Justin Jefferson for Kyle Pitts Sr. (2026)
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Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE - ATL ![]() Kyle Pitts Sr. TE - ATL |   | |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
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| Rankings | |||
| Rest of Season | # 11 | # 86 | - |
| Draft | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. GB | at PIT | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. WRs perform close to their average vs GB | This is a 3 star matchup. TEs perform close to their average vs PIT | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 117.5 | 122.8 | - |
| Avg Game | 6.9 | 7.2 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 1 | 19 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Justin Jefferson | Kyle Pitts Sr. | Add Player |
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08/05 | #18 | #84 | - |
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08/05 | #14 | #56 | - |
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08/05 | #9 | #86 | - |
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08/04 | #19 | #86 | - |
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08/04 | #50 | #96 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #94 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #76 | - |
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08/04 | #9 | #76 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #84 | - |
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08/04 | #18 | #76 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #91 | - |
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08/04 | #9 | #94 | - |
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08/04 | #11 | #94 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #96 | - |
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08/04 | #9 | #67 | - |
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08/04 | #11 | #76 | - |
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08/04 | #27 | #84 | - |
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08/03 | #9 | #76 | - |
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08/03 | #9 | #86 | - |
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08/03 | #10 | #86 | - |
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08/03 | #10 | #76 | - |
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08/03 | #10 | #96 | - |
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08/02 | #18 | #84 | - |
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08/02 | #9 | #94 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #110 | - |
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08/01 | #9 | #86 | - |
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08/01 | #10 | #94 | - |
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08/01 | #14 | #76 | - |
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08/01 | #9 | #76 | - |
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08/01 | #10 | #67 | - |
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07/31 | #10 | #96 | - |
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08/04 | #11 | #94 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #94 | - |
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07/31 | #9 | #96 | - |
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08/04 | #7 | #96 | - |
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07/31 | #7 | #94 | - |
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07/31 | #2 | #76 | - |
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08/03 | #11 | #86 | - |
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07/30 | #14 | #94 | - |
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07/30 | #7 | #76 | - |
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08/03 | #10 | #94 | - |
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07/29 | #14 | #94 | - |
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07/29 | #7 | #105 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #96 | - |
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07/28 | #9 | #76 | - |
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07/28 | #7 | #94 | - |
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07/28 | #7 | #84 | - |
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07/27 | #10 | #76 | - |
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08/03 | #11 | #84 | - |
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07/26 | #9 | #84 | - |
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07/29 | #11 | #86 | - |
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07/25 | #9 | #94 | - |
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07/24 | #10 | #76 | - |
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07/23 | #18 | #94 | - |
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07/23 | #21 | #94 | - |
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07/22 | #18 | #94 | - |
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07/21 | #10 | #76 | - |
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07/20 | #10 | #67 | - |
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07/19 | #14 | #86 | - |
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07/19 | #9 | #94 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #96 | - |
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07/18 | #18 | #96 | - |
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07/17 | #10 | #94 | - |
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07/17 | #9 | #76 | - |
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07/17 | #10 | #76 | - |
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07/16 | #10 | #86 | - |
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07/26 | #9 | #94 | - |
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07/15 | #10 | #86 | - |
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07/14 | #10 | #86 | - |
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07/14 | #9 | #86 | - |
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07/14 | #11 | #86 | - |
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07/13 | #10 | #94 | - |
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07/30 | #7 | #86 | - |
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08/03 | #13 | #95 | - |
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07/12 | #9 | #94 | - |
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07/12 | #14 | #76 | - |
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08/02 | #9 | #96 | - |
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07/27 | #7 | #94 | - |
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07/10 | #7 | #94 | - |
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08/01 | #14 | #76 | - |
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07/07 | #7 | #94 | - |
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08/02 | #10 | #94 | - |
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08/03 | #18 | #67 | - |
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07/25 | #6 | #86 | - |
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07/31 | #31 | #94 | - |
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07/24 | #10 | #94 | - |
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08/05 | #9 | #76 | - |
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06/30 | #6 | #94 | - |
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07/07 | #24 | #34 | - |
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08/01 | #9 | #96 | - |
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06/28 | #9 | #84 | - |
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07/21 | #9 | #76 | - |
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08/01 | #9 | #76 | - |
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06/25 | #10 | #86 | - |
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07/13 | #10 | #94 | - |
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06/15 | #10 | #86 | - |
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06/12 | #10 | #96 | - |
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08/04 | #10 | #63 | - |
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08/05 | #10 | #96 | - |
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05/29 | #11 | #96 | - |
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08/03 | #9 | #94 | - |
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07/29 | #9 | #96 | - |
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05/21 | #7 | #86 | - |
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08/01 | #14 | #76 | - |
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07/25 | #10 | #86 | - |
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08/01 | #11 | #86 | - |
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08/05 | #10 | #94 | - |
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05/11 | #11 | #86 | - |
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07/27 | #10 | #96 | - |
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08/04 | #14 | #96 | - |
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07/30 | #11 | #96 | - |
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04/28 | #21 | #86 | - |
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04/27 | #10 | #86 | - |
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04/27 | #10 | #76 | - |
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07/28 | #18 | #86 | - |
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05/20 | #19 | #96 | - |
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04/20 | #11 | #86 | - |
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07/09 | #10 | #76 | - |
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03/24 | #18 | #86 | - |
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03/09 | #19 | #86 | - |
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01/07 | #26 | #94 | - |
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07/15 | #14 | #96 | - |
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01/07 | #18 | #94 | - |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE - ATL ![]() Kyle Pitts Sr. TE - ATL | |
| 2026 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. GB | at PIT |
| Week 2 | at CHI | vs. CAR |
| Week 3 | at TB | at GB |
| Week 4 | vs. MIA | at NO |
| Week 5 | at NO | vs. BAL |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | vs. CHI |
| Week 7 | vs. IND | vs. SF |
| Week 8 | at DET | at TB |
| Week 9 | vs. BUF | vs. CIN |
| Week 10 | at GB | vs. KC |
| Week 11 | at SF | BYE WEEK |
| Week 12 | vs. ATL | at MIN |
| Week 13 | vs. CAR | vs. DET |
| Week 14 | at NE | at CLE |
| Week 15 | vs. DET | at WAS |
| Week 16 | vs. WAS | vs. TB |
| Week 17 | at NYJ | vs. NO |
| Week 18 | vs. CHI | at CAR |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE - ATL ![]() Kyle Pitts Sr. TE - ATL | |
| 2025 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 10.8 | 5.9 |
| Week 2 | 8.1 | 3.7 |
| Week 3 | 7.5 | 3.9 |
| Week 4 | 12.6 | 13.0 |
| Week 5 | 12.3 | ‐ |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 1.8 |
| Week 7 | 7.9 | 6.2 |
| Week 8 | 7.4 | 5.9 |
| Week 9 | 10.7 | 3.8 |
| Week 10 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Week 11 | 6.1 | 1.4 |
| Week 12 | 4.8 | 2.5 |
| Week 13 | 0.4 | 8.2 |
| Week 14 | 1.1 | 9.0 |
| Week 15 | 2.2 | 34.6 |
| Week 16 | 8.5 | 11.7 |
| Week 17 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| Week 18 | 10.4 | 5.8 |
| Total | 117.5 | 122.8 |
| Average | 6.9 | 7.2 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN ![]() Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE - ATL ![]() Kyle Pitts Sr. TE - ATL | |
| Expert | ||
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | Kyle Pitts entered the 2025 season with the reputation of being a perennial fantasy tease. The former No. 3 overall draft pick tried to rehabilitate his image with 88 catches for 928 yards and five touchdowns last year, good for a TE2 finish in half-point PPR fantasy scoring. Pitts scored three of his five touchdowns and had his only 100-yard game of the season in Week 15, when he erupted for 11 catches, 166 yards and three scores vs. the Buccaneers. It was Pitts' best season since his 1,026-yard rookie campaign in 2021. The Falcons don't have a lot of firepower at wide receiver beyond Drake London, so Pitts could very well be Atlanta's No. 2 target earner this season. And while the QB duo of Michael Penix and Tua Tagovailoa doesn't seem very appealing, it's worth remembering that Mike Gesicki and Jonnu Smith had the best fantasy seasons of their careers with Tua as their primary QB. | |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Justin Jefferson's disappointing 2025 season was far more about quarterback dysfunction than any decline in talent. Even during a "down year," Jefferson still commanded an elite target share, while poor QB play and brutal touchdown luck tanked his fantasy production. The arrival of Kyler Murray gives Minnesota's superstar receiver a massive opportunity to rebound into the elite WR1 tier, where he has spent his entire career. Fantasy managers should treat Jefferson as a prime bounce-back candidate and one of the best values among first-round receivers in 2026 drafts. | |
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data). A lot of the blame can fall at the feet of Minny's quarterback room last year, but not all of it, considering the per-route metrics as well as the fact that Jefferson was tied for the sixth-most drops. Yes, he was also 78th in catchable target rate, so 2025 was a mixed bag with some blame on both sides of the aisle. Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026. He could easily return to being a top 10 fantasy wideout as he has been every year of his NFL career (outside of 2025), but there's still some risk with Kyler Murray or J.J. McCarthy throwing him the ball this season. | Last year, Kyle Pitts had a tale of two seasons. Yes, overall it was a wonderful year as the TE5 in fantasy points per game and easily his best statistical season since his rookie year, but it was wildly different with Drake London in and out of the lineup. Without London, Pitts had a 26.7% target share with 84.4 receiving yards per game, 2.81 yards per route run, a 27.8% first-read share, 0.120 first downs per route run, and 19 fantasy points per game (per Fantasy Points Data). Those are all elite numbers, and if Pitts had put up those stats all year, especially the fantasy points per game, he would have been the TE1 for fantasy. The problem is that with Drake London active, Pitts had a 19% target share, 42.2 receiving yards per game, 1.43 yards per route run, a 20.2% first-read share, 0.093 first downs per route run, and 9.6 fantasy points per game. All of those per route metrics were still quite strong, but the fantasy points per game mark would have made Pitts the TE20 last year. With Kevin Stefanski in town and a passing attack that boils down to London and Pitts at the top alongside Bijan Robinson, the reality of Pitts' 2026 projection falls somewhere in the middle of all of this. He's a strong TE1 that still has top-five upside if Tua Tagovailoa and Michael Penix Jr. can give Atlanta at least league-average quarterback play all season. |
| Chris Welsh FantasyPros | - #7 in Target Share at 30.1% | |


