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Dynasty Quarterbacks Experts Avoid (Fantasy Football)

We’ll have you covered as you prepare for your 2025 dynasty drafts. In order to dominate your dynasty draft, check out our expert consensus dynasty draft rankings. And sync your dynasty league to practice with fast and free dynasty mock drafts. Below, we dive into dynasty draft picks our analysts are lower on compared to our expert consensus rankings.

Dynasty Draft Kit 2025

Dynasty Draft Advice: Players to Avoid

Justin Herbert (QB – LAC)

Justin Herbert is widely regarded as an above-average or very good starting QB, but his offensive environment isn’t conducive to big fantasy numbers. Under offensive coordinator Greg Roman, the Chargers had the 10th run-heaviest offense in the league last season. They also operated at the second slowest pace in the league last season. Herbert averaged only 29.6 pass attempts per game and finished the season with 3,870 passing yards, 23 TD passes and only three interceptions. He added 306 rushing yards and two TD runs. WR Ladd McConkey was a revelation as a rookie, the Chargers added promising WR Tre Harris in this year’s draft, and they re-signed veteran slot receiver Keenan Allen in early August. Weaponry shouldn’t be an issue for the talented Herbert, but a run-heavy approach and a sluggish offensive pace will likely keep Herbert from being anything more than an average fantasy quarterback.
– Pat Fitzmaurice

Caleb Williams (QB – CHI)

Let’s call a spade a spade here. Caleb Williams had a VERY tough rookie season. The ballyhooed savior of the Windy City didn’t exactly have the start to his career that many people hoped for and hyped. Williams was the QB21 in fantasy points per game, which was aided greatly by his legs (seventh in rushing yards among quarterbacks). Williams was the QB12 in expected fantasy points per game, so the disappointment was very real. When we discuss what he did as a passer, the true tragedy becomes apparent. Last year, among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, Williams ranked 34th in yards per attempt, 24th in CPOE, and 26th in highly accurate throw rate (per Fantasy Points Data). Williams had the ninth-highest off-target rate and the second-lowest catchable target rate (only Anthony Richardson was worse). The Bears have added a TON of personnel to help Williams find his footing in year two with offensive line upgrades, a strong play-caller (Ben Johnson), and the additions of Luther Burden and Colston Loveland. I do believe Williams will take a step forward, but the real question is how much. Williams is best viewed as a dice roll QB2.
– Derek Brown

Kyler Murray (QB – ARI)

Kyler Murray finished as the QB12 in fantasy points per game last year with 18.1 points per game. He has settled into this realm over the last three seasons with 18.1-18.9 points per game. Rushing was still a big part of his production, as he ranked fourth in rushing yards and seventh in rushing touchdowns among quarterbacks. Murray is the epitome of “better in best ball than redraft.” If you had him on any of your teams last year, you perfectly understood the frustration with rostering Murray that his QB12 finish doesn’t explain. Last year, he had five top-five weekly finishes, with an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game. Sandwiched around those week-winning performances were nine weeks where he was the QB15 or lower in weekly scoring. Murray is a player where you know the ceiling outcome exists weekly, but you see it so infrequently that you can never be sure when to plug him into a lineup. His passing numbers were nothing to write home about last year. Among 40 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranked 20th in yards per attempt and highly accurate throw rate, 18th in CPOE, and 16th in passer rating (per Fantasy Points Data).
– Derek Brown

Here are our latest Dynasty Draft Rankings from our consensus of fantasy football experts. You can find the latest Dynasty Draft Rankings and sync your fantasy football league for specific advice.

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