Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Aaron Rodgers is the QB22 in fantasy points per game with only two QB1 outings this season. One of those games happens to be against Cincy. The last time they met, Rodgers was the QB7 for the week with 249 passing yards, a 67.6% completion rate, 7.3 yards per attempt, and four passing scores. We’ll see if Rodgers can reproduce that type of stat line this week. Among 42 qualifying quarterbacks, Rodgers ranks 27th in yards per attempt, 23rd in passing yards per game, and 22nd in fantasy points per dropback. Among that same sample, he leads the squad with 65.2% of his passing yardage arising from yards after the catch and sits at 40th in aDOT (6.2). He has been a glorified point guard all season. Cincy could allow him to be John Stockton again this week. The Bengals have allowed the most missed tackles and yards after the catch. Since Week 6, Cincy has allowed the sixth-highest passing yards per game and passer rating, the second-highest success rate per dropback, and the third-most passing touchdowns (tied).
It looks like Davis Mills will get another start this week as C.J. Stroud continues to work through the concussion protocol. Last week, Davis Mills exploded as the QB1 in fantasy. He lit Jacksonville up for 292 yards through the air, two passing scores, 20 rushing yards, and a rushing score. Mills had only 6.49 yards per attempt and a 71.1% catchable target rate, but he also had a decent 53.3% highly accurate throw rate and a 6.7% hero throw rate. Mills could flirt with QB1 production again this week. Since Week 6, Tennessee has allowed the third-highest yards per attempt, the sixth-highest CPOE, and the fourth-highest success rate per dropback.
Since Week 6, Brissett has been the QB8 in fantasy points per game. Among 36 qualifying quarterbacks during this span, he has ranked second in passing yards per game, 20th in yards per attempt and highly accurate throw rate, ninth in passing touchdowns (tied), and 26th in catchable target rate. The immense passing volume for Arizona has hidden some per-dropback accuracy issues for Brissett, but he has still been a step up in quarterback play from Kyler Murray. This week, he could easily post another QB1 fantasy performance. Since Week 6, San Francisco has allowed the eighth-most passing yards per game, the tenth-most yards per attempt, the third-most passing touchdowns, and the fifth-highest success rate per dropback.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
