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Week 14’s Most Accurate Fantasy Experts

Week 14’s Most Accurate Fantasy Experts

With the fantasy playoffs underway, there’s no better time than now to get a “helping hand” when setting your lineup. The good news is that while the stakes are rising for your team, they’re also increasing for the experts that hand out advice. That’s because our accuracy competition is in its stretch run and plenty of shuffling is occurring throughout the leaderboard. That means the experts have extra incentive (as if they needed it) to make sure they’re providing the best possible advice over the next few weeks.

With this in mind, let’s take a look back at the accuracy results from week 14 to find out which experts got things right. We’ll also examine how our Year-to-Date leaderboard is shaping up with just a few weeks left in the season.

Week 14 Accuracy Results

Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Tom Poisal – Top Tier Football  60.3%
 2.  Scott Engel – RotoExperts  59.3%
 3.  Austin Lee – Footballguys  59.2%
 4.  Jason Willan – Gridiron Experts  59.0%
 5.  Sigmund Bloom – Footballguys  58.7%
 6.  Scott Pianowski – Yahoo! Sports  58.2%
 7.  Alex Gelhar – NFL.com  58.0%
 8.  Jake Ciely – RotoExperts  58.0%
 9.  RC Fischer – Fantasy Football Metrics  57.8%
 10  Matt Camp – Bleacher Report  57.6%

*View Full Accuracy Scores (126 experts) | Combine Top Experts into Consensus Rankings

History was made this past week. In the 6+ years of our accuracy competition, an expert had never rated #1 for consecutive weeks. That is, until Tom Poisal (Top Tier Football) pulled off the feat in weeks 13 and 14. Congrats to Tom for the accomplishment! His best predictions in week 14 came at the WR position. Poisal had Ted Ginn Jr. (2 TDs) rated 13 spots above the Expert Consensus and he was also one of just 3 experts to slot Golden Tate (9 rec, 2 TDs) as high as WR2 territory. As far as sleepers go, Poisal delivered the best rank (+20 rank spots vs. consensus) for Marques Colston (2 TDs). At RB, Poisal was a believer in two RBs that have consistently disappointed this season: Eddie Lacy and Isaiah Crowell. His rank for Lacy (RB#12) was topped by only 3 experts and only two pundits went higher on Crowell. It was the right week to be bullish on each player as they both produced RB1 numbers in what was their best fantasy output of the season. For his QB picks, Poisal went against the grain by slotting Eli Manning as a top 5 QB. No expert was higher on Manning and the gamble paid off as Eli torched the Dolphins for 300+ passing yards, 4 TDs and 0 INTs. On the flip side, Poisal stayed away from the Jameis Winston hype in what seemed like a dream matchup against the Saints. His rank for Winston (QB #15) was 6 spots below the Expert Consensus and proved to be a great pick as Winston never came close to putting up big numbers.

Peak Performers

As always, we recognize the experts that did the best job of ranking week 14′s peak performers. Below are several key players that came through beyond expectations for fantasy owners along with the experts who delivered their top ranking.

Eli Manning SmallEli Manning (NYG)
Consensus: QB #13
Best Rank: QB #5
Actual Rank: QB #2
Top Expert: Tom Poisal (Top Tier Football)

Ryan Fitzpatrick SmalllRyan Fitzpatrick (NYJ)
Consensus: QB #11
Best Rank: QB #2
Actual Rank: QB #4
Top Expert: Tozzi Brothers (Legion Report)

Isaiah Crowell SmallIsaiah Crowell (CLE)
Consensus: RB #41
Best Rank: RB #24
Actual Rank: RB #1
Top Expert: Jamey Eisenberg (CBS Sports)

Todd Gurley SmallTodd Gurley (STL)
Consensus: RB #10
Best Rank: RB #3
Actual Rank: RB #2
Top Expert: ScoutPro & Tehol Beddict (Razzball)

James Starks SmallJames Starks (GB)
Consensus: RB #34
Best Rank: RB #23
Actual Rank: RB #3
Top Expert: Ryan Fowler (Fox Sports) & Kyle Wachtel (Forensic Fantasy)

Doug Baldwin SmallDoug Baldwin (SEA)
Consensus: WR #21
Best Rank: RW #10
Actual Rank: WR #2
Top Expert: Sigmund Bloom (FootballGuys) & Dan Yanotchko (EDSFootball)

Ted Ginn SmallTed Ginn Jr. (CAR)  
Consensus: WR #46
Best Rank: WR #28
Actual Rank: WR #3
Top Expert: R.C. Fischer (Fantasy Football Metrics)

Tyler Lockett SmallTyler Lockett (SEA)
Consensus: WR #45
Best Rank: WR #24
Actual Rank: WR #4
Top Expert: Dawgmatica (Pyromaniac)

Jordan Reed SmallJordan Reed (WAS)
Best Rank: TE #5
Best Rank: TE #2
Actual Rank: TE #1
Top Expert: Tehol Beddict (Razzball) & Nathan Jahnke (Pro Football Focus)

Year-to-Date Accuracy

Top 10 Experts – Overall Leaderboard*
 Rank  Expert  PAY™
 1.  Sean Koerner – STATS  60.2%
 2.  John Paulsen – 4for4.com  59.1%
 3.  Sean Morris – Bruno Boys  59.0%
 4.  Jake Ciely – RotoExperts  59.0%
 5.  Jeff Ratcliffe – Pro Football Focus  58.9%
 6.  Patrick Thorman – Pro Football Focus  58.5%
 7.  Justin Boone – theScore  58.4%
 8.  Pat Fitzmaurice – The Football Girl  58.2%
 9.  Michael Fabiano – NFL.com  58.1%
 10  Brett Talley – The Fantasy Fix  58.1%

*View Full Accuracy Scores (123 experts) | Combine Top Experts into Consensus Rankings

With only 2 weeks left, we’ll be back again next week to provide another update on our accuracy competition. Until then, be sure to check out the experts’ weekly rankings to help with your lineup decisions. Best of luck this week!

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