Dan Harris’s 2021 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Outfield
Outfield is the buffet dinner restaurant of the fantasy landscape. You can build your plate using any combination you want and strategize around your planned approach.
Do you forego snacking on everything and instead just load up on the quality entrees? You can spend your first three picks on outfielders if you want with zero hesitation.
Do you like to build a balanced plate, like you’re crafting a normal meal with a few appetizers, a main course, and dessert? You can spread out your outfield picks throughout the draft.
Do you give up some quality just to make sure you’re hitting every item at the buffet before you get full? You can wait until the late rounds and then just pound the position non-stop with depth.
In short, you can build your outfield any way you want in drafts. Personally, I often shop at the high-end stores or the bargain bin. There’s usually a good five- or six-round stretch in the middle of drafts where I am not enamored of the options (at least in terms of value), and forego them for other positions. Here are a few of the outfielders I find myself drafting most often:
Nick Castellanos (OF – CIN) – ADP: 83.6
Castellanos is pretty much the only outfielder that causes me to shop in the “mid-round” store for the position in terms of his ADP. There’s nothing not to like about Castellanos. He’ll hit for power and average — ignore his .225 from last year, as his xBA was .272 — and his counting stats should be helpful unless the Reds again suffer from a historically unlucky offensive season. I have him 20 spots higher in my overall rankings than consensus ADP.
Trey Mancini (OF – BAL) – ADP: 154.2
Joe Pisapia and I have talked about Mancini more than any other player this year on the FantasyPros Baseball Podcast. His ADP has risen dramatically since draft season began and should only continue to rise as he proves he’s back to full health. There was nothing fluky about his 2019 production, so although he may find himself starting slow after missing all of last year, he should provide all-around production once he regains his timing.
Clint Frazier (OF – NYY) – ADP: 175.6
There was only one thing that should cause Frazier’s ADP to be this low, and it is concerns about his playing time. But personally, I have none. I expect him to be the everyday left fielder. Even if he weren’t, injury concerns with Aaron Judge, Aaron Hicks, and Giancarlo Stanton should clear plenty of playing time for the youngster. The bat is legitimate, so I am drafting with confidence.
Andrew Benintendi (OF – KC)– ADP: 228.4
You can’t feel that same confidence with Benintendi, but at his ADP, you don’t need to. He isn’t having a huge spring, but he’s got a 6:4 K:BB ratio thus far, and he has already stolen a base. Although he got too power-happy in Boston, a change of scenery is likely just what he needs to get back to what made him successful a few seasons ago.
Alex Kirilloff (OF – MIN) – ADP: 242.4
Kirilloff may not start the year with the big club, but he’ll be up before long regardless. His bat plays, he’s got 20-10 potential, and Jake Cave certainly isn’t going to preclude Kirilloff’s arrival. He could be one of the steals of the draft.
Note: Position eligibility is determined by the sites that formulate our consensus ADP, so it can be quite loose at times. Don’t blame the messenger.
ADP – Average Draft Position
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