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Ito Smith

Ito Smith

Height: 5' 9"Weight: 195 lbsAge: 25College: Southern Mississippi

Week 13 Outlook

Sun 1:00pm ET
Matchup (?)
Week Rank (ECR) RB #46
Projection 3.4 pts


Expert Note
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Raheem Morris said they're "hopeful" to get Gurley back this week, though that's hardly a guarantee. With him out of the lineup Hill and Smith shared the touches, though it was Smith who was more efficient, finishing with 75 total yards and a touchdown on 16 touches compared to Hill's 55 total yards on 13 touches. We could sit here and talk about what this timeshare is without Gurley, but it won't make much of a difference in Week 13, as you really don't want to play either of them against the Saints, who've allowed the fewest fantasy points to running backs. The competition they've played isn't in question either, as running backs have averaged 6.9 fewer half-PPR points against the Saints than they do in non-Saints games. That's easily the biggest gap in the league. Of the production the Saints have allowed to skill-position players (63.0 PPR points per game), just 26.6 percent of it goes to running backs, which is the second-lowest percentage in football. There are just three teams in the NFL who've allowed fewer than 10.0 fantasy points per game on the ground to running backs. The Falcons, Saints, and Bucs. We know that touchdowns are important to production in this backfield by now, right? Well, the Saints have allowed just five total touchdowns to running backs this year, or one every 53.8 touches. Both of those are the best numbers in the league. They've allowed just 27 percent of carries inside the five-yard line be converted into touchdowns, which is the third-lowest percentage in the league, so even if Gurley plays, his touchdown-dependent stat lines are problematic. That should be enough for you to worry, but what about when I tell you they've allowed a league-low 1,049 total yards to running backs this year (95.4 per game)? When you factor in weighted opportunity, the Saints have allowed 8.6 percent fewer points per opportunity than any other team in the league. The average RB1 performance in 2019 was 17.2 PPR points. The Saints are the only team in the league who've yet to allow a running back hit that mark. Even if Gurley suits up, he's just a boring RB3 who will bust if he doesn't score. If he doesn't play, Smith would be the preferred option, as he at least gets passing-down usage, but he'd be just a low-end RB3/high-end RB4.

Player News
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Ito Smith totals 75 yards, scores, in Week 12

Falcons RB Ito Smith rushed 12 times for 65 yards and one touchdown while catching 4-of-5 targets for 10 yards in Sunday's Week 12 win over the Raiders.

Fantasy Impact

While Brian Hill got the start, it was Smith who brought the return for fantasy managers. Smith totaled 75 yards to Hill's 55. If Todd Gurley misses more time, Smith should be the Atlanta back worth employing on your fantasy team.

Recent Articles
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The Primer: Week 13 Edition (2020 Fantasy Football) photo
There are going to be times in your life where you feel like you're in a rut you'll never escape. Those times feel like ...
by Mike Tagliere in FantasyDec 3, 2020
ECRBestWorst# of Experts
Week 13RB #46RB #39RB #6316
Rest of Season RB #77RB #66RB #1032
Dynasty RB #83RB #70RB #969
(Week 13)
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Projections (Week 13)
Rush AttRush YdsRush TdsRecsRec YdsRec TdsFumblesPoints
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Statistics (avgs.)
Rush YdsRush TdsRecsPoints
Last Week651413.5
Last 3 Weeks23.
Season to Date12.
Game Log
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Game Log
OPPRush YdsRush TdsRecsPoints
Week 12vs. LV651413.5
Week 11@ NO5000.5
Week 7vs. DET0000
Week 6@ MIN8012.5
Strength of Schedule
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Strength of Schedule (2020)
Next Gamevs. NO32nd easiest opponent
Next 3 GamesLAC, TB, KC25th easiest opponents
Playoffs (?)LAC, TB, KC25th easiest opponents
Rest of Season--32nd easiest remaining opponents
Who Should I Start?
recommended by 63% of experts
recommended by 43% of experts
recommended by 33% of experts
recommended by 35% of experts
Most Accurate Experts
for Ito Smith
Most accurate experts for Ito Smith
1.Bart WheelerRB #39
2.Chris Raybon-
3.Matthew Freedman-
T-4.Chet GreshamRB #45
T-4.Robert Waziak-
View Overall Accuracy Rankings