Baker Mayfield for Patrick Mahomes II (2026)
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Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Baker Mayfield QB - TB ![]() Baker Mayfield QB - TB |   | |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts | Upgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| Rest of Season | # 14 | # 19 | - |
| Draft | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. DEN | at CIN | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 1 star matchup. QBs perform worse than their average vs DEN | This is a 4 star matchup. QBs perform a little better than their average vs CIN | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 295.7 | 282.9 | - |
| Avg Game | 21.1 | 16.6 | - |
| Avg Projection | 303.6 | 282.0 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 28 | 23 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Patrick Mahomes II | Baker Mayfield | Add Player |
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07/24 | #16 | #17 | - |
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07/24 | #11 | #13 | - |
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07/24 | #15 | #20 | - |
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07/23 | #7 | #16 | - |
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07/23 | #14 | #19 | - |
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07/23 | #13 | #21 | - |
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07/23 | #14 | #17 | - |
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07/23 | #17 | #20 | - |
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07/23 | #15 | #19 | - |
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07/23 | #9 | #19 | - |
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07/22 | #13 | #20 | - |
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07/22 | #15 | #20 | - |
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07/22 | #11 | #14 | - |
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07/22 | #16 | #15 | - |
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07/23 | #12 | #22 | - |
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07/22 | #9 | #14 | - |
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07/21 | #12 | #19 | - |
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07/21 | #15 | #20 | - |
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07/21 | #13 | #19 | - |
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07/20 | #14 | #19 | - |
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07/20 | #16 | #18 | - |
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07/20 | #13 | #19 | - |
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07/19 | #15 | #24 | - |
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07/19 | #14 | #22 | - |
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07/19 | #14 | #19 | - |
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07/19 | #17 | #13 | - |
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07/24 | #16 | #15 | - |
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07/18 | #14 | #18 | - |
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07/18 | #13 | #21 | - |
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07/17 | #15 | #19 | - |
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07/17 | #12 | #15 | - |
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07/17 | #18 | #19 | - |
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07/17 | #14 | #17 | - |
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07/17 | #13 | #17 | - |
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07/17 | #15 | #20 | - |
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07/16 | #14 | #19 | - |
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07/16 | #10 | #17 | - |
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07/22 | #15 | #16 | - |
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07/15 | #13 | #20 | - |
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07/15 | #14 | #16 | - |
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07/15 | #16 | #21 | - |
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07/15 | #20 | #17 | - |
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07/14 | #14 | #19 | - |
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07/14 | #11 | #19 | - |
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07/14 | #15 | #20 | - |
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07/14 | #13 | #19 | - |
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07/13 | #11 | #19 | - |
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07/23 | #18 | #19 | - |
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07/13 | #12 | #17 | - |
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07/12 | #14 | #19 | - |
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07/12 | #7 | #20 | - |
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07/12 | #21 | #22 | - |
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07/11 | #17 | #15 | - |
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07/10 | #15 | #20 | - |
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07/14 | #13 | #16 | - |
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07/22 | #12 | #20 | - |
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07/08 | #15 | #19 | - |
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07/07 | #10 | #16 | - |
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07/17 | #13 | #20 | - |
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07/06 | #15 | #20 | - |
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07/17 | #14 | #20 | - |
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07/05 | #10 | #19 | - |
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07/19 | #10 | #19 | - |
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07/17 | #16 | #21 | - |
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07/03 | #14 | #20 | - |
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07/01 | #13 | #21 | - |
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07/01 | #17 | #19 | - |
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07/21 | #16 | #20 | - |
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06/30 | #13 | #21 | - |
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07/07 | #17 | #5 | - |
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07/10 | #14 | #20 | - |
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06/28 | #11 | #18 | - |
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07/21 | #14 | #19 | - |
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06/28 | #16 | #11 | - |
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06/26 | #13 | #20 | - |
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06/25 | #15 | #17 | - |
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07/13 | #18 | #20 | - |
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06/19 | #9 | #15 | - |
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06/15 | #13 | #19 | - |
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07/23 | #11 | #18 | - |
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06/12 | #14 | #21 | - |
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06/08 | #15 | #21 | - |
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07/22 | #13 | #20 | - |
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07/21 | #14 | #18 | - |
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05/29 | #15 | #16 | - |
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07/15 | #13 | #18 | - |
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07/23 | #14 | #17 | - |
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06/04 | #10 | #19 | - |
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05/21 | #12 | #18 | - |
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05/18 | #13 | #21 | - |
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07/01 | #15 | #18 | - |
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07/23 | #12 | #19 | - |
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05/11 | #13 | #21 | - |
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05/09 | #13 | #20 | - |
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05/11 | #14 | #22 | - |
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07/20 | #15 | #20 | - |
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04/28 | #15 | #22 | - |
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04/27 | #15 | #20 | - |
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04/27 | #15 | #20 | - |
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06/09 | #15 | #20 | - |
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07/07 | #12 | #20 | - |
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05/20 | #10 | #16 | - |
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04/20 | #15 | #20 | - |
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07/09 | #10 | #20 | - |
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03/24 | #13 | #19 | - |
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03/09 | #13 | #18 | - |
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01/07 | #7 | #19 | - |
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07/15 | #9 | #19 | - |
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01/07 | #9 | #19 | - |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Baker Mayfield QB - TB ![]() Baker Mayfield QB - TB | |
| 2026 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. DEN | at CIN |
| Week 2 | vs. IND | vs. CLE |
| Week 3 | at MIA | vs. MIN |
| Week 4 | at LV | vs. GB |
| Week 5 | BYE WEEK | at DAL |
| Week 6 | vs. LAC | vs. PIT |
| Week 7 | at SEA | at CAR |
| Week 8 | at DEN | vs. ATL |
| Week 9 | vs. NYJ | at CHI |
| Week 10 | at ATL | BYE WEEK |
| Week 11 | vs. ARI | at DET |
| Week 12 | at BUF | vs. CAR |
| Week 13 | at LAR | vs. LAC |
| Week 14 | at CIN | at BAL |
| Week 15 | vs. NE | vs. NO |
| Week 16 | vs. SF | at ATL |
| Week 17 | at LAC | vs. LAR |
| Week 18 | vs. LV | at NO |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Baker Mayfield QB - TB ![]() Baker Mayfield QB - TB | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 554.7 | 540.6 |
| Pass Cmp | 353.3 | 348.5 |
| Pass Yards | 3,832.6 | 3,836.5 |
| Pass TDs | 27.4 | 25.9 |
| Ints | 11.6 | 12.5 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 60.4 | 57.7 |
| Rush Yards | 359.1 | 362.1 |
| Rush TDs | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 2.0 | 3.7 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 303.6 | 282.0 |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Baker Mayfield QB - TB ![]() Baker Mayfield QB - TB | |
| 2025 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 26.0 | 22.6 |
| Week 2 | 23.1 | 19.9 |
| Week 3 | 13.2 | 17.7 |
| Week 4 | 27.3 | 19.9 |
| Week 5 | 27.7 | 26.7 |
| Week 6 | 31.5 | 19.6 |
| Week 7 | 26.2 | 12.1 |
| Week 8 | 25.0 | 4.1 |
| Week 9 | 11.5 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | ‐ | 22.9 |
| Week 11 | 14.3 | 17.8 |
| Week 12 | 18.1 | 5.5 |
| Week 13 | 29.4 | 14.5 |
| Week 14 | 8.3 | 12.1 |
| Week 15 | 14.1 | 20.2 |
| Week 16 | ‐ | 13.7 |
| Week 17 | ‐ | 19.4 |
| Week 18 | ‐ | 14.2 |
| Total | 295.7 | 282.9 |
| Average | 21.1 | 16.6 |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Baker Mayfield QB - TB ![]() Baker Mayfield QB - TB | |
| Expert | ||
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | Patrick Mahomes' fantasy appeal has diminished in recent years, and now the nine-year veteran is trying to recover from a major knee injury. Mahomes tore the ACL and LCL in his left knee late in the Chiefs' Week 15 loss to the Chargers in mid-December. Reports say he has been rehabbing aggressively in hopes of starting the Chiefs' Monday-night season opener against the Broncos on Sept. 14, which comes three days before his 31st birthday. Even if Mahomes is able to return for Week 1, his mobility could be compromised. Mahomes' rushing production helped him get off to a fast fantasy start in 2025. Through eight weeks, he was QB1 in fantasy scoring at 25 points per game, fueled in part by 280 rushing yards and four TD runs. Mahomes finished the year tied for QB2 in fantasy points per game behind Josh Allen, after finishing QB11 in FPPG (six games minimum) in both 2023 and 2024. Kansas City didn't make any significant additions to Mahomes' pass-catching arsenal in the offseason, but the Chiefs added RB Kenneth Walker III, who could make Mahomes' life easier by providing the Chiefs with a credible running threat. | This is a crossroads year for Baker Mayfield, who went from QB3 in fantasy points per game in 2024 to QB19 last season. Mayfield's completion percentage fell from 71.4% in 2024 to 63.2% in 2025. He went from 7.9 yards per pass attempt in 2024 to 6.8 yards per attempt in 2025. Injuries may have been at least partly to blame. WRs Mike Evans and Chris Godwin each missed about half the season. WR Emeka Egbuka started fast, then hurt his hamstring and fell off dramatically. The Buccaneers' offensive line was banged up early in the season. Mayfield himself dealt with a shoulder injury. Mayfield had a good season with Dave Canales as his playcaller in 2023 and an even better season with Liam Coen as his playcaller in 2024. Mayfield had a disappointing 2025 season in tandem with Buccaneers offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard. Now he gets his fourth playcaller in as many seasons, new Buccaneers offensive coordinator Zac Robinson. A bounce-back season for the 31-year-old Mayfield is entirely possible, but we probably shouldn't assume he'll return to his 2023-2024 form. |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Our first report on Patrick Mahomes' return from injury came on January 15th, when he claimed that he is aiming to return for Week 1 with no restrictions. Given his mid-December surgery, Week 1 seems aggressively optimistic (less than 9 months). That's really the main question mark regarding Mahomes - when will he return and how effective will he be? Especially with his mobility. Mahomes ran a lot more in 2025 than he has in years past, hitting career-highs across the board (QB2 in PPG). But his passing has dipped in four consecutive seasons. And the injury makes it seem very much less likely we get Mahomes running nearly as much, especially to keep him out of harm's way. Low-end QB1 territory feels right for the Chiefs QB, weighing his early-season performance with a high return in the latter portion of the 2026 season. | Baker Mayfield was averaging 18.5 PPG Weeks 1-11 (QB10). Got hurt in Week 12. 14.2 PPG to end the season in the last 7 weeks. Mayfield seems like a logical bounce-back candidate in 2026, with better injury luck to Tampa's offensive line and WRs. Even so, use Mayfield's 2025 season as a reason to fade outlier passing TD rates. 7.2% in 2024 was well above his career average (5.0). Posted a 4.8% TD rate in 2025. |


