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DraftKings PGA Lineup Advice: WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (2020)

Jul 29, 2020

It was a very profitable week for those who invested in Michael Thompson (125/1) to win the 3M Open. A bettor on BetMGM cashed in big time, turning a $500 wager into $62,500 thanks to Thompson’s victory. Priced below $7,000 on DraftKings, Thompson fired rounds of 64-66-68-67 to finish at 19-under and win his second career PGA Tour title. It was a dominant putting week for the 35-year-old, as he gained 7.24 strokes with the flat stick en route to his win.

A star-studded field will tee it up this week for the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational in Memphis, Tennessee. Jon Rahm ($11,400), Rory McIlroy ($11,200), Bryson DeChambeau ($11,000), and Justin Thomas ($10,700) are the highest priced golfers on DraftKings. The top eight golfers in the official world golf rankings will be competing for the trophy in Memphis this week.

All 78 golfers in the field will be guaranteed four rounds of golf, as there are no cuts in WGC events. To be unique in your lineup builds this week, it will be beneficial to leave plenty of money on the board to avoid similar lineups in GPPs. The tournament has been played at TPC Southwind since 1989, so there is a plethora of course history to use.

Here are the past five winners of the event:

  • 2019 Brooks Koepka (-16)
  • 2018 Dustin Johnson (-18)
  • 2017 Daniel Berger (-10)
  • 2016 Fabian Gomez (-15)
  • 2015 Ben Crane (-10)

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Course Preview

Ball-striking will be crucial at TPC Southwind this week, as it is a difficult test of golf due to the thick rough and long Par 4s. The course has eight Par 4s that measure over 450 yards long, and with only two Par 5s to take advantage of, birdies and eagles will come at a premium. Golfers will also make the switch to Bermuda greens this week. TPC Southwind will play as a Par 70, and it measures at 7,244 yards long.

Hitting the tight fairways and small green complexes will be crucial this week, and golfers must have exceptional games around the green to get around this course. Scrambling will prove pivotal to save par on many holes, as GIR numbers will naturally be way down to the difficult test of golf the course presents. In many major-like fields, the golfer with the best all-around game usually wins, and that should be whoever heats up with the putter on these Bermuda greens.

Key Stats

  • Ball-Striking
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-green
  • Scrambling
  • Performance on Bermuda Greens
  • Par-4 Scoring (450-500 yards)

Recommended Plays

Rory McIlroy ($11,200)
With Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau priced very closely to McIlroy this week, I don’t expect him to carry heavy ownership. McIlroy has three straight top-10 finishes at TPC Southwind, including a T4 finish in 2019. McIlroy ranks second in the field in Par-4 scoring on holes between 450-500 yards, and there will be eight of those on the card this week. He is first in strokes gained: total in the field on Bermuda greens where scoring is difficult relative to par.

Webb Simpson ($9,900)
Simpson’s accuracy off the tee and Par-4 scoring prowess bode well for him at TPC Southwind. He had a runner-up finish here last year, and he’s playing some of his best golf in 2020. After a missed cut at Memorial a few weeks ago, he could come in at a good ownership percentage this week. Simpson is tied for first in Par 4 scoring in 2020 and was T3 in that department in 2019. He is also the best putter on Bermuda greens in the past 50 rounds per Fantasy National.

Tyrell Hatton ($9,700)
This year has been incredible for the Englishman. Hatton has five top-10s in just six events this season, and he won the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March. The 28-year-old leads the entire PGA in strokes gained: putting in 2020, and he is second in strokes gained: approach. He is absolutely locked in this year and has always been an excellent scrambler. TPC Southwind sets up very well for him.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,000)
Fitzpatrick is coming off of a very impressive third-place finish at the Memorial Tournament two weeks ago. In some of the most challenging conditions that Muirfield Village has ever seen, he shot a final round of 68 to climb the leaderboard and place third. He now goes to TPC Southwind, where he placed T4 in 2019. Fitzpatrick is a very accurate driver of the golf ball who is an excellent putter on Bermuda grass.

Patrick Reed ($8,800)
Reed has been one of the most consistent golfers in 2020. In 14 events, he already has six top-10s and nine top-25s to his name. He now goes to a course where he can showcase his elite around the green and scrambling game off. Reed will hope to improve upon his T12 showing at TPC Southwind last year.

Jason Day ($8,200)
Day has made some big strides in his golf game over the last month, and it finally looks like he’s close to gaining his elite form. He put up back-to-back top-10 finishes at Muirfield Village in his last two starts. Day showed off his elite scrambling ability and nice touch around the green, which should translate into success at TPC Southwind. He has three top-15s in the last five years at this event, and that includes a T3 in 2016.

Marc Leishman  ($7,700)
Anytime you need elite scrambling and around the green game at a course, Leishman is worth a play. The Aussie ranks eighth in the field in scrambling and is very good with his long irons. His proximity on approaches greater than 175 yards is top-five in the field, and he will see plenty of these yardages this week. Leishman finished third at this event in 2020 and T14 in 2019.

Ian Poulter ($7,400)
In the last 50 measured rounds on Bermuda, Poulter ranks second in the field in total strokes gained. He is equipped with a tremendous around the green game and is always one of the best putters in the world. It’s not surprising to see Poulter has two consecutive top-10 finishes at this event. The 44-year-old proved he is in fine form with a T5 finish at the Workday Charity Open a few weeks ago.

Matt Wallace ($6,700)
The Englishman is rounding into form at a good time. Wallace has made three straight cuts and has finishes of T12, T39, and T4. His fourth-place finish at the Memorial Tournament was very impressive. The conditions were very tough that week, and the field was one of the strongest in 2020. Wallace has an elite short game and is an above-average putter on Bermuda greens. If he continues to hit the ball well, Wallace could put together a strong performance at TPC Southwind this week.

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Whether you’re new to daily fantasy golf or a seasoned professional, be sure to check out our Daily Fantasy Golf Glossary. You can get started with The Stats That Matter Most or head to more advanced strategy — like How To Use Vegas Odds To Generate Your Lineup  — to learn more.

Nic Turner is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Nic, check out his archive and follow him @sportzbandit.

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