Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate starts at 7:05 p.m. ET at DraftKings and FanDuel and has 12 games. The suggested pick ’em choices from Underdog are also from the 12-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Shane Bieber has pitched well after spending most of the year on the Injured List (IL). According to FanGraphs, in six starts spanning 35.1 innings this season, Bieber has had the following stats.
- 3.57 ERA
- 4.24 xERA
- 3.07 xFIP
- 3.24 SIERA
- 0.96 WHIP
- Three wins
- Three quality starts
- 3.6 BB%
- 24.8 K%
- 12.6 SwStr%
- 30.5 CSW%
- 93 stuff+
- 106 location+
- 102 pitching+
Bieber has a decent matchup and outstanding betting info tonight.
The Rays are tied for 12th in wRC+ (103) with a 22.4 K% versus righties and 26th in wRC+ (89) with a 23.7 K% on the road in 2025. Tampa Bay was also tied for 20th in wRC+ (92) with a 23.9 K% in the previous 30 days. Thus, the Blue Jays are listed as -185 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Quinn Priester is locked in. In his previous four starts spanning 24 innings, Priester has registered the following stats.
- 2.25 ERA
- 2.36 xERA
- 3.30 xFIP
- 3.30 SIERA
- 0.96 WHIP
- Two wins
- Two quality starts
- 4.3 BB%
- 25.5 K%
- 10.6 SwStr%
- 28.7 CSW%
- 99 stuff+
- 103 location+
- 102 pitching+
Priester has a stellar matchup for staying hot, and his betting info is favorable.
The Reds are tied for 20th in wRC+ (97) with a 23.3 K% versus righties and 23rd in wRC+ (92) with a 23.5 K% on the road this year. Cincinnati was also tied for 20th in wRC+ (92) with a 24.9 K% in the previous 30 days. So, the Brewers are -165 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.
Sandy Alcantara is spectacularly punctuating a season that got off to a dreadful start. He’s had the following statistics in his previous five starts spanning 33.2 innings.
- 3.21 ERA
- 3.09 xERA
- 3.49 xFIP
- 3.40 SIERA
- 0.86 WHIP
- Three wins
- Four quality starts
- 4.6 BB%
- 25.2 K%
- 11.2 SwStr%
- 27.5 CSW%
- 110 stuff+
- 106 location+
- 110 pitching+
Alcantara would rank higher if he had a better matchup. Unfortunately, Alcantata has a challenging matchup.
The Mets are first in wRC+ (119) with a 20.9 K% versus righties and tied for sixth in wRC+ (104) with a 21.7 K% on the road this season. The Mets are also fourth in wRC+ (121) with a 23.0 K% in the previous 30 days. The Marlins are +110 underdogs, but the game’s total is an unimposing 8.0 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
German Marquez is a tire fire, even on the road. In 67.1 innings on the road since last year, Marquez has been battered to the tune of a 6.95 ERA, 5.25 xFIP and 1.81 WHIP. Additionally, he’s limping to the finish line, with a 9.89 ERA, 7.75 xERA, 6.44 xFIP, 6.30 SIERA and 1.99 WHIP in his previous five starts. Finally, Colorado’s relievers have the second-highest ERA (5.27) this season.
- Road (Yankee Stadium)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/BAL +120
Will Warren is riding a lucky stretch into tonight, with a 3.76 ERA in his previous five starts. Warren’s 5.98 xERA, 4.67 xFIP and 4.66 SIERA in those starts paint a much uglier picture of the caliber of his pitching lately. Warren is pretty tough on righties, holding them to a .283 wOBA this year. Baltimore’s lefties and switch-hitters are in for a treat, though. Warren has coughed up a .347 wOBA to 382 left-handed batters faced this season.
Core Studs
- Rafael Devers has crushed 25 homers with a .390 OBP, .247 ISO, .382 wOBA and 146 wRC+ in 479 plate appearances against righties this season.
- Gunnar Henderson has amassed a .360 OBP, .246 ISO, .379 wOBA and 148 wRC+ against righties since 2023.
- Matt Chapman has blasted 18 bombs with a .344 OBP, .224 ISO, .348 wOBA and 126 wRC+ in 401 plate appearances against righties this season.
Value Plays/Punts
- Dylan Beavers has hit three dingers with a .406 OBP, .183 ISO, .378 wOBA and 146 wRC+ in 102 plate appearances against righties in his rookie season.
- Heliot Ramos has hit 20 homers with 84 runs, 66 RBIs, six stolen bases, a .330 OBP, .141 ISO, .320 wOBA, .327 xwOBA and 107 wRC+ in 682 plate appearances this year.
- Patrick Bailey has hit four homers with 16 runs, 17 RBIs, one stolen base, a .337 OBP, .197 ISO, .353 wOBA and 130 wRC+ in his previous 83 plate appearances.
Friday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Gunnar Henderson (SS, DH – BAL): 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Henderson has hit 16 homers with 84 runs, 67 RBIs, 29 stolen bases, a .348 OBP, .161 ISO, .338 wOBA, .349 xwOBA and 118 wRC+ in 638 plate appearances this season. Conversely, Warren has ceded a .347 wOBA to 382 left-handed batters this year.
Rafael Devers (1B, 3B, DH – SF): 8.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Devers is in good form. He’s ripped nine round-trippers with 24 runs, 23 RBIs, a .361 OBP, .288 ISO, .379 wOBA, .379 xwOBA and 148 wRC+ in his previous 122 plate appearances. Marquez has yielded a .359 wOBA to 153 left-handed batters on the road this season.
Matt Chapman (3B – SF): 7.5 Fantasy Points – Higher
Chapman is in a groove. He has hit four homers with 19 runs, 15 RBIs, a .346 OBP, .202 ISO, .339 wOBA, .340 xwOBA and 120 wRC+ in his previous 107 plate appearances. Finally, Marquez has coughed up a .425 wOBA to 150 right-handed batters on the road this season.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
