Josh Downs for Justin Jefferson (2026)
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Justin Jefferson WR - MIN  Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Josh Downs WR - IND  Josh Downs WR - IND |  | |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop WR ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would tradeUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| Rest of Season | # 6 | # 49 | - |
| Draft | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. GB | vs. BAL | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. WRs perform close to their average vs GB | This is a 3 star matchup. WRs perform close to their average vs BAL | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 117.5 | 78.4 | - |
| Avg Game | 6.9 | 4.9 | - |
| Avg Projection | 170.9 | 96.6 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 1 | 11 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Justin Jefferson | Josh Downs | Add Player |
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07/21 | #6 | #54 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #47 | - |
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07/20 | #5 | #47 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #51 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #44 | - |
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07/20 | #8 | #51 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #45 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #48 | - |
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07/19 | #8 | #34 | - |
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07/19 | #5 | #33 | - |
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07/19 | #6 | #51 | - |
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07/19 | #6 | #47 | - |
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07/19 | #7 | #65 | - |
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07/19 | #8 | #50 | - |
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07/18 | #9 | #52 | - |
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07/18 | #6 | #53 | - |
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07/18 | #7 | #52 | - |
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07/20 | #8 | #58 | - |
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07/17 | #4 | #52 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #52 | - |
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07/17 | #7 | #48 | - |
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07/17 | #9 | #42 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #58 | - |
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07/17 | #5 | #47 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #58 | - |
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07/16 | #6 | #53 | - |
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07/16 | #5 | #41 | - |
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07/17 | #5 | #52 | - |
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07/15 | #6 | #50 | - |
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07/15 | #8 | #50 | - |
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07/16 | #9 | #35 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #41 | - |
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07/15 | #4 | #59 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #43 | - |
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07/14 | #6 | #49 | - |
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07/14 | #5 | #49 | - |
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07/14 | #7 | #35 | - |
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07/13 | #6 | #48 | - |
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07/13 | #4 | #52 | - |
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07/13 | #4 | #48 | - |
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07/12 | #5 | #48 | - |
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07/12 | #8 | #38 | - |
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07/12 | #5 | #50 | - |
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07/11 | #6 | #50 | - |
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07/10 | #4 | #52 | - |
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07/14 | #8 | #40 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #51 | - |
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07/09 | #5 | #48 | - |
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07/08 | #5 | #52 | - |
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07/08 | #1 | #60 | - |
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07/08 | #4 | #51 | - |
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07/07 | #4 | #52 | - |
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07/17 | #8 | #50 | - |
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07/06 | #6 | #50 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #50 | - |
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07/05 | #9 | #50 | - |
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07/19 | #3 | #49 | - |
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07/17 | #14 | #58 | - |
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07/03 | #6 | #51 | - |
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07/01 | #9 | #48 | - |
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07/01 | #6 | #48 | - |
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07/16 | #6 | #50 | - |
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06/30 | #3 | #52 | - |
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07/07 | #12 | #59 | - |
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07/10 | #5 | #48 | - |
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06/28 | #5 | #50 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #51 | - |
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06/28 | #5 | #49 | - |
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06/26 | #10 | #51 | - |
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06/25 | #6 | #50 | - |
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07/13 | #6 | #54 | - |
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06/19 | #22 | #75 | - |
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06/15 | #6 | #50 | - |
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07/02 | #8 | #53 | - |
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07/08 | #6 | #51 | - |
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06/12 | #6 | #49 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #48 | - |
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06/08 | #6 | #39 | - |
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07/17 | #5 | #46 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #47 | - |
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05/29 | #7 | #51 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #51 | - |
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07/08 | #5 | #52 | - |
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06/04 | #6 | #50 | - |
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05/21 | #4 | #61 | - |
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05/18 | #6 | #51 | - |
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07/01 | #7 | #48 | - |
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07/21 | #7 | #51 | - |
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05/11 | #7 | #51 | - |
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05/09 | #8 | #52 | - |
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05/11 | #8 | #52 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #52 | - |
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04/28 | #11 | #44 | - |
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04/27 | #6 | #58 | - |
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04/27 | #6 | #53 | - |
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06/09 | #9 | #51 | - |
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05/20 | #10 | #44 | - |
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04/20 | #7 | #52 | - |
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07/09 | #6 | #51 | - |
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03/24 | #9 | #56 | - |
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03/09 | #10 | #60 | - |
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01/07 | #13 | #58 | - |
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07/15 | #8 | #59 | - |
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01/07 | #9 | #53 | - |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Josh Downs WR - IND Josh Downs WR - IND | |
| 2026 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. GB | vs. BAL |
| Week 2 | at CHI | at KC |
| Week 3 | at TB | vs. HOU |
| Week 4 | vs. MIA | at WAS |
| Week 5 | at NO | at PIT |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | vs. TEN |
| Week 7 | vs. IND | at MIN |
| Week 8 | at DET | at JAC |
| Week 9 | vs. BUF | vs. DAL |
| Week 10 | at GB | vs. MIA |
| Week 11 | at SF | at HOU |
| Week 12 | vs. ATL | vs. NYG |
| Week 13 | vs. CAR | BYE WEEK |
| Week 14 | at NE | at PHI |
| Week 15 | vs. DET | at TEN |
| Week 16 | vs. WAS | vs. CIN |
| Week 17 | at NYJ | at CLE |
| Week 18 | vs. CHI | vs. JAC |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Josh Downs WR - IND Josh Downs WR - IND | |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 98.6 | 74.9 |
| Rec Yards | 1,301.3 | 722.2 |
| Rec TDs | 6.8 | 4.2 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Rush Yards | 5.5 | 4.3 |
| Rush TDs | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 170.9 | 96.6 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Josh Downs WR - IND Josh Downs WR - IND | |
| 2025 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 10.8 | 1.2 |
| Week 2 | 8.1 | 5.1 |
| Week 3 | 7.5 | 3.4 |
| Week 4 | 12.6 | 2.4 |
| Week 5 | 12.3 | 5.4 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 10.2 |
| Week 7 | 7.9 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 7.4 | 9.9 |
| Week 9 | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| Week 10 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| Week 11 | 6.1 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 4.8 | 1.0 |
| Week 13 | 0.4 | 4.4 |
| Week 14 | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Week 15 | 2.2 | 7.3 |
| Week 16 | 8.5 | 6.8 |
| Week 17 | 3.0 | 3.4 |
| Week 18 | 10.4 | 5.6 |
| Total | 117.5 | 78.4 |
| Average | 6.9 | 4.9 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Josh Downs WR - IND Josh Downs WR - IND | |
| 2025 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Week 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Week 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Week 4 | 11 | 5 |
| Week 5 | 11 | 8 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 7 |
| Week 7 | 10 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 11 | 3 |
| Week 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Week 10 | 12 | 2 |
| Week 11 | 9 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Week 13 | 6 | 6 |
| Week 14 | 4 | 5 |
| Week 15 | 8 | 5 |
| Week 16 | 8 | 9 |
| Week 17 | 5 | 5 |
| Week 18 | 11 | 4 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Josh Downs WR - IND Josh Downs WR - IND | |
| Expert | ||
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data). A lot of the blame can fall at the feet of Minny's quarterback room last year, but not all of it, considering the per-route metrics as well as the fact that Jefferson was tied for the sixth-most drops. Yes, he was also 78th in catchable target rate, so 2025 was a mixed bag with some blame on both sides of the aisle. Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026. He could easily return to being a top 10 fantasy wideout as he has been every year of his NFL career (outside of 2025), but there's still some risk with Kyler Murray or J.J. McCarthy throwing him the ball this season. | |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Justin Jefferson's disappointing 2025 season was far more about quarterback dysfunction than any decline in talent. Even during a "down year," Jefferson still commanded an elite target share, while poor QB play and brutal touchdown luck tanked his fantasy production. The arrival of Kyler Murray gives Minnesota's superstar receiver a massive opportunity to rebound into the elite WR1 tier, where he has spent his entire career. Fantasy managers should treat Jefferson as a prime bounce-back candidate and one of the best values among first-round receivers in 2026 drafts. | Josh Downs is good. PFF's 20th-highest graded WR in 2025. And for the second straight year...the Colts slot WR was hyper-targeted at a 24% clip. That led all Colts WRs and TEs in 2025. And he creates separation. Per Fantasy Points Data...Downs ranked 20th in average separation score. Downs has been limited because of a lack of high-end route participation, but a late-season route bump could suggest more of Downs in a full-time role in 2026....after the team traded Michael Pittman Jr. to the Steelers. |
| Chris Welsh FantasyPros | - #7 in Target Share at 30.1% | |
