Underdog Fantasy. By now, most of you know that Underdog has some incredible season-long best ball tournaments and weekly Battle Royale contests. However, they have another contest that will prove to have tremendous appeal to fantasy managers-their Pick ‘Em game. Simply choose two or more fantasy points, yardage, or reception totals, choose over or under, and lock in your prediction. Pick any 2-5 player props to parlay together, and you can win up to 20X on your entry in one night!
There is also a head-to-head Rivals contest. Pick which player between the two of them will have more of a given stat in their game; some players will be given a line handicap, indicated by the + and number below their picture.
There is a ton of value to be had here for fantasy managers as we already familiarize ourselves with important information like depth charts, injuries, yards allowed, fantasy points allowed, and more. This gives us a potential competitive advantage when it comes to identifying and tackling potential values. While more than a few totals will appeal to fantasy managers for Week 6 at Underdog, we will briefly discuss two that have more allure than most.
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Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DET): 55.5 receiving yards
In a week where the values are few and far in between at Underdog Fantasy, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands out as one. Amon-Ra has seen eight targets in each of the past two weeks and should see another heavy dose of looks this week against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Lions are underdogs once again and should be forced to pass, even if they do not want to. Amon-Ra has averaged 6.5 receptions for 67.5 receiving yards over the past two contests and should be good for at least that, with top receiver Quintez Cephus on injured reserve. He is playing starters snaps and leads the team in target share since Week 4. 23.5 percent is a number usually reserved for the very best the NFL has to offer. This suggests that Jared Goff is growing increasingly comfortable with his rookie receiver.
Amon-Ra’s average depth of target is just 6.4 yards downfield, but he is averaging 4.1 yards after the catch. He does not waste many targets and is 17th in the league with a 73.4 percent catch rate. He continues to get open for Goff and should be peppered with targets and is on double-digit target watch. His 3.7 average yards of separation ranks 11th in the league and helps us understand why the rookie receiver has such a big role in the Lions passing attack. If there is any risk here, it is that Detroit finds a way to pull in front and stay in front, in turn lessening the Lions need to pass the ball. With that said, this is Detroit we are talking about, so that scenario, however plausible, still remains unlikely. Tap the over for Amon-Ra for Week 6.
Pick: Over
Keenan Allen (WR – LAC): 72.5 receiving yards
Keenan Allen at just 76.5 receiving yards looks like a value even without context. He is taking part in a game with one of the highest opening totals of the week and will be facing one of the only teams in the league that is potentially more explosive than the Chargers in the Baltimore Ravens. Marlon Humphrey has not shadowed anyone this season, which means that Keenan is going to spend some time going up against Jimmy Smith and Anthony Averett. Keenan would be a play just based on the shootout potential of this matchup, and because, well, he’s Keenan Allen.
Yes, he has seen his production take a nosedive since averaging 102 receiving yards over the first two games of the season and has actually crossed 73 receiving yards just once since then (75 receiving yards last week). However, Allen should remain heavily involved, with Mike Williams set to be sidelined (and likely acting as a decoy even if active) and the Chargers potentially facing a negative gamescript. It is not like he has not been a part of the gameplan over the last three weeks anyways. He just has not done much with his looks. Allen has averaged 10.7 targets over his three down games and leads the team in target share over that time. If you want to fade Allen and look for under value after the bye when the Chargers face the New England Patriots and the Philadelphia Eagles, fine. But for Week 6 in what is expected to be a high-scoring affair, Allen and the over is the play.
Pick: Over
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Raju Byfield is a featured writer for FantasyPros. For more from Raju, check out his profile and follow him @FantasyContext.
