Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
- Waiver Wire Picks
- Weekly Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
- Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Since Week 4, with Jaxson Dart starting, Theo Johnson has finished as the TE14 and TE3 in weekly scoring with three touchdowns leading the charge. Over the last two games, he has a 19.7% target share (tied for the team lead) with 25 receiving yards per game (1.04 yards per route run) and a 26.2% first-read share. Johnson could lead the way in targets this week, but temper expectations against a Philly defense that has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game and receiving yards to tight ends.
DeVonta Smith has had a stronger start to the season than his counterpart (A.J. Brown). Smith is the WR34 in fantasy points per game and has at least 19 PPR points in two of his last three games. He has three deep targets and three red zone looks. Smith has a 21.6% target share while averaging 54.4 receiving yards per game (1.70 yards per route run) with a 27.7% first-read share. The Giants have the sixth-highest single high rate (58.3%). Against single high, Smith has seen his target share dip to 19.4% with 1.30 yards per route run and a 25% first-read share. Those numbers aren’t encouraging, but the matchup is. New York has given up the second-most fantasy points per game and receiving yards per game to slot receivers.
Dart is the QB16 in fantasy points per game, with his rushing ability carrying much of his fantasy production. Dart has averaged 7.5 rushing attempts and 54.5 rushing yards per game. Among 40 qualifying passers, he ranks 39th in yards per attempt and 33rd in highly accurate throw rate, but he also has the sixth-best catchable target rate and the fourth-lowest off-target rate. Dart can post solid QB2 numbers this week because of his legs, but I wouldn’t expect more than that with a tough matchup incoming. Dart has the fourth-highest pressure rate dealing with rushers in his face with 48% of his dropbacks. The Eagles have the 14th-best pressure rate while holding passers to the fourth-lowest yards per attempt, the fifth-lowest passer rating, and the seventh-lowest CPOE.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
