Week 11 Defenses to Stream (Fantasy Football)

by Josh Shepardson | @BChad50 | Featured Writer
Nov 14, 2017

All of the defenses listed in this week’s piece have sub-50% ownership rates at both ESPN and Yahoo!. There’s a small road underdog in the mix, which is somewhat risky, but there are ample pros to offset that con. The spreads are much smaller for this week’s favored streaming selections than in previous weeks, but that’s largely the product of the lack of big spreads as a whole this week (there’s only one double-digit spread, and that’s likely to remain the case this week).

*Spreads and totals are from Pinnacle, and stats and ranks in the tables are from Pro-Football-Reference and don’t include the Monday Night Football game.

Get free start/sit and waiver wire advice for your fantasy team >>

New Orleans Saints

Opponent Spread/Total Ownership
ESPN/Y!
Points Allowed Per Game (Rank) Turnovers Forced (Rank) Sacks (Rank)
vs. WAS -7.5/50 46.9%/49% 18.3 (T-5th) 13 (T-14th) 25 (T-10th)

 
The Saints have a strong defense this year, and their upside is always bolstered by the fact their offense is explosive and capable of providing big leads. They’ve reached the point that they should be universally owned, and I’d guess by this time next week, they’ll have an ownership rate north of 65% at both ESPN and Yahoo!. For one more week, though, they’re a strong streaming option that generates pressure, forces turnovers, and keeps their opponents off the board. The Saints have allowed more than 20 points to just one of their last six opponents, and they’ve forced at least one turnover in seven straight games. They should extend that streak this week against a Redskins squad that has the ninth most turnovers (15) this season.

Arizona Cardinals

Opponent Spread/Total Ownership
ESPN/Y!
Points Allowed Per Game (Rank) Turnovers Forced (Rank) Sacks (Rank)
@HOU  -1.5/Unlisted 47.1%/46% 24.8 (25th) 9 (T-25th) 23 (T-14th)

 
Arizona’s defense is the weakest of those highlighted, but the Deshaun Watson-less Texans are completely inept offensively. In Tom Savage‘s three starts, the Texans have scored 28 points. Houston is tied for the third most turnovers (17) and have yielded the fourth-most sacks (31). It’s all about opponent for this touted streaming option.

Cincinnati Bengals

Opponent Spread/Total Ownership
ESPN/Y!
Points Allowed Per Game (Rank) Turnovers Forced (Rank) Sacks (Rank)
@ DEN +2.5/40 37.5%/25% 20.2 (12th) 8 (T-27th) 26 (T-7th)

 
It’s risky using a road underdog as a streaming choice, but the game’s low over/under total of 40 points is inviting. The Bengals have played good defense this season and can get after the passer, as evidenced by their rank in sacks. Their ability to pressure quarterbacks pairs well with Denver’s shortcomings pass blocking. The Broncos are tied for the seventh most sacks allowed (28). The Broncos are also the second most turnover-prone offense with 21 this year, and they’re merely 24th in scoring (18.4 points per game). This projects to be a low-scoring slugfest (or snoozer, if you’re a fan of offense).

Los Angeles Chargers

Opponent Spread/Total Ownership
ESPN/Y!
Points Allowed Per Game (Rank) Turnovers Forced (Rank) Sacks (Rank)
vs. BUF Not Posted 8.9%/6% 19.1 (9th) 11 (T-20th) 29 (T-2nd)

 
The Chargers host the westward traveling Bills. Buffalo’s been in a tailspin and stomped in back-to-back games. The Bills have coughed up 492 yards rushing in those two games, and their inability to stop the run elevates the Chargers defense’s floor. Buffalo’s offense has struggled, too. They’ve scored 31 points in the last two games, and they’ve been held under 20 points in two of four road tilts. Furthermore, one of the four road games they bested 20 points, they scored only 23, and a defensive touchdown pushed them to that total. Tyrod Taylor has significant home/road splits that favor playing at home, and he’s not playing there this week. The Chargers D/ST is under-owned on their own merit, and they have a plus matchup this week. Finally, the elite pass rush of the Chargers gets a lift this week. The Bills are tied for the seventh most sacks allowed (28) in 2017. Quarterback Philip Rivers is in the concussion protocol, and that’s why the game doesn’t have a posted spread or total. Prior to entering the concussion protocol, the game’s spread was 4.5 points and the total was only 43.5 points. Assuming Rivers makes it through without a hitch, that’s a good spread and total to keep in mind. If he’s forced to miss the game, the Chargers D/ST’s ceiling is reduced a bit since their offense will be less potent and capable of providing the defense a big lead to work with.


Subscribe: iTunes | Stitcher | SoundCloud | Google Play | TuneIn | RSS

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

What's your take? Leave a comment

Fantasy Games
DRAFT photo
Get a FREE $3 Best Ball entry with your 1st deposit
FanDuel photo
Play for your share of $1m+
for FREE with first deposit
CBS Sports photo
Serious Fantasy Football
Get our Mobile App!

Enter your phone number below, and we'll text you a link to download the app.

1Le'Veon Bell (PIT)RB
2Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
3Antonio Brown (PIT)WR
4David Johnson (ARI)RB
5Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
6DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
7Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG)WR
8Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
9Michael Thomas (NO)WR
10Kareem Hunt (KC)RB
 View All Rankings 
11Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
12Julio Jones (ATL)WR
13Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
14Mike Evans (TB)WR
15A.J. Green (CIN)WR
16Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
17LeSean McCoy (BUF)RB
18Devonta Freeman (ATL)RB
19Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
20Davante Adams (GB)WR
21Mark Ingram (NO)RB
22Jordan Howard (CHI)RB
23Brandin Cooks (NE)WR
24Tyreek Hill (KC)WR
25Derrick Henry (TEN)RB
26Rob Gronkowski (NE)TE
27Adam Thielen (MIN)WR
28Doug Baldwin (SEA)WR
29Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
30Carlos Hyde (SF)RB
1Mike Trout (LAA)CF
2Jose Altuve (HOU)2B
3Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
4Paul Goldschmidt (ARI)1B
5Trea Turner (WSH)SS
6Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
7Bryce Harper (WSH)RF
8Mookie Betts (BOS)RF
9Clayton Kershaw (LAD)SP
10Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)RF
 View All Rankings 
11Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
12Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
13Carlos Correa (HOU)SS
14Joey Votto (CIN)1B
15Corey Kluber (CLE)SP
16Chris Sale (BOS)SP
17Manny Machado (BAL)3B
18Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B,3B
19Anthony Rizzo (CHC)1B,2B
20Aaron Judge (NYY)RF
21Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
22Jose Ramirez (CLE)2B,3B
23George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
24Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,LF
25Gary Sanchez (NYY)C
26Josh Donaldson (TOR)3B
27Stephen Strasburg (WSH)SP
28Corey Seager (LAD)SS
29J.D. Martinez (BOS)RF
30Jose Abreu (CWS)1B
1Kevin Durant (GSW)SF,PF
2Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
3James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
4Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
5Russell Westbrook (OKC)PG
6Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
7Anthony Davis (NOR)PF,C
8Kawhi Leonard (SAS)SG,SF
9LeBron James (CLE)SF,PF
10Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
 View All Rankings 
11John Wall (WAS)PG
12Chris Paul (HOU)PG
13Damian Lillard (POR)PG
14Jimmy Butler (MIN)SG,SF
15Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
16Kyrie Irving (BOS)PG,SG
17Hassan Whiteside (MIA)C,PF
18Myles Turner (IND)PF,C
19Paul George (OKC)SG,SF
20Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
21Draymond Green (GSW)SF,PF
22Kemba Walker (CHA)PG
23CJ McCollum (POR)PG,SG
24Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
25Klay Thompson (GSW)SG,SF
26Marc Gasol (MEM)C
27Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
28Paul Millsap (DEN)PF,C
29Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
30Eric Bledsoe (MIL)PG,SG