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Best Ball Draft Advice & Rankings: Quarterbacks the Experts are Avoiding (2022 Fantasy Football)

May 19, 2022
Ryan Tannehill

While the redraft season is still a few months away, you can draft anytime by participating in best ball leagues! We have you covered with our best ball content, rankings, average draft position (ADP), and mock draft simulator.

Let’s take a look at players our experts are avoiding based on their ADP.

Best Ball Draft Advice: Players the Experts are Avoiding

Aaron Rodgers (QB – GB)
ECR QB14 | ADP QB12

Aaron Rodgers doesn’t look like he’s lost a step at all after finishing last season as the QB8 in fantasy points per game. Rodgers was top-five in fantasy points per dropback and clean pocket completion rate. Losing his bae Davante Adams hurts his ceiling and per-play efficiency outlooks. Efficiency has been the driver of his fantasy goodness because he resides inside one of the NFL’s slowest-paced offenses. Raw volume won’t be there to help counteract the dip there, so Rodgers falls into the QB2 bucket with weekly top 12 upside.

Derek Carr (QB – LV)
ECR QB15 | ADP QB13

Carr threw for 4,804 yards in 2021, beating his previous single-season high by 701 yards. However, he threw only 23 TD passes in 17 games and ranked outside the top 15 among QBs in fantasy points per game. Carr has reached 30 TD passes only once in eight NFL seasons, and he doesn’t run much. The addition of WR Davante Adams, Carr’s former college teammate at Fresno State, raises the ceiling here. Still, it’s probably best to view Carr as a midrange QB2.

Ryan Tannehill (QB – TEN)
ECR QB24 | ADP QB20

A.J. Brown‘s absurd efficiency and YAC-ability in Tennessee was a primary driving force behind Ryan Tannehill‘s fantasy success as a Titan. Even with Treylon Burks in the fold, it’s hard to get overly excited about the Tennessee QB in one of the NFL’s most run-heavy offenses devoid of any elite, proven pass-catchers. He got exposed without offensive coordinator Arthur Smith and weapons last season in 2021, finishing the season with his lowest passer rating to date as a Titan (88.1, 23rd). Tannehill’s passer rating off play action throws also fell off (96.1 versus 109.5). 2022 is going to be a rude awakening for Tannehill, who has the largest cap hit in the NFL this year ($38.6M).

2022 Consensus Best Ball Rankings

2022 Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyProsECR (TM) – Expert Consensus Rankings

 

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