Justin Jefferson for Zay Flowers (2026)
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Justin Jefferson WR - MIN  Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Zay Flowers WR - BAL  Zay Flowers WR - BAL |  | |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop WR ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would tradeUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| Rest of Season | # 6 | # 14 | - |
| Draft | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. GB | at IND | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. WRs perform close to their average vs GB | This is a 3 star matchup. WRs perform close to their average vs IND | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 117.5 | 157.3 | - |
| Avg Game | 6.9 | 9.3 | - |
| Avg Projection | 170.9 | 161.6 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 1 | 12 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Justin Jefferson | Zay Flowers | Add Player |
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07/21 | #6 | #17 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #11 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #14 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #15 | - |
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07/20 | #5 | #19 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #11 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #14 | - |
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07/20 | #8 | #11 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #12 | - |
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07/19 | #8 | #13 | - |
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07/19 | #5 | #14 | - |
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07/19 | #6 | #14 | - |
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07/19 | #7 | #22 | - |
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07/19 | #8 | #16 | - |
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07/18 | #9 | #17 | - |
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07/18 | #6 | #15 | - |
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07/18 | #7 | #15 | - |
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07/20 | #8 | #11 | - |
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07/17 | #4 | #16 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #18 | - |
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07/17 | #7 | #17 | - |
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07/17 | #9 | #11 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #13 | - |
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07/17 | #5 | #13 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #13 | - |
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07/16 | #6 | #19 | - |
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07/16 | #5 | #8 | - |
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07/17 | #5 | #13 | - |
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07/15 | #6 | #16 | - |
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07/15 | #8 | #15 | - |
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07/16 | #9 | #6 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #13 | - |
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07/15 | #4 | #19 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #8 | - |
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07/14 | #6 | #16 | - |
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07/14 | #5 | #13 | - |
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07/14 | #7 | #17 | - |
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07/13 | #6 | #16 | - |
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07/13 | #4 | #11 | - |
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07/13 | #4 | #23 | - |
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07/12 | #5 | #11 | - |
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07/12 | #8 | #19 | - |
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07/12 | #5 | #18 | - |
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07/11 | #6 | #17 | - |
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07/10 | #4 | #19 | - |
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07/14 | #8 | #29 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #18 | - |
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07/09 | #5 | #13 | - |
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07/08 | #5 | #14 | - |
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07/08 | #1 | #20 | - |
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07/08 | #4 | #17 | - |
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07/07 | #4 | #17 | - |
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07/17 | #8 | #15 | - |
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07/06 | #6 | #19 | - |
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07/17 | #6 | #17 | - |
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07/05 | #9 | #25 | - |
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07/19 | #3 | #16 | - |
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07/17 | #14 | #18 | - |
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07/03 | #6 | #18 | - |
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07/01 | #9 | #16 | - |
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07/01 | #6 | #14 | - |
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07/21 | #6 | #8 | - |
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06/30 | #3 | #23 | - |
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07/07 | #12 | #11 | - |
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07/10 | #5 | #16 | - |
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06/28 | #5 | #13 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #19 | - |
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06/28 | #5 | #17 | - |
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06/26 | #10 | #21 | - |
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06/25 | #6 | #16 | - |
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07/13 | #6 | #16 | - |
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06/19 | #22 | #18 | - |
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06/15 | #6 | #16 | - |
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07/02 | #8 | #23 | - |
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07/08 | #6 | #16 | - |
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06/12 | #6 | #17 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #13 | - |
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06/08 | #6 | #18 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #13 | - |
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07/20 | #6 | #12 | - |
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05/29 | #7 | #23 | - |
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07/15 | #5 | #26 | - |
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07/08 | #5 | #19 | - |
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06/04 | #6 | #24 | - |
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05/21 | #4 | #22 | - |
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05/18 | #6 | #17 | - |
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07/01 | #7 | #14 | - |
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07/21 | #5 | #15 | - |
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05/11 | #7 | #17 | - |
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05/09 | #8 | #20 | - |
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05/11 | #8 | #19 | - |
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07/20 | #7 | #6 | - |
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04/28 | #11 | #24 | - |
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04/27 | #6 | #23 | - |
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04/27 | #6 | #27 | - |
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06/09 | #9 | #22 | - |
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05/20 | #10 | #20 | - |
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04/20 | #7 | #20 | - |
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07/09 | #6 | #17 | - |
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03/24 | #9 | #19 | - |
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03/09 | #10 | #20 | - |
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01/07 | #13 | #25 | - |
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07/15 | #8 | #18 | - |
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01/07 | #9 | #22 | - |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Zay Flowers WR - BAL Zay Flowers WR - BAL | |
| 2026 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. GB | at IND |
| Week 2 | at CHI | vs. NO |
| Week 3 | at TB | at DAL |
| Week 4 | vs. MIA | vs. TEN |
| Week 5 | at NO | at ATL |
| Week 6 | BYE WEEK | at CLE |
| Week 7 | vs. IND | vs. CIN |
| Week 8 | at DET | at BUF |
| Week 9 | vs. BUF | vs. JAC |
| Week 10 | at GB | vs. LAC |
| Week 11 | at SF | at CAR |
| Week 12 | vs. ATL | at HOU |
| Week 13 | vs. CAR | BYE WEEK |
| Week 14 | at NE | vs. TB |
| Week 15 | vs. DET | at PIT |
| Week 16 | vs. WAS | vs. CLE |
| Week 17 | at NYJ | at CIN |
| Week 18 | vs. CHI | vs. PIT |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Zay Flowers WR - BAL Zay Flowers WR - BAL | |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 98.6 | 81.9 |
| Rec Yards | 1,301.3 | 1,168.2 |
| Rec TDs | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 1.3 | 9.9 |
| Rush Yards | 5.5 | 58.8 |
| Rush TDs | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 170.9 | 161.6 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Zay Flowers WR - BAL Zay Flowers WR - BAL | |
| 2025 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 10.8 | 21.1 |
| Week 2 | 8.1 | 7.9 |
| Week 3 | 7.5 | 1.3 |
| Week 4 | 12.6 | 7.4 |
| Week 5 | 12.3 | 7.2 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 2.6 |
| Week 7 | 7.9 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 7.4 | 7.1 |
| Week 9 | 10.7 | 6.4 |
| Week 10 | 3.7 | 8.1 |
| Week 11 | 6.1 | 8.3 |
| Week 12 | 4.8 | 6.9 |
| Week 13 | 0.4 | -1.4 |
| Week 14 | 1.1 | 12.6 |
| Week 15 | 2.2 | 12.8 |
| Week 16 | 8.5 | 14.2 |
| Week 17 | 3.0 | 9.0 |
| Week 18 | 10.4 | 25.8 |
| Total | 117.5 | 157.3 |
| Average | 6.9 | 9.3 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Zay Flowers WR - BAL Zay Flowers WR - BAL | |
| 2025 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 7 | 9 |
| Week 2 | 6 | 11 |
| Week 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Week 4 | 11 | 8 |
| Week 5 | 11 | 5 |
| Week 6 | ‐ | 10 |
| Week 7 | 10 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 11 | 9 |
| Week 9 | 9 | 5 |
| Week 10 | 12 | 6 |
| Week 11 | 9 | 5 |
| Week 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Week 13 | 6 | 7 |
| Week 14 | 4 | 11 |
| Week 15 | 8 | 5 |
| Week 16 | 8 | 7 |
| Week 17 | 5 | 5 |
| Week 18 | 11 | 6 |
Justin Jefferson WR - MIN Justin Jefferson WR - MIN | Zay Flowers WR - BAL Zay Flowers WR - BAL | |
| Expert | ||
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data). A lot of the blame can fall at the feet of Minny's quarterback room last year, but not all of it, considering the per-route metrics as well as the fact that Jefferson was tied for the sixth-most drops. Yes, he was also 78th in catchable target rate, so 2025 was a mixed bag with some blame on both sides of the aisle. Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026. He could easily return to being a top 10 fantasy wideout as he has been every year of his NFL career (outside of 2025), but there's still some risk with Kyler Murray or J.J. McCarthy throwing him the ball this season. | Last year, Zay Flowers posted career-best marks across the board with 86 receptions, 1,211 receiving yards, and a WR12 finish in fantasy points per game. It was amazing to see for a player who also ranked eighth in target share (27.7%), 11th in receiving yards per game (71.2), seventh in yards per route run (2.61), and tenth in first-read share (33.3%, per Fantasy Points Data). While Flowers also saw 19 deep targets last year, the big concern with him is his touchdown upside. Flowers has never had more than five receiving touchdowns in any season, and with only 11 red zone targets last year, it's tough to project a huge spike in that this season, but there could be hope with the arrival of offensive coordinator Declan Doyle. I'm not projecting that Doyle heads into this season drawing up more usage for Flowers near the goal line, but it can't possibly get any worse than it has been previously. Flowers is a strong WR2 with WR1 upside again this year. |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Justin Jefferson's disappointing 2025 season was far more about quarterback dysfunction than any decline in talent. Even during a "down year," Jefferson still commanded an elite target share, while poor QB play and brutal touchdown luck tanked his fantasy production. The arrival of Kyler Murray gives Minnesota's superstar receiver a massive opportunity to rebound into the elite WR1 tier, where he has spent his entire career. Fantasy managers should treat Jefferson as a prime bounce-back candidate and one of the best values among first-round receivers in 2026 drafts. | There's a world where Zay Flowers has the talent to be a top-5 fantasy WR if he can ever score TDs. Over 1,200 yards. 86 catches and 5 TDs (WR7) in 2025. WR3 over the last five games. 4+ catches in 13 of his 17 games: a testament to his reliable floor and consistent involvement. 5th in target share (28%). 11th in air yards share (35%). 4th in yards per route run behind Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Luther Burden. |
| Chris Welsh FantasyPros | - #7 in Target Share at 30.1% | - 5th in Yards per route run at 2.52 - Ranked 10th in Target Share at 28.9% - WR 11 in PPR - With some without Lamar Notes: - Declon Doyle from the Ben johnson Tree - Ravens dead last in past attempts - Just moving this number up improves |
