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Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: WR Busts (2025)

Get ready for your fantasy football draft with our fantasy football draft day cheat sheets. Our analysts dive into their favorite fantasy football draft targets and sleepers, as well as overvalued players and busts they’re avoiding in drafts. Let us help you prepare for your fantasy football draft with our cheat sheets! And use our Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet Creator to create your cheat sheet using our expert rankings, notes, and player tags.

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    Erickson’s Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet

    Wide Receiver Busts

    Tyreek Hill was a mega bust in 2024, but so much of his poor performance can be placed on the injury to Tua Tagovailoa. Now, admittedly, even when Tua was healthy, Hill still underperformed vs. draft expectations. In those 11 games with his southpaw starting QB, Hill went over 100 yards twice, averaging 12.4 fantasy points per game (WR18). He had a wrist injury that he dealt with from Week 1 and his yards per route run cratered to a 1.75 mark – less than half of his 2023 yards per route run. Not to mention, the Cheetah just turned 31 years old, suggesting the age cliff might be near. And let’s not forget Hill’s outburst at the end of the 2024 season, which could lead to Miami moving on from the veteran WR.

    D.J. Moore wrapped up 2024 as the WR16 in total points but just WR32 in points per game (11.1), delivering 98 catches for 966 yards and 6 TDs in a dysfunctional Bears offense. He posted a career-low 1.44 yards per route run and a 25% bust rate – one of the highest among top-24 WRs. With Keenan Allen gone but rookies Luther Burden and Colston Loveland added, Moore may face more target competition than expected. Under new HC Ben Johnson and Year 2 Caleb Williams, the offense should improve, but Moore’s week-to-week volatility and lack of consistent top-15 season-long finishes make him more of a boom/bust WR2 than a reliable option. There may be better value elsewhere in the Bears’ passing game.

    Brandon Aiyuk’s 2024 season unraveled quickly. After a training camp holdout and securing a four-year, $120 million extension, he struggled mightily, averaging just 7.1 fantasy points per game (WR61) with only one game over 50 yards. Things got worse when he tore his ACL and MCL in mid-October, putting his Week 1 status for 2025 in doubt. Given his poor performance after missing time last year, expectations should be tempered early on.

    Jalen McMillan caught fire late in his rookie year, posting five straight games with 51+ receiving yards, racking up 24 catches for 316 yards and 7 touchdowns over that stretch. He earned a 19% target share during that span and looked like a rising star in Tampa Bay’s offense heading into 2025. However, the road ahead is far less clear. With Mike Evans and Chris Godwin both returning – and first-round pick from Ohio State Emeka Egbuka now added to the mix – McMillan faces even steeper competition for targets than he did a season ago.

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