Caleb Williams for Patrick Mahomes II (2026)
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Caleb Williams QB - CHI ![]() Caleb Williams QB - CHI | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC |   | |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts | Upgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| Rest of Season | # 7 | # 14 | - |
| Draft | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | at CAR | vs. DEN | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs CAR | This is a 1 star matchup. QBs perform worse than their average vs DEN | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 323.3 | 295.7 | - |
| Avg Game | 19.0 | 21.1 | - |
| Avg Projection | 299.8 | 303.6 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 21 | 28 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Caleb Williams | Patrick Mahomes II | Add Player |
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07/21 | #7 | #13 | - |
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07/21 | #7 | #12 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #15 | - |
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07/21 | #7 | #13 | - |
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07/21 | #9 | #14 | - |
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07/21 | #7 | #15 | - |
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07/21 | #7 | #14 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #14 | - |
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07/20 | #10 | #16 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #15 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #13 | - |
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07/19 | #4 | #15 | - |
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07/19 | #9 | #14 | - |
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07/19 | #9 | #14 | - |
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07/19 | #10 | #17 | - |
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07/19 | #11 | #16 | - |
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07/18 | #8 | #14 | - |
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07/18 | #9 | #13 | - |
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07/21 | #3 | #12 | - |
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07/17 | #7 | #15 | - |
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07/17 | #10 | #12 | - |
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07/17 | #7 | #18 | - |
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07/17 | #9 | #14 | - |
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07/17 | #9 | #13 | - |
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07/17 | #7 | #15 | - |
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07/16 | #8 | #14 | - |
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07/16 | #4 | #10 | - |
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07/17 | #5 | #15 | - |
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07/15 | #8 | #13 | - |
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07/15 | #7 | #14 | - |
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07/16 | #8 | #7 | - |
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07/15 | #9 | #16 | - |
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07/15 | #7 | #13 | - |
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07/15 | #13 | #20 | - |
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07/14 | #7 | #14 | - |
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07/14 | #7 | #11 | - |
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07/14 | #8 | #15 | - |
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07/14 | #9 | #13 | - |
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07/13 | #6 | #11 | - |
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07/13 | #9 | #18 | - |
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07/13 | #8 | #12 | - |
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07/12 | #7 | #14 | - |
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07/12 | #6 | #7 | - |
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07/12 | #3 | #21 | - |
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07/11 | #10 | #17 | - |
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07/10 | #9 | #15 | - |
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07/14 | #10 | #13 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #12 | - |
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07/09 | #9 | #17 | - |
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07/08 | #4 | #15 | - |
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07/08 | #2 | #16 | - |
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07/08 | #3 | #11 | - |
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07/07 | #9 | #10 | - |
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07/17 | #9 | #13 | - |
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07/06 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/17 | #8 | #14 | - |
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07/05 | #5 | #10 | - |
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07/19 | #11 | #10 | - |
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07/17 | #12 | #16 | - |
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07/03 | #9 | #14 | - |
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07/01 | #8 | #13 | - |
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07/01 | #7 | #17 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #16 | - |
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06/30 | #7 | #13 | - |
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07/07 | #16 | #17 | - |
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07/10 | #8 | #14 | - |
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06/28 | #9 | #11 | - |
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07/21 | #10 | #14 | - |
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06/28 | #9 | #16 | - |
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06/26 | #7 | #13 | - |
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06/25 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/13 | #7 | #18 | - |
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06/19 | #8 | #9 | - |
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06/15 | #8 | #13 | - |
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07/02 | #9 | #11 | - |
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07/08 | #5 | #15 | - |
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06/12 | #10 | #14 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #14 | - |
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06/08 | #8 | #15 | - |
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07/21 | #7 | #13 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #14 | - |
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05/29 | #5 | #15 | - |
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07/15 | #9 | #13 | - |
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07/08 | #7 | #14 | - |
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06/04 | #12 | #10 | - |
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05/21 | #5 | #12 | - |
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05/18 | #9 | #13 | - |
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07/01 | #9 | #15 | - |
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07/21 | #9 | #12 | - |
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05/11 | #9 | #13 | - |
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05/09 | #8 | #13 | - |
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05/11 | #13 | #14 | - |
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07/20 | #9 | #15 | - |
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04/28 | #10 | #15 | - |
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04/27 | #9 | #15 | - |
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04/27 | #9 | #15 | - |
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06/09 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/07 | #11 | #12 | - |
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05/20 | #12 | #10 | - |
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04/20 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/09 | #9 | #10 | - |
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03/24 | #9 | #13 | - |
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03/09 | #10 | #13 | - |
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01/07 | #13 | #7 | - |
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07/15 | #10 | #9 | - |
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01/07 | #10 | #9 | - |
Caleb Williams QB - CHI ![]() Caleb Williams QB - CHI | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | |
| 2026 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at CAR | vs. DEN |
| Week 2 | vs. MIN | vs. IND |
| Week 3 | vs. PHI | at MIA |
| Week 4 | vs. NYJ | at LV |
| Week 5 | at GB | BYE WEEK |
| Week 6 | at ATL | vs. LAC |
| Week 7 | vs. NE | at SEA |
| Week 8 | at SEA | at DEN |
| Week 9 | vs. TB | vs. NYJ |
| Week 10 | BYE WEEK | at ATL |
| Week 11 | vs. NO | vs. ARI |
| Week 12 | at DET | at BUF |
| Week 13 | vs. JAC | at LAR |
| Week 14 | at MIA | at CIN |
| Week 15 | at BUF | vs. NE |
| Week 16 | vs. GB | vs. SF |
| Week 17 | vs. DET | at LAC |
| Week 18 | at MIN | vs. LV |
Caleb Williams QB - CHI ![]() Caleb Williams QB - CHI | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 547.5 | 554.4 |
| Pass Cmp | 326.2 | 353.3 |
| Pass Yards | 3,827.6 | 3,832.6 |
| Pass TDs | 27.4 | 27.4 |
| Ints | 9.3 | 11.6 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 79.0 | 60.4 |
| Rush Yards | 397.9 | 359.1 |
| Rush TDs | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 299.8 | 303.6 |
Caleb Williams QB - CHI ![]() Caleb Williams QB - CHI | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | |
| 2025 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 24.2 | 26.0 |
| Week 2 | 18.0 | 23.1 |
| Week 3 | 29.1 | 13.2 |
| Week 4 | 12.8 | 27.3 |
| Week 5 | ‐ | 27.7 |
| Week 6 | 19.9 | 31.5 |
| Week 7 | 5.7 | 26.2 |
| Week 8 | 12.8 | 25.0 |
| Week 9 | 36.7 | 11.5 |
| Week 10 | 25.1 | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 10.3 | 14.3 |
| Week 12 | 21.7 | 18.1 |
| Week 13 | 10.5 | 29.4 |
| Week 14 | 15.9 | 8.3 |
| Week 15 | 19.0 | 14.1 |
| Week 16 | 21.0 | ‐ |
| Week 17 | 23.0 | ‐ |
| Week 18 | 17.6 | ‐ |
| Total | 323.3 | 295.7 |
| Average | 19.0 | 21.1 |
Caleb Williams QB - CHI ![]() Caleb Williams QB - CHI | Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC ![]() Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | |
| Expert | ||
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | After an uneven rookie season in which he finished QB16 in fantasy scoring, Caleb Williams took a big step forward in 2025 under new Bears head coach and playcaller Ben Johnson, finishing QB6 in fantasy scoring. Williams threw for a franchise-record 3,942 yards. He boosted his yardage per pass attempt from 6.3 as a rookie to 6.9. He bumped his TD rate from 3.6% to 4.9%, while slashing his sack rate from 10.8% to 4.1%. There's still room for improvement. Williams completed only 58.1% of his throws last season, and he's a notoriously slow starter who sometimes slumbers through the first half of games. But Williams is a remarkable athlete capable of extraordinary throws. He adds some fantasy value as a runner (388 rushing yards and three TD runs last year), though he prefers to use his mobility to buy additional time to throw. Williams has a bright future, and with Johnson as his mentor and a pass-catching corps that includes TE Colston Loveland and WRs Rome Odunze and Luther Burden, a high-end QB1 fantasy season is within reach. | Patrick Mahomes' fantasy appeal has diminished in recent years, and now the nine-year veteran is trying to recover from a major knee injury. Mahomes tore the ACL and LCL in his left knee late in the Chiefs' Week 15 loss to the Chargers in mid-December. Reports say he has been rehabbing aggressively in hopes of starting the Chiefs' Monday-night season opener against the Broncos on Sept. 14, which comes three days before his 31st birthday. Even if Mahomes is able to return for Week 1, his mobility could be compromised. Mahomes' rushing production helped him get off to a fast fantasy start in 2025. Through eight weeks, he was QB1 in fantasy scoring at 25 points per game, fueled in part by 280 rushing yards and four TD runs. Mahomes finished the year tied for QB2 in fantasy points per game behind Josh Allen, after finishing QB11 in FPPG (six games minimum) in both 2023 and 2024. Kansas City didn't make any significant additions to Mahomes' pass-catching arsenal in the offseason, but the Chiefs added RB Kenneth Walker III, who could make Mahomes' life easier by providing the Chiefs with a credible running threat. |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Caleb Williams is poised to take another step forward in his second season with Ben Johnson. Chicago is littered with young talent at the skill positions. He is a dual-threat QB who already finished 2025 as the QB7 in PPG (19.1). Top-10 in fantasy QB1 finisher rate (50%). And that was despite him ranking dead last in completion rate over expectation (-7.4%). Another step forward could easily vault the former first overall pick into the fantasy top 5 among QBs. | Our first report on Patrick Mahomes' return from injury came on January 15th, when he claimed that he is aiming to return for Week 1 with no restrictions. Given his mid-December surgery, Week 1 seems aggressively optimistic (less than 9 months). That's really the main question mark regarding Mahomes - when will he return and how effective will he be? Especially with his mobility. Mahomes ran a lot more in 2025 than he has in years past, hitting career-highs across the board (QB2 in PPG). But his passing has dipped in four consecutive seasons. And the injury makes it seem very much less likely we get Mahomes running nearly as much, especially to keep him out of harm's way. Low-end QB1 territory feels right for the Chiefs QB, weighing his early-season performance with a high return in the latter portion of the 2026 season. |


