Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Over the last two weeks, Mason Taylor has been a focal point of the Jets’ passing attack as the TE9 in fantasy points per game. Since Week 4, Taylor has a 26% target share, 66 receiving yards per game (1.89 yards per route run), and a 27.8% first-read share. Those are elite usage numbers. Taylor looks primed to continue the hot streak in Week 6. Garrett Wilson will see shadow coverage from Patrick Surtain, which should push Justin Fields to funnel more of the passing offense through Taylor, possibly. Denver has the ninth-highest single high rate (56.8%). Over the last two weeks against single high, Taylor has a 30.8% target share, 2.60 yards per route run, and a 33.3% first-read share. Denver is only 18th in targets faced for tight ends, but they have allowed the seventh-highest yards per reception.
Hunter Henry has been a wonderful draft value for Fantasy GMs this season as the TE8 in fantasy points per game. He ranks first in deep targets and second in red zone targets among tight ends. Henry has an 18.2% target share, 1.88 yards per route run (50 receiving yards per game), and a 20.6% first-read share. He should destroy the Saints this week, who have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game and the ninth-most receiving yards to tight ends.
Juwan Johnson has an 18.8% target share, 1.39 yards per route run (44.2 receiving yards per game), and a 23.1% first-read share. This week, he’ll face a Patriots’ pass defense that has the sixth-highest rate of single-high (60.4%). Against single high, Johnson has a 21.4% target share, 1.58 yards per route run, and a 25% first-read share. Last week, with Taysom Hill and Foster Moreau active, Johnson still retained an 81.3% route share as Hill and Moreau combined to only run six routes. Maybe that changes in the weeks to come, but Johnson should still be viewed as the team’s full-time starting tight end. Johnson is a strong TE1 facing a defense that has allowed the second-most receiving yards and the seventh-most fantasy points per game to tight ends.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
