RB - JAC
Fantasy managers are in a bit of quandary when it comes to what to do with James Robinson. He smashed every expectation set for him last season and was a huge reason why many fantasy players were in their championships. However, the Jaguars turned over the entire front office and coaching staff that brought Robinson in. Additionally, the new coaching staff selected an explosive rookie in the first round, which doesn't look good for the second-year RB. With that being said, Robinson is not going to be completely relegated to the bench now. Etienne's role for this offense is going to be flexible, which means that we could see a lot of 2RB sets from this offense this season. It's just that Etienne is simply going to be receiving the clear majority of the touches in this case. Robinson still has value as a depth piece RB for your roster, but he most likely can't be relied on as anything more than a FLEX play week in and week out. My Very Early Projection: 102-469-4 rushing & 51-379-2 receiving.
While Robinson was on the field last year, the Jaguars running backs combined for 332 touches. Robinson accounted for 289 of them, or 87.0 percent, a number that doesn't really exist in today's NFL. He averaged 4.46 yards per carry, 5.73 yards per target, and scored 10 total touchdowns, which is solid, though nothing special. Enter Urban Meyer, who said they wanted to add depth/competition at the running back position. After adding Carlos Hyde, you knew Robinson would lose some touches, but it wasn't that much of a concern. After drafting Travis Etienne in the first round, it's definitely a concern. Robinson would be lucky to earn a 50/40/10 split with Etienne and Hyde, with Robinson being the 40 of the group. If we knock Robinson's touches into the 10-12 per game territory, you're not going to be trusting him as anything more than a shaky flex option.
James Robinson came out of nowhere and took over the Jaguars starting RB gig. He's got some new teammates who could affect his numbers in 2021. RB Travis Etienne was drafted in the 1st round. He's more of a change of pace back, but Etienne has some serious juice. Also new is Etienne's Clemson teammate, QB Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence is one of the most heralded QB prospects to come out since Andrew Luck. Finally, Tim Tebow joins the club as a TE. The reason I bring up Lawrence and Tebow is both could vulture TDs from Robinson down near the goal line. Tebow in particular could run a wildcat offense. That would kill Robinson's value if he loses those TDs. The pros are the Jaguars offense should finally have some sizzle in it. But that same sizzle could hurt Robinson's TD totals if things don't go his way. It all depends on his price tag on draft day. If you can get Robinson cheap, by all means take a shot. Just don't overpay. There are some storm clouds on the horizon in Florida.
Hyde isn't the worst addition, but the risk of a true GL vulture now lingers, and Hyde has history w/ Urban.
22yo 240 carries, a thousand yard season and ten touchdowns with 49 receptions. Robinson proved he's a great all around back. Losing time and receptions to ETN, is a devastating blow.
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|T-3.||Dalton Del Don||RB #34|
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