow by midseason if not sooner.
Doesn't seem sexy, but Jets ranked 7th in RB tgts & 11th in PFF line grade before making vast improvements. Love t.
Breece Hall lands with the New York Jets and should get all the volume he can handle. Michael Carter was immensely productive when healthy and given the opportunity last year, but this type of draft capital speaks volumes. New York deployed inside and outside zone runs on 60% of their rushing snaps last year (per PFF). These run designs are Hall's bread and butter, as he registered a 36% missed tackles forced rate on outside zone runs in 2021 (per PFF). The Jets should have no issues springing him into space with an offensive line that was 11th in open field yards last season (per Football Outsiders). Hall remains a top ten dynasty running back.
David Montgomery RB-CHI
recommended by 68% of experts
Antonio Gibson RB-WAS
recommended by 58% of experts
J.K. Dobbins RB-BAL
recommended by 40% of experts
Elijah Mitchell RB-SF
recommended by 44% of experts
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