Fantasy Football Outlook: Rhamondre Stevenson, Gabe Davis, Cole Kmet, Brian Robinson

Every week we’ll bring you The Primer, a deep dive into every fantasy-relevant player from every NFL game of the week. You can find the full weekly Primer here. Below we dive into a few notable players ahead of this weekend’s games.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Brian Robinson: Robinson is the RB17 in fantasy. His massive Week 2 performance is aiding that standing among running backs because outside of that game, he has been fairly mediocre. If you take that one week out of the equation, Robinson has averaged 14 touches and 57.5 total yards with zero games over 70 total yards. Among 63 qualified running backs, he is 41st in missed tackles forced per attempt and 25th in yards after contact per attempt. The Falcons should be able to hold him in check. Atlanta has the 11th-best stuff rate while ranking 15th in yards after contact per attempt. They have held zone runner (Robinson 65.7% zone) to the 11th-lowest yards per carry. Week 6 Positional Value: RB3

Cole Kmet: Kmet is putting together a breakout season as the TE5 in fantasy. Among 34 qualifying tight ends, he is ninth in target share, 13th in YAC per reception, sixth in YPRR, and fourth in expected fantasy points per route run. Kmet faces a Minnesota pass defense that has held tight ends to the ninth-fewest receiving yards and lowest yards per reception but has also allowed the third-most receiving touchdowns. Kmet is 12th in red zone targets among tight ends. The matchup isn’t great, but if he scores this week, he’ll be a top-12 option again. Week 6 Positional Value: TE1

Rhamondre Stevenson: Stevenson’s snaps have trended down for four straight weeks, from 73% in Week 2 to 50% last week. He hasn’t rushed for more than 59 yards or higher than 3.3 yards per carry all season. Among 63 qualifying backs, Stevenson ranks 49th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 59th in yards after contact per attempt. He hasn’t recorded an explosive run. I’d love to tell you that Stevenson gets on track this week, but I’m losing faith quickly that it will happen this season. Las Vegas has allowed the 11th-highest missed tackles per attempt, the seventh-highest yards after contact per attempt, and the tenth-highest yards per carry to gap runs (Stevenson 60.3% gap). Week 6 Positional Value: low-end RB2

Gabe Davis: Davis is the WR19 in fantasy with a 14.9% target share, 30.1% air-yard share, 2.05 YPRR, and a 17% first-read share. Against man coverage, his target share increases to 16.3%, but his YPRR (1.77) and first read share (13%) trickle down. Davis ranks tenth among wide receivers in deep targets. The Giants have surrendered the sixth-highest passer rating and the eighth-most receiving touchdowns (tied) against deep passing. Davis will run about 84% of his routes against Adoree’ Jackson (71.4% catch rate and 115.5 passer rating) and Deonte Banks (59.1% catch rate and 104.4 passer rating). Week 6 Positional Value: WR2/3