David Montgomery for Justin Jefferson (2026)
Should I Trade... ?
See if your team wins or loses with this trade View Trade Analyzer
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN  Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | David Montgomery RB - HOU  David Montgomery RB - HOU |  | |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB,WR ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would tradeUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| Rest of Season | # 11 | # 60 | - |
| Draft | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. GB | vs. BUF | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. WRs perform close to their average vs GB | This is a 4 star matchup. RBs perform a little better than their average vs BUF | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 117.5 | 142.9 | - |
| Avg Game | 6.9 | 8.4 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 1 | 11 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
|
|
Justin Jefferson | David Montgomery | Add Player |
|
08/03 | #18 | #49 | - |
|
08/03 | #9 | #57 | - |
|
08/03 | #9 | #52 | - |
|
08/03 | #10 | #60 | - |
|
08/02 | #27 | #36 | - |
|
08/02 | #10 | #60 | - |
|
08/02 | #18 | #66 | - |
|
08/02 | #9 | #60 | - |
|
08/02 | #14 | #60 | - |
|
08/02 | #10 | #47 | - |
|
08/01 | #9 | #64 | - |
|
08/01 | #9 | #66 | - |
|
08/01 | #10 | #47 | - |
|
08/01 | #14 | #40 | - |
|
08/01 | #9 | #49 | - |
|
08/01 | #9 | #55 | - |
|
08/01 | #10 | #45 | - |
|
07/31 | #10 | #52 | - |
|
07/31 | #11 | #64 | - |
|
07/31 | #11 | #60 | - |
|
07/31 | #10 | #57 | - |
|
07/31 | #9 | #55 | - |
|
08/02 | #7 | #45 | - |
|
07/31 | #10 | #66 | - |
|
07/31 | #7 | #66 | - |
|
07/31 | #9 | #52 | - |
|
07/31 | #2 | #108 | - |
|
07/30 | #9 | #52 | - |
|
07/30 | #14 | #60 | - |
|
07/30 | #14 | #64 | - |
|
07/30 | #11 | #57 | - |
|
07/30 | #7 | #49 | - |
|
07/30 | #48 | #119 | - |
|
07/30 | #10 | #71 | - |
|
07/29 | #11 | #60 | - |
|
07/29 | #14 | #55 | - |
|
07/29 | #7 | #47 | - |
|
08/01 | #10 | #57 | - |
|
07/28 | #9 | #64 | - |
|
07/28 | #7 | #63 | - |
|
07/28 | #7 | #49 | - |
|
07/27 | #10 | #63 | - |
|
08/03 | #11 | #49 | - |
|
07/26 | #9 | #55 | - |
|
07/29 | #11 | #57 | - |
|
07/25 | #14 | #52 | - |
|
07/25 | #9 | #60 | - |
|
07/24 | #10 | #63 | - |
|
07/23 | #18 | #77 | - |
|
07/23 | #21 | #99 | - |
|
07/22 | #18 | #66 | - |
|
07/21 | #10 | #45 | - |
|
07/20 | #10 | #63 | - |
|
07/19 | #14 | #60 | - |
|
07/19 | #9 | #47 | - |
|
07/27 | #10 | #60 | - |
|
07/18 | #18 | #45 | - |
|
07/17 | #10 | #64 | - |
|
07/17 | #9 | #49 | - |
|
07/17 | #10 | #52 | - |
|
07/16 | #10 | #66 | - |
|
07/26 | #9 | #52 | - |
|
07/15 | #10 | #63 | - |
|
07/15 | #9 | #71 | - |
|
07/14 | #10 | #64 | - |
|
07/14 | #9 | #52 | - |
|
07/14 | #11 | #66 | - |
|
07/13 | #10 | #63 | - |
|
07/30 | #7 | #49 | - |
|
07/13 | #12 | #55 | - |
|
07/12 | #9 | #52 | - |
|
07/12 | #14 | #66 | - |
|
08/02 | #9 | #30 | - |
|
07/27 | #7 | #66 | - |
|
07/10 | #7 | #55 | - |
|
08/01 | #14 | #63 | - |
|
07/07 | #7 | #64 | - |
|
07/06 | #10 | #64 | - |
|
08/02 | #10 | #55 | - |
|
07/28 | #18 | #60 | - |
|
07/25 | #6 | #57 | - |
|
07/31 | #31 | #42 | - |
|
07/24 | #10 | #55 | - |
|
08/01 | #9 | #64 | - |
|
06/30 | #6 | #71 | - |
|
07/07 | #24 | #72 | - |
|
08/01 | #9 | #63 | - |
|
06/28 | #9 | #63 | - |
|
07/21 | #9 | #63 | - |
|
08/01 | #9 | #64 | - |
|
06/26 | #19 | #60 | - |
|
06/25 | #10 | #63 | - |
|
07/13 | #10 | #52 | - |
|
06/15 | #10 | #63 | - |
|
06/12 | #10 | #63 | - |
|
08/03 | #10 | #47 | - |
|
07/31 | #10 | #57 | - |
|
05/29 | #11 | #66 | - |
|
08/03 | #9 | #66 | - |
|
07/29 | #9 | #45 | - |
|
05/21 | #7 | #55 | - |
|
08/01 | #14 | #66 | - |
|
07/25 | #10 | #60 | - |
|
08/01 | #11 | #55 | - |
|
08/03 | #10 | #45 | - |
|
05/11 | #11 | #63 | - |
|
07/27 | #10 | #52 | - |
|
07/29 | #14 | #63 | - |
|
07/30 | #11 | #49 | - |
|
04/28 | #21 | #64 | - |
|
04/27 | #10 | #60 | - |
|
04/27 | #10 | #63 | - |
|
07/28 | #18 | #64 | - |
|
05/20 | #19 | #64 | - |
|
04/20 | #11 | #63 | - |
|
07/09 | #10 | #64 | - |
|
03/24 | #18 | #63 | - |
|
03/09 | #19 | #71 | - |
|
01/07 | #26 | #87 | - |
|
07/15 | #14 | #95 | - |
|
01/07 | #18 | #92 | - |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | David Montgomery RB - HOU David Montgomery RB - HOU | |
| 2026 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. GB | vs. BUF |
| Week 2 | at CHI | vs. CIN |
| Week 3 | at TB | at IND |
| Week 4 | vs. MIA | vs. DAL |
| Week 5 | at NO | at TEN |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | at JAC |
| Week 7 | vs. IND | vs. NYG |
| Week 8 | at DET | BYE WEEK |
| Week 9 | vs. BUF | at LAC |
| Week 10 | at GB | at CLE |
| Week 11 | at SF | vs. IND |
| Week 12 | vs. ATL | vs. BAL |
| Week 13 | vs. CAR | at PIT |
| Week 14 | at NE | at WAS |
| Week 15 | vs. DET | vs. JAC |
| Week 16 | vs. WAS | at PHI |
| Week 17 | at NYJ | at GB |
| Week 18 | vs. CHI | vs. TEN |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | David Montgomery RB - HOU David Montgomery RB - HOU | |
| 2025 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 10.8 | 4.3 |
| Week 2 | 8.1 | 12.1 |
| Week 3 | 7.5 | 28.4 |
| Week 4 | 12.6 | 1.2 |
| Week 5 | 12.3 | 17.2 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 6.1 |
| Week 7 | 7.9 | 3.9 |
| Week 8 | 7.4 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | 10.7 | 9.0 |
| Week 10 | 3.7 | 9.1 |
| Week 11 | 6.1 | 3.7 |
| Week 12 | 4.8 | 3.7 |
| Week 13 | 0.4 | 10.8 |
| Week 14 | 1.1 | 13.3 |
| Week 15 | 2.2 | 9.2 |
| Week 16 | 8.5 | 1.4 |
| Week 17 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| Week 18 | 10.4 | 5.5 |
| Total | 117.5 | 142.9 |
| Average | 6.9 | 8.4 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | David Montgomery RB - HOU David Montgomery RB - HOU | |
| Expert | ||
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data). A lot of the blame can fall at the feet of Minny's quarterback room last year, but not all of it, considering the per-route metrics as well as the fact that Jefferson was tied for the sixth-most drops. Yes, he was also 78th in catchable target rate, so 2025 was a mixed bag with some blame on both sides of the aisle. Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026. He could easily return to being a top 10 fantasy wideout as he has been every year of his NFL career (outside of 2025), but there's still some risk with Kyler Murray or J.J. McCarthy throwing him the ball this season. | David Montgomery now finds himself as the Texans' do it all workhorse for 2026. Last year, he was phased out of the Lions' offensive plans as the season moved along, which led to his RB32 finish in fantasy points per game. In Weeks 12-18, he was the RB43 in fantasy points per game with a 32.1% snap rate, 8.2 touches per game, and only 42.8 total yards per game. Montgomery still has the juice to produce as a workhorse this season. Last season, he ranked 30th in missed tackle rate, but he was 12th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). His receiving chops are also still alive and well, as he was also 22nd in yards per route run and 12th in first downs per route run. Many will worry that Montgomery will split Houston's backfield workload with Woody Marks this season, but I don't see that happening. Montgomery should absorb a workload close to what Joe Mixon saw in 2024. In 2024, Mixon ranked fifth in opportunity share, 14th in snap share, and 13th in carries among running backs, finishing with 281 touches. Last season, Montgomery bested Marks in explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, rushing success rate, yards after contact per attempt, and yards per route run. Legit, every per-touch metric that I care about. Montgomery is the superior back, even at this stage of his career, and he'll be a strong volume-driven RB2 that could flirt with RB1 production. |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Justin Jefferson's disappointing 2025 season was far more about quarterback dysfunction than any decline in talent. Even during a "down year," Jefferson still commanded an elite target share, while poor QB play and brutal touchdown luck tanked his fantasy production. The arrival of Kyler Murray gives Minnesota's superstar receiver a massive opportunity to rebound into the elite WR1 tier, where he has spent his entire career. Fantasy managers should treat Jefferson as a prime bounce-back candidate and one of the best values among first-round receivers in 2026 drafts. | |
| Chris Welsh FantasyPros | - #7 in Target Share at 30.1% | |
