Every year leagues are lost because players bust, get injured or underperform expectations. Sometimes these issues are unavoidable, but sometimes there are red flags we ignore when it come to potential fantasy baseball busts. Here are fantasy baseball busts you should not draft based on average draft position data (ADP) from the National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC).
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Fantasy Baseball Busts: Hitters to Avoid
Avoid these fantasy baseball busts in 2025 drafts.
Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF – ATL) | NFBC ADP: 24.89
Ronald Acuna Jr. was the best fantasy baseball player in 2023 but he only played in 49 games in 2024 after injuring his knee. The upside is immense and a lot of people will draft him because of his upside.
However, Acuna doesn’t have a clear return timetable and the latest reports are that he likely won’t be ready for Opening Day. There is a good chance he just doesn’t steal a ton or struggles coming off of a second major knee injury. The risk is just too much for such a high fantasy ADP.
Oneil Cruz (SS, OF – PIT) | NFBC ADP: 42.09
With power and speed, there isn’t much not to love in a guy like Oneil Cruz. He made this list because of the players he is going above who do not have the risk profile Cruz does.
Cruz is going ahead of a stalwart in Corey Seager and an up-and-coming stud in CJ Abrams. While Cruz has that power/speed combo, he also struggles with in-zone contact and swing-and-miss. This makes him inherently risky, especially over upside players with safer floors.
Michael Harris (OF – ATL) | NFBC ADP: 39.98
Michael Harris has been a fantasy darling since breaking out in 2022, but he has struggled with staying on the field since then and he has a bad plate approach.
This bad approach often leads him to hitting ninth in the lineup when he is struggling. While he is projected to start the season atop the order in Atlanta, I just don’t trust him to stay there or on the field for a full season.
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