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Fantasy Basketball Category Analysis & Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 21

Fantasy Basketball Category Analysis & Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 21

Welcome to Week 21 – We ‘adults’ now. Last week, we framed Week 20 as a dress rehearsal, a chance to see the moving parts, analyze rotations, and anticipate what’s ahead. This week? We’re stepping into the action. No more previews. No more hypotheticals. It’s time to execute.

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Fantasy Basketball Category Analysis & Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 21

Who the “French Toast” is Brandon Williams!?

At this stage in the season, winning battles is good, but positioning for the war is what matters. Some teams are adjusting, some are reacting, and some – well, some are just trying to figure out who the French Toast Brandon Williams is and why he suddenly exists in our fantasy lives.

I know his hamstring has him tender, but that’s a rite of passage everyone has to pay to the Health-Demic dealer that has been running these streets all season.

Fantasy always finds a way to deliver us the unexpected, and the name Brandon Williams appearing in our player pools is just another example of how opportunity and necessity collide at this time of year. Maybe he’s a flash in the pan, maybe he’s the next waiver wire gem – either way, this is the part of the season where seeing beyond the now creates an advantage.

Puzzles and Chess Moves that Impact What’s Next

Take the Mavericks, for example. Their rotation may look like a confusing puzzle right now, but what’s happening there is bigger than just this week – it’s a chess move for what’s next. For example take the whole move of Anthony Davis – is explored here by @TimBontemps on @espnpodcasts on X – and then commented on in my reply.

Whether this all pans out in the short term or not, it’s a reminder that reading between the lines is where advantages are built.

If you’re still thinking one step ahead, you’re behind. The real game is two, three, or four moves deep. This is an amazing example of forward-thinking and seeing beyond.

Lock in, Get to the Party, then Dance

Right now, it’s about staying locked in but keeping it tight. There are plenty of opportunities for high-upside, contrarian plays, but making sure your foundation is solid should be the priority.

Think of it this way: right now, you just need to be at the party – you can decide how you want to dance later. We have some old jams, some new jams to consider… and… well… some Brandon Williams.

Let’s get to work.

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To the FantasyPros Community, Thank you.

To the FantasyPros community, thank you for your engagement, passion, and trust in the process. We’re here to elevate the game together, and as we inspire, we are inspired by you. We appreciate you – your choices, your strategies, your competition.

Fantasy Basketball Category & Waiver Wire Analysis

We will focus our attention more on matchup contexts, multi-week schedules and thoughtful player and roster management to give you an edge, leveraging the Roster Build Frame framework.

About the Roster Build Frame

The Roster Build Frame helps managers tailor their team composition, ensuring a balance between long-term stability and week-to-week flexibility.

X-axis: Specialist vs. Generalist

  • Specialists (Sp): Players who excel in one or two specific statistical categories.
  • Generalist (G): Players who provide impactful contributions across multiple categories.

Y-axis: Hold vs. Stream

  • Hold (H): Managers who prioritize capitalizing on long-term player acquisitions.
  • Stream (St): Managers who prioritize capitalizing on short-term player acquisitions.

How It Works:

  • Deriving from the Roster Build Frame for each player selected is a Build Frame Code (BFC) based on their profile within this framework.
  • Example: A player labeled “GsHs” is a Generalist suited for a Hold strategy with secondary strengths in streaming potential.

Why It Matters:

  • By understanding where players fit within this model, you can optimize roster decisions, maximize category strengths, and build a competitive team.
  • It is a strategic tool that helps fantasy basketball managers define their team-building approach using two key spectrums:

The Roster Build Frame: Manager Plane

manager plane fantasy basketball

Fantasy Format

Scoring Type: Head-to-Head (Most Categories)

Player Stat Categories:

CATEGORY CLASSIFICATION CATEGORY
Primary Points (PTS), Total Rebounds (REB), Assists (AST)
Secondary Steals (ST), Block Shots (BLK)
Auxiliary Field Goal Percentage (FG%), Free-Throw Percentage (FT%)

Roster Positions:

POSITIONS PG SG G SF PF F C B I
Guards 1 1 1
Forwards 1 1 1
Centers 2
Utility
Bench 2
Injured 3
  • Point Guard (PG), Shooting Guard (SG), Guard (G)
  • Small Forward (SF), Power Forward (PF)
  • Center (C) x 2
  • Utility (UTIL) x 2
  • Bench (BN) x 2, Injured List (IL) x 3

Data Sources

  • NBA Player Stats: NBA.com (2024-2025) – Stats considered and used were taken on Saturday, March 8th, 2025 – before slates began and ended – (Data subject to change.)
  • Yahoo! Sports – Player List

FantasyPros: The One-Stop Shop

In addition to this article, FantasyPros provides a wide range of tools and resources designed to support your strategic needs throughout the season.

From daily lineup optimizers to weekly matchup analysis and monthly trend reports, these tools offer critical insights that help you stay a step ahead.

Integrating these resources into your daily, weekly, and monthly planning can give you the competitive edge needed to achieve your fantasy goals.

Now, let’s dive into this week’s analysis and identify the key players who can take your lineup to the next level and set the stage for a winning season.

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Week 21: Theme, Expectations, Trends, and Takeaways

Themes, expectations, trends and takeaways are taken from the analysis conducted when looking at the specific featured players identified and highlighted in this article.

This Week’s Theme:

  • Timing the Advantage: Playmaking, Defensive Disruption, and Efficiency in Execution

What to Expect

  • Week 21 presents an evolving landscape across key fantasy basketball categories. The early portion of the week is defined by playmaking opportunities and rebounding matchups, with strong assist and rebounding contributors playing key roles in setting the tone. As the week progresses, defensive disruptors and perimeter defenders will gain value, requiring managers to adjust lineups to capitalize on steals, blocks, and defensive efficiency. The latter part of the week shifts toward scoring efficiency, shot selection, and free-throw reliability, making it essential to field players who can maintain consistent production without sacrificing shooting percentages. Those who anticipate the shift from volume-based impact to efficiency-based execution will position themselves ahead of the competition.

Key Category Trend Takeaways

  • Assists & Playmaking Shine Early in the Week
  • Defensive Disruption (Steals & Blocks) Becomes More Valuable Midweek
  • Perimeter Shooting and Three-Point Volume Drive Late-Week Impact
  • Field-Goal & Free-Throw Efficiency Will Determine Final Matchup Results

Bottom Line:
Week 21 requires a well-timed approach that balances high-volume playmakers early, defensive disruptors midweek, and efficient scorers to close. With assists and rebounding matchups taking center stage to start, fantasy managers should prioritize early-week contributors in those categories before transitioning to defensive specialists and efficiency-based players as the schedule shifts.

This is a week to be proactive, not reactive. Recognizing when and where category advantages will shift will separate the prepared from those playing catch-up. Those who execute lineup decisions with precision will have the best chance of securing a strong finish in Week 21.

Points

Bennedict Mathurin (SG, SF – IND): 40% Rostered | 16.4 Points Per Game – Rank: 83rd

Acquisition Details

  • League Level: Shallow
  • Acquisition Type: Stream-hold (Sth)
  • Priority: Medium-High
  • Stream/Hold Period: 2-4 Weeks
  • BFC: SpSth

Last Five Game Stats | Avg. OPP PTS Rank: 16.2

MIN PTS FG% 3PTM FTA
31.4 23.4 47.3 2.0 8.2

*Minimum 25 minutes per game unless otherwise noted

Opening Statement | Is simple ‘Math’ with Math-urin – Capitalize on the High-Volume

Bennedict Mathurin has solidified himself as a strong scoring option, averaging 16.4 points per game. His ability to attack defenses in both transition and half-court settings makes him an invaluable asset for fantasy managers in need of a scoring boost.

This week presents a promising slate, featuring matchups against Chicago and Philadelphia – two teams that rank near the bottom in opponent points allowed. These games should provide ample opportunities for Mathurin to maximize his production and potentially exceed his season averages.

However, a more structured Milwaukee defense may require him to focus on efficiency rather than volume, but his aggressive offensive approach should still allow him to contribute.

‘Math’ with Math-urin shows he gets consistent and better later in the season, consistency has been a thing with him this entire time. But let’s do the ‘Math’ on how long he’s been ‘Math-ing’ shall we…this is his 3rd season. I refuse to insult your intelligence by going further to emphasize why Math is good.

Category Build, Fit, & Impact

Build

  • Primary: Points
  • Secondary: Field-Goal Percentage, Free-Throw Percentage
  • Auxiliary: Three-Pointers Made
  • Category Class: Singular-Realist
  • Roster Class: Specialist (Sp)

Fit

Mathurin’s 16.4 PPG aligns well with matchups that promote increased shot attempts and open scoring lanes.

Against Chicago and Philadelphia, defensive inefficiencies should allow him to thrive in both transition and set plays. His ability to attack gaps and generate high-percentage looks will be critical. Conversely, Milwaukee’s disciplined defensive structure could slow the game pace, forcing Mathurin to adjust his playstyle.

In these matchups, his ability to create his own shot and get to the free-throw line will be key in sustaining his production.

Impact

For fantasy managers seeking a points boost, Mathurin remains a strong streaming option with high-upside potential.

His matchups against Chicago and Philadelphia create ideal scoring conditions, allowing him to capitalize on defensive lapses and maintain a high shot volume. While Milwaukee presents a more challenging scenario, Mathurin’s offensive role ensures that he remains a relevant contributor.

Even in tougher contests, his aggressive scoring mentality should allow him to maintain a stable production floor, making him a viable option in category leagues.

Week Overview

  • Total Games: 4
  • Opponents: @CHI, MIL, @PHI, @MIL
  • Average Opponent PTS Rank: 17.5

Mathurin enters the week with a schedule designed for offensive production.

His best matchups come against Chicago and Philadelphia, where defensive struggles and high game pace create prime scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, Milwaukee presents a more disciplined challenge, requiring Mathurin to be more selective with his shot attempts.

The key to his success this week will be capitalizing on his favorable scoring environments while maintaining efficiency in tougher matchups. With high-volume opportunities available, Mathurin’s scoring potential remains strong throughout the week.

Matchup Grades

DATE OPP OPP PTS ALLOWED RANK MATCHUP GRADE GRADE CATEGORY
Mon, Mar 10 @CHI 120.6 30th A Strong
Matchup
Tue, Mar 11 MIL 112.5 12th B Favorable
Matchup
Fri, Mar 14 @PHI 114.0 16th A- Good
Matchup
Sat, Mar 15 @MIL 112.5 12tg B Favorable
Matchup

Final Verdict

Mathurin’s week is highlighted by favorable matchups against Chicago and Philadelphia, two teams that struggle defensively and provide ideal scoring opportunities.

These games offer the best chance for him to increase his production and exploit defensive weaknesses. While Milwaukee presents a more structured challenge, his offensive volume and scoring ability should allow him to remain effective.

Fantasy managers in need of points can confidently deploy Mathurin, particularly in his high-upside matchups.

On The Radar

Stephon Castle (PG, SG – SAS): 45% Rostered| 13.4 PPG

  • Waiver Priority: High-Low
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): DAL, DAL, CHA, NOP
  • Average OPP PTS (Wk. 21): 115.1
  • Average OPP PTS Rank (Wk. 21): 18.5
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 8*

Brandon Williams (PG – DAL): 17% Rostered| 5.5 PPG

  • Waiver Priority: Medium-High
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): @SAS, @SAS, @HOU, PHI
  • Average OPP PTS (Wk. 21): 113.2
  • Average OPP PTS Rank (Wk. 21): 16.0
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 6*

*Total Games across recommended ‘Hold Length’

Assists

Dennis Schroder (PG, SG – DET): 38% Rostered | 5.3 Assists Per Game – Rank: 40th

Acquisition Details

  • League Level: Shallow
  • Acquisition Type: Stream-hold (Sth)
  • Priority: Medium-High
  • Stream/Hold Period: 2-4 (Weeks)
  • BFC: SpSth

Last Five Game Stats | Avg. OPP AST Rank: 15.8

MIN PTS FG% REB AST
23.6 12.6 47.2 3.6 5.8

*Minimum 25 minutes per game unless otherwise noted – L5 with at least 19 minutes played with DET

Opening Statement | Dennis ‘there’s a chance’ Schroder – A Window of Opportunity

Dennis Schroder has consistently been a steady playmaking presence, averaging 5.3 assists per game. His ability to control tempo and initiate offense makes him a valuable fantasy contributor in the assists category.

This week, he steps into a prime opportunity to exceed his season averages with two favorable matchups against Washington, a team that has struggled all season to contain ball movement. However, he closes the week against Oklahoma City, a defense that ranks among the league’s best in limiting assists.

Schroder’s ability to take advantage of early-week matchups will be key to his overall fantasy impact.

“So, you’re telling me there’s a chance!?” Yes…and even bigger than what our boy Mr. Christmas had, so the optimism should be equally if not bigger – well, technically, that is.

Category Build, Fit, & Impact

Build

  • Primary: Assists
  • Secondary: Points
  • Auxiliary: Three-Pointers
  • Category Class: Singular-Realist
  • Roster Class: Specialist (Sp)

Fit

As a distributor averaging 5.3 assists per game, Schroder thrives in matchups that allow increased playmaking opportunities.

Against Washington, he should be able to facilitate freely, exploiting defensive breakdowns and a fast-paced environment. The Wizards’ struggles in containing ball movement make these his most favorable matchups of the week. Against Oklahoma City, however, he will need to shift to a more disciplined style, as the Thunder’s defensive structure prioritizes ball containment.

His ability to read defenses and adjust his passing strategy will be essential in sustaining his fantasy output.

Impact

For fantasy managers targeting assists, Schroder remains a top streaming option early in the week.

His games against Washington provide an ideal setting for high-volume playmaking, making him a must-start in those contests. While Oklahoma City’s disciplined defense could limit his opportunities, his role as a lead facilitator ensures that he will still contribute in some capacity.

Fantasy managers should capitalize on his assist-friendly matchups while tempering expectations for his final game of the week.

Week Overview

  • Total Games: 3
  • Opponents: WAS x 2 and OKC
  • Average Opponent AST Rank: 18.0

Schroder’s schedule is front-loaded with playmaking potential, as Washington’s defensive inefficiencies provide a perfect setup for high assist totals.

The Wizards’ lack of ball containment and poor transition defense should allow Schroder to facilitate at a high level. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City presents a tougher challenge, ranking 4th in opponent assists allowed per game.

Their ability to pressure ball-handlers and cut off passing lanes will require Schroder to adjust his approach, making early-week production critical for maximizing his fantasy value.

Matchup Grades

DATE OPP OPP AST ALLOWED RANK MATCHUP GRADE GRADE CATEGORY
Tue, Mar 11 WAS 28.5 25th A Strong
Matchup
Thu, Mar 13 WAS 28.5 25th A Strong
Matchup
Sat, Mar 15 OKC 24.3 4th B- Balanced
Matchup

Final Verdict

Schroder’s week is defined by two elite playmaking matchups followed by a tougher defensive challenge.

His back-to-back games against Washington create an ideal environment for assist-heavy production, making him a priority start early in the week. While Oklahoma City will force a more controlled approach, Schroder’s role in Detroit’s offense ensures that he will still find ways to contribute as a facilitator.

Fantasy managers seeking assists should confidently stream Schroder, maximizing his output in favorable matchups before adjusting expectations for the week’s final contest.

On The Radar

Tre Jones (PG – CHI): 6% Rostered| 3.6 APG

  • Waiver Priority: Medium
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): IND, BKN, @HOU
  • Average OPP AST (Wk. 21): 43.5
  • Average OPP PTS Rank (Wk. 21): 11.6
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 7*

Brandon Williams (PG – DAL): 17% Rostered| 1.7 APG

  • Waiver Priority: Medium-High
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): @SAS, @SAS, @HOU, PHI
  • Average OPP AST (Wk. 21): 26.13
  • Average OPP AST Rank (Wk. 21): 15.5
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 6*

*Total Games across recommended ‘Hold Length’

Rebounds

Nick Richards (C – PHO): 32% Rostered| 8.5 Rebounds Per Game – Rank: T-26

Acquisition Details

  • League Level: Shallow
  • Acquisition Type: Hold-st (Hst)
  • Priority: Medium-High
  • Stream/Hold Period: 2-4 Weeks
  • BFC: SpgHst

Last Five Game Stats | Avg. OPP REB Rank:

MIN PTS FG% FT% REB
27.8 13.2 57.7% 85.7% 10.2

*Minimum 25 minutes per game unless otherwise noted

Opening Statement | Richards will be Tested by the Elites, but ‘Can tell them who he is’

Nick Richards has been a steady force in the paint, averaging 8.5 rebounds per game, but this week presents a mix of matchups that will test his ability to dominate the glass.

Facing multiple top-tier rebounding teams, Richards will need to rely on positioning, timing, and physicality to maintain his production. His best rebounding opportunity comes against Memphis, where he should have more freedom to crash the boards. However, matchups against Houston, Sacramento, and Los Angeles will require him to work harder against elite rebounders to sustain his usual output.

It is quite possible that by the end of this week, Richards will find himself where T’Challa stood at the 2:37 -minute mark of this scene. We hope Richards can tell them who he is by the end of this week as well as hope there is an Angela Basset waiting and yelling to tell him to “tell us who he is”-not just for our fantasy success, but as a statement for seasons to come.

Category Build, Fit, & Impact

Build

  • Primary: Rebounds
  • Secondary: Points, Field-Goal Percentage
  • Auxiliary: Free-Throw Percentage, Blocks
  • Category Class: Synergy-Realist
  • Roster Class: Generalist-specialist (Gsp)

Fit

Averaging 8.5 RPG, Richards thrives against teams that struggle to secure defensive rebounds.

Against Memphis, he should be able to capitalize on their lower rebound control to generate additional opportunities. In contrast, matchups against Houston, Sacramento, and Los Angeles will demand a more disciplined approach, as all three teams rank inside the top 10 in rebounding efficiency.

In these games, Richards will need to focus on boxing out and maintaining strong positioning to remain productive, as sheer rebounding volume may not be as readily available.

Impact

For fantasy managers targeting rebounds, Richards presents a strong early-week streaming option, particularly in his matchup against Memphis.

This game offers the best conditions for securing a high number of boards. While matchups later in the week against Houston, Sacramento, and Los Angeles will limit his upside slightly, his role as a consistent interior presence ensures that he will still contribute.

Fantasy managers should prioritize him in favorable early-week matchups while tempering expectations as the competition stiffens.

Week Overview

  • Total Games: 4
  • Opponents: @MEM, @HOU, SAC, @LAL
  • Average Opponent REB Rank: 8.2

Richards enters Week 21 with a schedule that starts off favorably before transitioning into more challenging rebounding matchups.

Memphis offers his best opportunity to rack up rebounds, as their defensive schemes allow for increased second-chance opportunities. However, Houston, Sacramento, and Los Angeles rank among the league’s best in rebounding efficiency, making those games more difficult for volume-based rebounding production.

Richards’ ability to establish early positioning and maximize every opportunity will be key to his overall fantasy impact this week.

Matchup Grades

DATE OPP OPP REB ALLOWED RANK MATCHUP GRADE GRADE CATEGORY
Mon, Mar 10 @MEM 43.2 12th B Favorable
Matchup
Wed, Mar 12 @HOU 42.9 7th B- Balanced
Matchup
Fri, Mar 14 SAC 42.8 6th B- Balanced
Matchup
Sun, Mar 16 LAL 42.9 8th B- Balanced
Matchup

Final Verdict

Richards’ schedule provides a mix of favorable and challenging rebounding matchups. His best opportunity for high-volume rebounding comes against Memphis, making him a strong play early in the week.

As the competition intensifies against Houston, Sacramento, and Los Angeles, Richards will need to rely more on efficiency rather than sheer volume to maintain his production.

Fantasy managers in need of rebounds should take advantage of his high-upside early matchups, knowing that he remains a reliable presence on the boards throughout the week.

Additional Observation

It is clear that he is poised to breakout; however, this seems like an issue due to a resurrection v. renewal mindset struggle – “Jay – a “resurrection” vs. “renewal” mindset struggle!?” Yes, Phoenix is a symbol of resurrection, but also of renewal. Richards, like the Suns, may be stuck in the cycle of trying to revive rather than redefine himself – a mindset that could be limiting his impact.

“Why is this important?! What’s the Risk?” Well, by not appropriately identifying and responding to which mindset you are operating in, teams could tend to often deploy players the “right” way instead of the “new” way – missing out on untapped potential – as is – what seems to be the case with Richards -his role isn’t structured to reflect that.

Either way, like we mentioned before earlier, and now as we assess hit fit – he’s in position to remind everyone who he is – and if the Suns recognize his value, they may just ride the hot hand and let him shine.

On The Radar

Andre Drummond (C – PHI): 48% Rostered| 7.9 RPG

  • Waiver Priority: Medium-High
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): IND, BKN, @HOU
  • Average OPP REB (Wk. 21): 43.53
  • Average OPP REB Rank (Wk. 21): 11.6
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 7*

Kyle Filipowski (PF, C – UTA): 33% Rostered| 5.3 RPG

  • Waiver Priority: Medium
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): @BOS, @MEM, TOR, @MIN
  • Average OPP REB (Wk. 21): 43.83
  • Average OPP REB Rank (Wk. 21): 13.7
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 8*

*Total Games across recommended ‘Hold Length’

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Blocks

Kel’el Ware (PF, C – MIA): 45% Rostered| 1.1 Blocks Per Game – Rank: 34th

Acquisition Details

  • League Level: Shallow
  • Acquisition Type: Hold-st (Hst)
  • Priority: Medium-High
  • Stream/Hold Period: 3-4 (Weeks)
  • BFC: SpgHst

Last Five Game Stats | Avg. OPP BLK Rank: 16.2

MIN FG% REB BLK STL
27.4 70.8% 11.0 1.8 1.0

*Minimum 25 minutes per game unless otherwise noted

Opening Statement | An Interior Defensive Presence your team can ‘Ware’ with Pride

Kel’el Ware has steadily emerged as a reliable shot-blocking presence, averaging 1.1 blocks per game. His ability to challenge shots at the rim provides valuable defensive impact, making him a strong streaming option in the blocks category.

This week, Ware faces a mix of matchups that will either elevate or suppress his production. His best opportunities come against Memphis and Charlotte – two teams that struggle to avoid interior defense – while matchups against Boston and the Clippers will require a more calculated approach.

Fantasy managers should target Ware in favorable matchups where his defensive skill set is most impactful. While this season has been one of great change for the teams and the league, Ware’s performance on what we now know could’ve been a very ‘hostile’ environment as a rookie is very encouraging. He is a presence the franchise, teammates, fans, and fantasy managers alike can ‘Ware with Pride.’

Category Build, Fit, & Impact

Build

  • Primary: Blocks
  • Secondary: Rebounds, Field-Goal Percentage
  • Auxiliary: Steals, Blocks
  • Category Class: Singular-Realist
  • Roster Class: Specialist-generalist (Spg)

Fit

Averaging 1.1 blocks per game, Ware thrives when given the opportunity to contest shots in high-traffic areas.

Against Memphis and Charlotte, he should be able to disrupt shot attempts and generate strong defensive production. However, against Boston and the Clippers, his ability to record blocks may be tested, as both teams rank among the best in limiting blockable shots. These matchups will demand defensive patience and well-timed contests rather than aggressive rim protection.

Ware’s adaptability will be key in maintaining block production across varying opponent tendencies.

Impact

For fantasy managers targeting blocks, Ware provides a strong streaming option in favorable matchups while offering moderate value in more challenging contests.

His ability to generate shot contests against Charlotte and Memphis makes him a potential standout performer in those games. Meanwhile, matchups against Boston and the Clippers will likely limit his volume, requiring fantasy managers to manage expectations.

Despite the defensive challenges midweek, Ware’s role as a rim protector ensures he remains a viable option, particularly in deeper leagues needing consistent block production.

Week Overview

  • Total Games: 4
  • Opponents: CHA, LAC, BOS, @MEM
  • Average Opponent BLK Rank: 14.5

Ware enters Week 21 with a split shot-blocking outlook, featuring matchups that range from block-friendly contests to more disciplined offensive opponents.

Memphis and Charlotte provide his best opportunities to rack up blocks, as both teams rank in the bottom tier in avoiding rim protection. Meanwhile, Boston and the Clippers, both elite at limiting blocks, present more restrictive conditions that may require Ware to focus on positioning and timing rather than volume.

The week presents a clear opportunity for Ware to capitalize on vulnerable opponents while maintaining a steady defensive presence in tougher games.

Matchup Grades

DATE OPP OPP BLK ALLOWED RANK MATCHUP GRADE GRADE CATEGORY
Mon, Mar 10 CHA B+ 22nd B+ Very Favorable
Matchup
Wed, Mar 12 LAC B 9th B Favorable
Matchup
Fri, Mar 14 BOS C+ 1st C+ Battle-Test
Matchup
Sat, Mar 15 @MEM A- 26th A- Good
Matchup

Final Verdict

Ware’s schedule presents a mix of strong and challenging shot-blocking conditions.

Matchups against Charlotte and Memphis offer him the best chance to exceed his season averages in blocks, making him a must-stream option in those games. However, Boston and the Clippers present structured offenses that may limit his block potential, requiring Ware to rely on positioning rather than sheer volume.

Fantasy managers should prioritize streaming him in his high-upside matchups while tempering expectations in more disciplined contests.

On The Radar

Alex Sarr (PF, C – WAS): 46% Rostered| 1.5 BPG

  • Waiver Priority: Medium-High
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): @TOR, @DET, @DET, @DEN
  • Average OPP BLK (Wk. 21): 5.1
  • Average OPP BLK Rank (Wk. 21): 19.0
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 8*

Donovan Clingan (C – POR): 29% Rostered| 1.5 BPG

  • Waiver Priority: Medium-High
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): @TOR, @DET, @DET, @DEN
  • Average OPP BLK (Wk. 21): 5.4
  • Average OPP BLK Rank (Wk. 21): 23.0
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 7*

*Total Games across recommended ‘Hold Length’

Steals

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (SG, SF – ORL): 15% Rostered| 1.4 Steals Per Game – Rank: 34th

Acquisition Details

  • League Level: Shallow-Deep
  • Acquisition Type: Stream-hold
  • Priority: Medium
  • Stream/Hold Period: 2-3 Weeks (Week-to-Week)
  • BFC: SpSth

Last Five Game Stats | Avg. OPP STL Rank: 16.2

MIN PTS FG% 3PTM STK
33.8 10.4 57.7% 2.6 1.0

*Minimum 25 minutes per game unless otherwise noted

Opening Statement | Uncomfortable Defensive Disruption and ‘Patience of a Pope’

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has cemented himself as a premier perimeter defender, using his instincts and quick hands to disrupt passing lanes and generate turnovers.

Averaging 1.4 steals per game, he enters Week 21 with a schedule that presents prime opportunities against turnover-prone teams while also featuring more structured ball-handling matchups.

His best defensive opportunities come against New Orleans and Minnesota, where his aggressive playstyle should lead to transition opportunities. Meanwhile, Cleveland and Houston pose a more controlled challenge, requiring him to rely on anticipation rather than forced errors.

Pope isn’t new to fantasy, in fact he is quite an asset to have, however in light of all of what has happened the perception may not be as optimistic in light of his body of work. I’d say this though – he is uncomfortable defensive disruption you can appreciate, although it will take the ‘Patience of a Pope’ to realize the return.

Category Build, Fit, & Impact

Build

  • Primary: Steals
  • Secondary: Free-Throw Percentage
  • Auxiliary: Points, Three-Pointers Made
  • Category Class: Singular-Realist
  • Roster Class: Specialist (Sp)

Fit

Averaging 1.4 SPG, Caldwell-Pope thrives against teams that allow increased defensive disruption. Against New Orleans and Minnesota, his aggressive defensive tendencies align well with opponents who struggle to control possessions.

These matchups should allow him to rack up steals through on-ball pressure and intercepting passing lanes. Against Cleveland and Houston, he will need to adjust, as both teams limit live-ball turnovers and prioritize structured offensive sets.

In these games, his ability to read plays and capitalize on subtle defensive opportunities will determine his overall fantasy impact.

Impact

For fantasy managers targeting steals, Caldwell-Pope remains a strong streaming option with a notable early-week upside.

His best performances should come against New Orleans and Minnesota, where he can take advantage of weak ball security to generate additional defensive stats. While Cleveland and Houston present more disciplined matchups, KCP’s defensive instincts and role in Denver’s system ensure he remains fantasy-relevant.

His ability to balance high-risk plays with calculated defensive reads makes him a reliable contributor in steals-focused formats.

Week Overview

  • Total Games: 4
  • Opponents: @HOU, @NOP, @MIN, @CLE
  • Average Opponent STL Rank: 15.5

Caldwell-Pope’s defensive schedule is front-loaded with high-upside matchups before transitioning into more disciplined contests.

New Orleans and Minnesota rank in the bottom half of the league in turnover control, offering a strong setup for KCP to capitalize on defensive lapses and generate takeaways. On the other hand, Cleveland and Houston emphasize ball security, making them tougher matchups for on-ball pressure.

The week’s balance of favorable and challenging contests will test Caldwell-Pope’s ability to adapt his defensive approach to different styles of play.

Matchup Grades

DATE OPP OPP STL ALLOWED RANK MATCHUP GRADE GRADE CATEGORY
Mon, Mar 10 @HOU 8.0 13th B Favorable
Matchup
Thu, Mar 13 @NOP 8.7 20th B+ Very Favorable
Matchup
Fri, Mar 14 @MIN 8.7 21st B+ Very Favorable
Matchup
Sun, Mar 16 @CLE 7.6 8th B- Balanced
Matchup

Final Verdict

Caldwell-Pope’s week is defined by strong steal potential early in the schedule, with New Orleans and Minnesota offering ideal conditions for defensive production.

These games make him a priority start for fantasy managers needing steals. While Cleveland and Houston may limit his opportunities, his defensive role ensures he remains a viable option in deeper leagues.

Managers looking for a defensive boost should prioritize Caldwell-Pope in favorable matchups while tempering expectations in more structured contests.

On The Radar

Alex Caruso (SG, SF – OKC): 49% Rostered| 1.7 SPG

  • Waiver Priority: Medium-High
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): DEN, @BOS, @DET, @MIL
  • Average OPP STL (Wk. 21): 8.2
  • Average OPP STL Rank (Wk. 21): 14.7
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 7*

Brandon Williams (PG – DAL): 17% Rostered| 0.4 SPG

  • Waiver Priority: Medium-High
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): @SAS, @SAS, @HOU, PHI
  • Average OPP STL (Wk. 21): 7.0
  • Average OPP STL Rank (Wk. 21): 12.2
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 6*

*Total Games across recommended ‘Hold Length’

Betting Systems: Find and tail the most profitable bets

Three-Pointers Made

Payton Pritchard (PG, SG – BOS): 53% Rostered | 3.3 Three-Pointers Per Game – Rank: 13th

Acquisition Details

  • League Level: Shallow
  • Acquisition Type: Hold (H)
  • Priority: High
  • Stream/Hold Period: 3-4 Weeks
  • BFC: SpgH

Last Five Game Stats | Avg. OPP 3PTM Rank: 16.00

MIN PTS FG% 3PTM AST
31.4 19.4 60.2 4.8 3,8

*Minimum 25 minutes per game unless otherwise noted

Opening Statement | Unleash the Perimeter Power of the New ‘Playoff-P’

Payton Pritchard has established himself as a reliable deep threat, averaging 3.3 made three-pointers per game.

His ability to find open looks and convert efficiently makes him a valuable asset for fantasy managers targeting threes. This week presents a mix of matchups that could either fuel his shooting volume or require him to be more selective with his attempts.

His best opportunities come against Utah and Miami – two teams that struggle to contain perimeter shooters – while tougher matchups against Brooklyn and Oklahoma City will test his ability to maintain efficiency under defensive pressure.

This guy is built for the back end of the season, and the playoffs. While he wasn’t in the same position last season, he came in strong at pivotal moments to help boost the team to Success in the back end of the season. Now he has been awarded access to his Power.

Unleashing the Perimeter Power of the New ‘Playoff-P’ is going to do wonders not just our fantasy squads but the Celtics as well. If there is a chance you can get him, I’d scoop him up immediately – even if you have to be strategic on how you deploy him.

Category Build, Fit, & Impact

Build

  • Primary: Three-Pointers Made
  • Secondary: Points, Rebounds, Assists
  • Auxiliary: Field-Goal Percentage, Steals
  • Category Class: Synergy-Realist
  • Roster Class: Generalist-specialist (Gsp)

Fit

Averaging 3.3 three-pointers made per game, Pritchard thrives against teams that leave perimeter shooters open.

Against Utah and Miami, he should see plenty of clean looks, as both teams rank in the bottom third in opponent threes allowed. Conversely, Brooklyn and Oklahoma City are more disciplined in contesting shots, meaning Pritchard will need to rely on efficiency rather than sheer shot volume.

His movement-based offensive style will be key in adjusting to different defensive strategies throughout the week.

Impact

For fantasy managers targeting three-pointers made, Pritchard remains a strong streaming option with clear upside in his early-week matchups.

Utah and Miami provide the best conditions for him to maintain or exceed his season average in made threes. While Brooklyn and Oklahoma City may limit his overall attempts, his role as a high-volume shooter ensures he still holds fantasy relevance.

Managers needing three-point production should prioritize streaming him early in the week while maintaining a tempered outlook in tougher contests.

Week Overview

  • Total Games: 4
  • Opponents: UTA, OKC, @MIA, @BKN
  • Average Opponent 3PTM Rank: 17.0

Pritchard enters Week 21 with a schedule that offers both high-volume shooting opportunities and efficiency-dependent contests.

Utah and Miami allow some of the highest three-point volumes in the league, giving Pritchard the freedom to fire away from deep. Meanwhile, Brooklyn and Oklahoma City present more structured defensive schemes, ranking among the best in limiting opponent three-point success.

The week’s success will depend on his ability to take full advantage of early matchups while staying effective in tighter defensive environments later on.

Matchup Grades

DATE OPP OPP 3PM ALLOWED RANK MATCHUP GRADE GRADE CATEGORY
Mon, Mar 10 UTA 14.7 29th A Strong
Matchup
Wed, Mar 12 OKC 12.9 7th B- Balanced
Matchup
Fri, Mar 14 @MIA 13.8 22nd A- Good
Matchup
Sat, Mar 15 @BKN 13.1 10th B Favorable
Matchup

Final Verdict

Pritchard’s schedule presents a strong early-week opportunity for three-point production, with matchups against Utah and Miami favoring high-volume shooting. Fantasy managers in need of three-pointers should confidently start him in these games, as they offer the best chances for elevated shot attempts.

While Brooklyn and Oklahoma City may restrict his overall volume, his ability to maintain efficiency ensures he remains a viable fantasy option.

Pritchard’s role as a perimeter shooter keeps him relevant throughout the week, making him a strong streaming candidate in favorable matchups.

On The Radar

Malik Beasley (SG, SF – DET): 42% Rostered| 4.0 3PM

  • Waiver Priority: High-Low
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): WAS, WAS, OKC
  • Average OPP 3PM (Wk. 21): 13.7
  • Average OPP 3PM Rank (Wk. 21): 20.3
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 7*

Duncan Robinson (SG, SF – MIA): 15% Rostered| 2.5 3PM

  • Waiver Priority: Medium
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): CHA, LAC, BOS, @MEM
  • Average OPP 3PM (Wk. 21): 13.4
  • Average OPP 3PM Rank (Wk. 21): 14.7
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 8*

*Total Games across recommended ‘Hold Length’

Field-Goal Percentage

Zach Collins (PF, C – CHI): 36% Rostered | 49.5% Field-Goal Percentage – Rank: 141st

Acquisition Details

  • League Level: Shallow
  • Acquisition Type: Stream-hold (Sth)
  • Priority: Medium-High
  • Stream/Hold Period: 2-3 Weeks
  • BFC: GspSth

Last Five Game Stats | Avg. OPP FG% Rank: 19.3

MIN PTS FG% REB AST
33.4 18.0 60.4 12.4 3.8

*Minimum 25 minutes per game unless otherwise noted

Opening Statement | Efficiency in Motion as Zach be ‘Collin’ his shot this Week

Zach Collins has been a steady presence in the field-goal percentage category, shooting 49.5% from the field. His ability to finish at the rim and stretch the floor makes him a strong efficiency play in fantasy formats.

This week, Collins has a prime opportunity to capitalize on matchups against defenses that struggle to limit shooting efficiency.

Indiana and Brooklyn rank among the league’s worst in opponent field-goal percentage, offering ideal conditions for Collins to maintain or exceed his season average. Meanwhile, Houston presents a tougher challenge, requiring more selective shot attempts.

This week, his efficiency should be in full motion as Zach is poised to be ‘Collin’ his shot.

Category Build, Fit, & Impact

Build

  • Primary: Field-Goal Percentage
  • Secondary: Rebounds, Points
  • Auxiliary: Steals, Assists, Free-Throw Percentage
  • Category Class: Synergy-Realist
  • Roster Class: Generalist-specialist (Gsp)

Fit

Averaging 49.5% FG, Collins thrives in matchups where he can operate efficiently in the paint and mid-range areas. Against Indiana and Brooklyn, he should find clean looks, as both teams allow elevated shooting percentages.

These matchups offer Collins his best chance to sustain or improve his FG% this week. Against Houston, however, he will need to be more selective, as the Rockets’ defensive system effectively contests high-percentage attempts.

His ability to adapt and find quality shots will be critical in tougher matchups.

Impact

For fantasy managers targeting field-goal percentage, Collins remains a strong streaming option early in the week.

His matchups against Indiana and Brooklyn provide the best environment for efficiency, while Houston may present a more restrictive setting. Even in tougher matchups, Collins’ role in Chicago’s offense ensures he remains a viable contributor.

Managers should look to maximize his value in favorable matchups while adjusting expectations against stronger defensive teams.

Week Overview

  • Total Games: 3
  • Opponents: IND, BKN, @HOU
  • Average Opponent FG% Rank: 19.3

Collins enters Week 21 with a schedule that leans toward high-efficiency opportunities early in the week, followed by a more challenging matchup.

Indiana and Brooklyn rank among the bottom five in opponent FG%, creating a favorable environment for Collins to convert high-percentage shots. In contrast, Houston ranks among the top five in contesting shots and limiting efficiency, meaning Collins will need to adjust his offensive approach.

His ability to take full advantage of early opportunities will be key to his overall fantasy impact.

Matchup Grades

DATE OPP OPP FG% ALLOWED RANK MATCHUP GRADE GRADE CATEGORY
Mon, Mar 10 IND 47.5% 26th A Strong
Matchup
Thu, Mar 13 BKN 48.0% 27th A- Good
Matchup
Sat, Mar 15 @HOU 45.5% 5th B- Balanced
Matchup

Final Verdict

Collins’ schedule offers strong efficiency potential early in the week, with matchups against Indiana and Brooklyn providing his best opportunity to maintain or exceed his season averages.

His ability to capitalize on these games makes him a priority play for FG%. While Houston presents a more challenging defensive environment, Collins’ offensive versatility should still allow him to remain fantasy-relevant.

Managers should deploy him strategically, taking full advantage of his high-percentage matchups while managing expectations in tougher contests.

On The Radar

Kelly Olynyk (PF, C – NOP): 25% Rostered| 48.3% FG%

  • Waiver Priority: Medium
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): LAC, ORL, @SAS
  • Average OPP FG% (Wk. 21): 46.6%
  • Average OPP FG% Rank (Wk. 21): 16.6
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 7*

Aaron Nesmith (SF, PF – IND): 24% Rostered| 49.8% FG%

  • Waiver Priority: Medium-High
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): @CHI, MIL, @PHI, @MIL
  • Average OPP FG% (Wk. 21): 46.6%
  • Average OPP FG% Rank (Wk. 21): 14.2
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 8*

*Total Games across recommended ‘Hold Length’

NBA DFS Lineup Optimizer

Free-Throw Percentage

De’Andre Hunter (SF, PF – CLE): 42% Rostered | 85.8 Free-Throw Percentage – Rank: 104th

Acquisition Details

  • League Level: Shallow
  • Acquisition Type: Hold-stream (Hst)
  • Priority: High-Medium
  • Stream/Hold Period: 2-3 Weeks
  • BFC: SpgHst

Last Five Game Stats | Avg. OPP FT% Rank: 15.4

MIN PTS FG% FT% REB
27.6 17.6 58.3 85.7 5.8

*Minimum 25 minutes per game unless otherwise noted

Opening Statement | The Hunt to be Champion is Steady and Stable from the Line

De’Andre Hunter has been a steady presence at the free-throw line, converting 85.8% of his attempts this season.

His Week 21 schedule presents matchups that emphasize stability over volatility, offering him the opportunity to maintain his efficiency rather than drastically increase his volume. Brooklyn provides the best setting for Hunter to sustain his free-throw production, while structured defenses like Memphis and Orlando may slightly limit his attempts.

For fantasy managers needing a reliable FT% contributor, Hunter remains a strong option for consistency throughout the week.

Category Build, Fit, & Impact

Build

  • Primary: Free-Throw Percentage
  • Secondary: Points, Rebounds
  • Auxiliary: Field-Goal Percentage, Steals
  • Category Class: Synergy-Realist
  • Roster Class: Specialist-generalist (Spg)

Fit

Hunter’s 85.8% free-throw percentage makes him a dependable efficiency option in matchups that provide steady opportunities at the line.

Against Brooklyn, he should have a stable number of trips to the stripe, as their defense does not aggressively limit opponent free throws. Against Memphis and Orlando, his volume may dip slightly due to their disciplined defensive approach, but these teams should not significantly impact his efficiency.

His ability to convert at a high rate ensures that even in lower-volume matchups, he remains a fantasy asset.

Impact

For fantasy managers targeting free-throw percentage, Hunter offers a low-risk, high-efficiency option.

His best performance should come against Brooklyn, where his free-throw volume should hold steady, while matchups against Memphis and Orlando present a more neutral outlook.

Managers looking to maintain category stability should view Hunter as a reliable contributor who can provide consistent FT% value without major swings in production.

Week Overview

  • Total Games: 3
  • Opponents: BKN. @MEM, ORL
  • Average Opponent FT% Rank: 6.0

Hunter enters Week 21 with a schedule that supports his role as a high-efficiency free-throw shooter. Brooklyn (77.7 OppFT%) offers the most favorable conditions, allowing a moderate number of free-throw attempts without heavy defensive pressure.

Meanwhile, Memphis (76.0 OppFT%) and Orlando (76.9 OppFT%) rank among the league’s best in limiting opponent free-throw efficiency, making them slightly more restrictive matchups.

While these games may not provide an increase in volume, Hunter’s accuracy ensures he remains a valuable contributor to the category.

Matchup Grades

DATE OPP OPP FT% ALLOWED RANK MATCHUP GRADE GRADE CATEGORY
Tue, Mar 11 BKN 77.7% 12th B Favorable Matchup
Fri, Mar 14 @MEM 76.0% 2nd B- Balanced Matchup
Sun, Mar 16 ORL 76.9% 4th B- Balanced Matchup

Final Verdict

Hunter’s Week 21 schedule supports a stable free-throw percentage floor, with Brooklyn providing the most favorable conditions for maintaining his efficiency. While Memphis and Orlando may slightly limit his attempts, his elite conversion rate ensures he remains a strong play in FT% leagues.

Fantasy managers seeking a dependable free-throw presence can confidently start Hunter, knowing his efficiency will remain intact throughout the week.

On The Radar

Matas Buzelis (SF, PF – CHI): 20% Rostered | 84.1 FT%

  • Waiver Priority: Medium
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): IND, BKN, @HOU
  • Average OPP FT% (Wk. 21): 76.8%
  • Average OPP FT% Rank (Wk. 21): 8.6
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 7*

Bennedict Mathurin (SG, SF – IND): 40% Rostered | 82.6 FT%

  • Waiver Priority: Medium-High
  • Opponents (Wk. 21): @CHI, MIL, @PHI, @MIL
  • Average OPP FT% (Wk. 21): 79.3%
  • Average OPP FT% Rank (Wk. 21): 24.5
  • Hold Length: Weeks 21-22
  • Number of Games Total Games: 8*

*Total Games across recommended ‘Hold Length’

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