Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate has seven games starting at 6:45 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel. The suggested pick ’em choices from Sleeper and Underdog are from the seven-game slate.
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Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Jacob deGrom (TEX) at NYY
Jacob deGrom has a challenging matchup tonight. According to FanGraphs, the Yankees are first in wRC+ (129) with a 22.4 K% versus righties and tied for second in wRC+ (131) with a 20.6 K% at home in 2025.
Fortunately, deGrom is talented enough to tie up even a supremely talented lineup. In nine starts spanning 51 innings this season, deGrom has the following stats.
- 2.29 ERA
- 2.84 xERA
- 3.29 xFIP
- 3.23 SIERA
- 0.98 WHIP
- Four wins
- Three quality starts
- 5.5 BB%
- 26.6 K%
- 14.7 SwStr%
- 30.7 CSW%
- 107 stuff+
- 116 location+
- 126 pitching+
The veteran righty is spinning it this year, and while the Rangers are -105, the game’s total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.
AJ Smith-Shawver (ATL) at WAS
AJ Smith-Shawver’s statistics are all over the place. On the negative side, his 4.90 xERA, 4.00 SIERA, 10.6 BB%, 97 stuff+, 94 location+ and 93 pitching+ in seven starts lasting 38.2 innings this year leave much to be desired. On the positive side, Smith-Shawver also has a 2.33 ERA, 3.74 xFIP, 24.8 K%, 12.4 SwStr% and 29.1 CSW%. So, he strikes out batters at a DFS-friendly clip with stellar plate discipline numbers, and his xFIP is adequate.
The young righty has a mid-pack matchup and favorable betting info tonight. The Nationals are tied for 18th in wRC+ (100) with a 20.8 K% versus righties and tied for 16th in wRC+ (106) with a 22.5 K% at home this year. Thus, the Braves are -162, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.
JP Sears (ATH) vs. LAA
This game’s total of 10.5 runs is slightly alarming for JP Sears. Still, the Athletics are -160, Sears is a decent pitcher and the Angels are hot garbage.
In nine starts spanning 49 innings this season, Sears has a 3.31 ERA, 3.61 xERA, 4.44 xFIP, 4.20 SIERA and 1.10 WHIP. The lefty’s xFIP and SIERA aren’t optimal, but his ERA and xERA aren’t too shabby.
Again, Sears has a mouthwatering matchup. The Angels are 29th in wRC+ (58) with a 28.1 K% versus lefties and tied for 15th in wRC+ (92) with a 26.5 K% on the road this season. Despite the game’s terrifying total, Sears’ matchup is too tantalizing to ignore.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
- Home (Sutter Health Park)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 10.5 Runs/ATH -160
Jack Kochanowicz is a pitch-to-contact hurler with a mediocre walk rate. In nine starts this year, he has a 4.71 ERA, 4.58 xERA, 4.96 xFIP, 5.10 SIERA, 1.47 WHIP, 10.4 BB% and 13.7 K%. His approach hasn’t yielded favorable results, and the Athletics have the firepower to punish him in their hitter-friendly temporary home.
- Home (Coors Field)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 11.5 Runs/COL +195
The Rockies are underdogs at home, and their lineup has many underwhelming hitters. Still, Coors Field is a dreamy venue for offense, and Taijuan Walker is a pitcher to get excited about stacking against. Walker’s 2.54 ERA in six starts is a fluke compared to his 4.72 xFIP. Colorado can expose Walker’s fraudulent ERA tonight.
Core Studs
- Jordan Beck has eight homers, 25 runs, 16 RBIs, five stolen bases, a .319 OBP, .292 ISO, .368 wOBA and 121 wRC+ in 144 plate appearances this season.
- Tyler Soderstrom has 10 homers, 28 runs, 30 RBIs, two stolen bases, a .329 OBP, .212 ISO, .352 wOBA, .379 xwOBA and 130 wRC+ in 207 plate appearances this season.
- Brent Rooker has had a .336 OBP, .238 ISO and 136 wRC+ against right-handed pitching since 2023.
Value Plays/Punts
- Michael Toglia has excelled at Coors Field this year, belting four bombs with seven runs, 13 RBIs, a .333 OBP, .229 ISO, .352 wOBA and 98 wRC+ in 93 plate appearances.
- Ryan McMahon has hit 19 homers with a .335 OBP, .186 ISO and .333 wOBA against righties at home since 2023.
- Hyeseong Kim has hit one homer with nine runs, five RBIs, three stolen bases, a .410 OBP, .108 ISO and 154 wRC+ in 39 plate appearances this season.
Wednesday’s Top 3 Sleeper and Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Ryan McMahon: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Sleeper) (1.88x)
Ryan McMahon: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs – Higher (Underdog)
Toglia has exceeded 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs in 10 of 22 starts at home this year and has a mouthwatering matchup tonight. Walker has surrendered a .347 wOBA to 266 left-handed batters since last season.
Jordan Beck: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Sleeper) (1.83x)
Jordan Beck: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Underdog)
Walker is worse against righties than lefties, yielding 74 hits, a .311 batting average, .576 SLG and .406 wOBA to 264 right-handed batters since last season. Beck can take advantage of the matchup. In 144 plate appearances this season, Beck has 15 singles, six doubles, four triples, eight homers, a .254 batting average, .258 expected batting average (xBA), .546 SLG, .533 expected slugging (xSLG) and .292 ISO.
Tyler Soderstrom: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (Sleeper) (1.78x)
Tyler Soderstrom: 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher (Underdog)
Soderstrom has smashed with the platoon advantage this year. In 160 plate appearances against righties this season, Soderstrom has launched nine homers with a .344 OBP, .246 ISO and 144 wRC+. Conversely, Kochanowicz has allowed a .357 wOBA to 275 left-handed batters since last season.
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.