We’ll have you covered as you prepare for your 2025 dynasty rookie drafts. In order to dominate your dynasty rookie draft, check out our expert consensus dynasty draft rankings. And sync your dynasty league to practice with fast and free dynasty rookie and startup mock drafts. Below, we dive into dynasty draft picks our analysts are lower on compared to our expert consensus rankings.
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Dynasty Draft Advice: Running Backs to Avoid
Undoubtedly, a consensus RB1 in 2025 will be Saquon Barkley after arguably the greatest season we have ever seen from the position. Over 2,000 rushing yards as the only skill player to average more than 20 points per game in half-PPR. He led the NFL in touches with nearly 500…running effectively behind the league’s best OL. But as was the case with Christian McCaffrey last season…leading the NFL in touches by such a vast margin is essentially the kiss of death for running backs the following year. Only two RBs finished as RB1s the following year after leading the NFL in touches since 2013. Ezekiel Elliott is the only one over that period to finish inside the top 5.
– Andrew Erickson
It feels like Groundhog Day all over again – another offseason, another round of analysts fading Kyren Williams. But this year, the concerns are more justified, in the last year of William’s rookie contract. Despite a monster workload in 2024 (nearly 400 touches, 87% snap share, both second to only Saquon Barkley), Williams was wildly inefficient – ranking near the bottom in explosive run rate, missed tackles, and YAC per attempt (akin to Najee Harris‘ numbers in 2024) with fumbles to boot. The Rams spent legit draft capital on Blake Corum in 2023 (who Sean McVay thinks is a stud) and Jarquez Hunter in 2024 (who the Rams traded up for) while publicly embracing the NFL trends of a more committee-driven backfield approach this offseason. Williams could still deliver RB1 numbers on sheer volume alone, but if that volume even slightly dips, it will be tough for him to live up to his ADP.
– Andrew Erickson
Brian Robinson is a solid if unspectacular early-down back. The real appeal is that he plays in an ascendant offense with what should be a pretty good offensive line. Robinson also benefits from playing with QB Jayden Daniels, since mobile QBs tend to boost the efficiency of their running backs. But Robinson doesn’t offer much as a pass catcher — he had 20 receptions in 14 games last year — and will give way to Austin Ekeler on passing downs. And don’t discount the possibility that intriguing seventh-round draft pick Jacorey Croskey-Merritt could threaten B-Rob’s workload.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Tracy Jr. took over as the Giants’ starting back in Week 5 last season and never looked back. Well, he did have some bumps in the road with fumbles. Tracy Jr. finished with the 23rd-most touches among running backs last year, but he was tied for the third-most fumbles at the position. New York decided to address their backfield in the draft with the addition of Cam Skattebo. Skattebo could push Tracy Jr. aside if he’s not careful. Skattebo had four fumbles last year in college. Still, four fumbles scattered across 338 collegiate touches is a different conversation than five with 230 touches last year, which is what happened with Tracy Jr. Tracy Jr. was explosive with his touches last year, ranking 16th in explosive run rate and 20th in missed tackles forced per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). The Giants may roll out a frustrating thunder and lightning committee in 2025, which would be the best-case scenario for Tracy Jr. because I don’t see Skattebo going away.
– Derek Brown
Here are our latest Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings from our consensus of fantasy football experts. You can find the latest Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings and sync your fantasy football league for specific advice.
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