Why Giancarlo Stanton is Back

by Dan Harris | @danharris80 | Featured Writer
Jun 29, 2016

Giancarlo Stanton

Giancarlo Stanton has quickly flipped the script on the 2016 season

In one of the songs from the hit musical “Hamilton,” the actor playing Thomas Jefferson raps/sings the line, “For every action there’s an equal opposite reaction.” That’s always been my philosophy when dealing with a baseball player with an established track record who is either red hot or ice cold. I rarely panic or get overly excited because, absent an injury, I like to think that every streak will eventually be followed by an equal streak the other way. So, in other words, I wrote “Hamilton.” You’re welcome, America.

On June 8, I wrote an article analyzing Stanton’s struggles. I looked at every possible metric, tested every possible theory, and in the end came away with a basic shoulder shrug. Without going into too much detail, I concluded that it is probably just a horrendous slump caused by facing too many righties and too many sliders, and that he’d work his way out of it. Why? Because “26-year-old elite players do not suddenly forget how to hit. It doesn’t happen.”

Get free start/sit and waiver wire advice for your fantasy team >>

June 8 was three weeks ago, but let’s use the last two weeks as our barometer because it’s pretty obvious that Giancarlo Stanton read my article exactly two weeks ago. On June 8, Stanton’s slash line was .202/.318/.452. In the last two weeks, it’s .386/.477/.659. That’s a 1.136 OPS. We’re talking Babe Ruth and Ted Williams territory.

Without going crazy into the metrics, it’s fair to say that everything that Stanton was doing wrong in the first two months, he’s doing right in the last two weeks. In the early part of the season, Stanton was getting eaten alive by fastballs. Over the last two weeks, he’s batting .300 against them with a 1.000 slugging percentage. He’s cut his strikeout percentage, which was at a Rob Deer-esque 34.2%, to 27.0% over the past two weeks. Oh, and he also broke the record for the hardest hit ball ever recorded, with a grounder at 123.9 MPH (which, by the way, turned into a double play, because, you know, baseball). In other words, Stanton is as hot now as he was cold the first two months of the season.

So, is this new Stanton for real? Well, no. This version of Stanton is better than the normal version of Stanton, who has a career .900 OPS and a career batting average of .266. This is just market correction. This is things evening out. This is Thomas Jefferson reminding you that every action has an equal opposite reaction. But, this streak shows that Stanton is just fine and, as I brilliantly predicted, has not just forgotten how to hit.

Given how long Stanton’s cold streak lasted, you can probably expect Stanton to stay hot for awhile. When the dust settles, so long as he stays healthy, Stanton is likely going to give you similar numbers to what you expected when you drafted him. So, if you rejected countless buy-low offers for him or are able to acquire him for less than full value, at the end of the season, you know who to thank. Not me. Just take out a $10 bill and give Alexander Hamilton a nod of appreciation for his help.

Dan Harris is a correspondent with FantasyPros. For more from Dan, check out his archive or follow him @danharris80.

What's your take? Leave a comment

1Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
2Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
3Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
4Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
5Chris Carson (SEA)RB
6Derrick Henry (TEN)RB
7David Johnson (ARI)RB
8Le'Veon Bell (NYJ)RB
9Josh Jacobs (OAK)RB
10Aaron Jones (GB)RB
 View all Flex Rankings 
11Julio Jones (ATL)WR
12Phillip Lindsay (DEN)RB
13Cooper Kupp (LAR)WR
14Marlon Mack (IND)RB
15DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
16Mark Ingram (BAL)RB
17Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
18Devonta Freeman (ATL)RB
19Michael Thomas (NO)WR
20Sony Michel (NE)RB
21Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
22T.Y. Hilton (IND)WR
23Tyler Lockett (SEA)WR
24Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
25Adam Thielen (MIN)WR
26Julian Edelman (NE)WR
27Kerryon Johnson (DET)RB
28Tevin Coleman (SF)RB
29Robert Woods (LAR)WR
30Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
1Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
2Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
3Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
4J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
5Trevor Story (COL)SS
6Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
7Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
8Trea Turner (WSH)SS
9Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
10Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
 View All Rankings 
11Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
12Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
13Gerrit Cole (HOU)SP
14Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
15Javier Baez (CHC)2B,3B
16Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
17Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
18Juan Soto (WSH)LF
19Anthony Rendon (WSH)3B
20Bryce Harper (PHI)CF,RF
21Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
22Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
23Starling Marte (PIT)CF
24Walker Buehler (LAD)SP
25Manny Machado (SD)3B,SS
26Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B
27Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
28Whit Merrifield (KC)1B,2B
29George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
30Paul Goldschmidt (STL)1B
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
 View All Rankings 
11Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
12Paul George (LAC)SF,PF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
17Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
18Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
19Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
26Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
27Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
Follow the Pros!

Follow us on Twitter @FantasyPros for exclusive advice and contests