Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice: Week 13
Love is the QB9 in fantasy points per game, with four QB1 performances in his nine games. Among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks eighth in yards per attempt, tenth in passing yards per game, 14th in CPOE, and ninth in fantasy points per dropback. He faces a Miami pass defense that has been a middle-of-the-road unit since Week 7, allowing the 16th-most passing yards per game, the 15th-most passing touchdowns, and the 16th-highest success rate per dropback. One area that Love will expose this week is Miami’s struggles to defend deep passing. Love has the second-highest deep ball rate in the NFL, behind only Anthony Richardson. Miami has faced the eighth-fewest deep attempts, but they have allowed the fourth-highest passer rating and the seventh-highest adjusted completion rate to deep passing.
Since Jordan Love‘s return in Week 4, Kraft has been the TE9 in fantasy with a 12% target share, 1.52 YPRR, a 12.7% first-read share, and six red zone targets. Since Week 7, Miami has utilized two high with 51% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 4, against two high, Kraft has seen his target share rise to 15.2% with 1.86 YPRR and a 14.8% first-read share. Kraft is a fringe TE1 this week against a pass defense that has allowed the 13th-most receiving yards per game while also ranking 17th in fantasy points per game given up to tight ends.
Since Week 8, Smith has been the TE7 in fantasy points per game, with two games with at least 23.7 PPR points. Across his last five games, he has led the team with a 20% target share, 2.45 YPRR, and a 23.1% first-read share. He has four red zone targets in his last four games. Since Week 6, Green Bay has utilized two high at the tenth-highest rate (52.8%). Across his last five games, against two high, Smith has seen his target share rise to 22.9% with 2.46 YPRR and a 27.5% first-read share. Smith should smash again. Green Bay has allowed the 12th-most receiving yards per game and the 11th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
