Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Zach Ertz is the TE3 in fantasy points per game. He has a 16.7% target share with 1.34 yards per route run and a 20.9% first-read share. He has spiked touchdowns in both games this season. Las Vegas utilizes zone coverage at the highest rate in the NFL (92.9%). Against zone, Ertz has seen his target share increase to 17.4% with 1.68 yards per route run and a 24% first-read share. The Raiders have allowed the fifth-most yards per reception to tight ends. Ertz is a locked-in TE1.
Juwan Johnson is the TE2 in fantasy points per game while absorbing a massive workload in the Saints’ offense. He has a 25% target share, 1.71 yards per route run (62.5 receiving yards per game), and a 31.5% first-read share. Johnson leads the team with three red zone targets. It has been awesome to see. Seattle has the second-highest two-high rate in the NFL (69.2%). Against two high, Johnson has been the second option in the passing game with a 20% target share and 25% first-read share (both second on the team behind only Chris Olave). Johnson should have another strong game this week against a Seattle defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game and 11th-most receiving yards to tight ends.
Kelce needs to stop dropping touchdowns. Or he could keep dropping them, but he can’t tip them up to the defense. For fantasy purposes, Kelce has been two drops away from being great for fantasy this season. With Rashee Rice and Hollywood Brown both out, Kelce is guaranteed a steady target share. This week, he plays the Giants, who have allowed an average of 455 yards to opponents through two weeks. They have also allowed the ninth most fantasy points to the position this year. I have a feeling Kelce is due for a touchdown this week, and should be started as the clear TE five (maybe four over Laporta) for Week 3.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
