Chicago Bears
Alshon Jeffery (WR – CHI)
Jeffery is playing under the franchise tag, and this may very well be his last season with the Bears. Still, with an uncertain future and a bit of an injury history,
Jeffery is the top dynasty player in Chicago. At just 26, Jeffery has a trip to the Pro Bowl and two 1,000 yard seasons under his belt.
Kevin White was up for this spot as well, seeing as he’s younger and was the seventh overall pick in 2015. Jeffery has shown he can perform, though, so I’d rather take him than roll the dice on a guy who missed his entire rookie season. White is a defensible pick, though.
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Detroit Lions
Golden Tate (WR – DET)
Now that Calvin Johnson has retired, the top fantasy player on Detroit’s roster is up for grabs for the first time in a decade. Let’s just say the pickings are slim. The once fantasy-friendly Lions offense has been on the decline, and Johnson’s departure won’t help.
Year | Yards Per Game | Rank | Points Per Game | Rank |
2011 | 396.1 | 5 | 29.6 | 4 |
2012 | 408.8 | 3 | 23.3 | 17 |
2013 | 392.1 | 6 | 24.7 | 13 |
2014 | 340.8 | 19 | 20.1 | 22 |
2015 | 346.7 | 20 | 22.4 | 18 |
So our legitimate options for this spot are Tate, Ameer Abdullah and Eric Ebron. Despite a mostly lackluster group of fantasy tight ends in the NFL, Ebron hasn’t stood out. Abdullah shined in the preseason but finished the regular season with 780 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns.
That leaves Tate, who is Matthew Stafford’s new No. 1 target. Tate has great hands, is very elusive after the catch, and did well when Johnson was injured in the past, so it’s possible he could take up Megatron’s mantle. It wouldn’t be shocking if his next few years were his best.
Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB)
There are plenty of attractive options in this offense, but each player’s value is directly tied to Rodgers’ performance. And as we’ve seen time and again, Rodgers’ performance is pretty good if he’s healthy. He’s 32, but as a quarterback, he should have five or six more years of elite production.
Compare that to Jordy Nelson, who is 31 in May and coming off an ACL injury. While he should be back to his old self this year, he probably won’t have as much longevity as Rodgers.
Eddie Lacy may have gotten this spot at this time last season, but he’ll have to earn back everyone’s trust after his disastrous 2015 season. I’d prefer five years of a top fantasy quarterback to a guy who had four games with 10 rushing yards or fewer last year.
Minnesota Vikings
Laquon Treadwell (WR – MIN)
Usually, I’d rather have a proven veteran over an unproven rookie, but I’m going to make an exception here. Adrian Peterson has been one of the best fantasy running backs in the league since his rookie year, but he’s 31 and has more rushing attempts than any active running back other than Steven Jackson and Frank Gore.
With very few exceptions, this is about the time running backs start falling apart. Peterson may not be done, but the end of his career is coming sooner rather than later.
That said, Peterson probably still would have been the top dynasty asset in Minnesota before the draft. Now that Treadwell is in the picture, that’s no longer the case. Many considered Treadwell to be the top receiver in this class, and he turns 21 in June.
The Vikings didn’t have the most explosive passing offense in 2015, but they’re still young, and Treadwell is more talented than any other receiver on the roster. He may not be a top producer in 2016, but he has a high ceiling and should be a valuable asset for a long time.
Derek Norton is a correspondent at FantasyPros. To read more from Derek, visit his archive, follow him on Twitter @mdereknorton, or visit his website, Sports Monocle.