Dynasty Trade Values: Rookie Draft Strategy & Buy/Sell Targets

Dynasty season doesn’t start in August. It starts the moment the fantasy football playoffs end. With new dynasty trade value chart updates in hand, you can attack the market before the community “agrees” on new dynasty trade values.

On the latest episode of The Trade Block (FantasyPros Dynasty Discord show), Ryan Wormeli and Pat Fitzmaurice walked through the updated values by position, highlighted risers and fallers, and discussed how to value 2026 and 2027 rookie picks in offseason deals. The big theme: value changes are rarely about one game; they’re about how the market reacts to narratives (usage, touchdowns, coaching shifts, free agency expectations) and whether you can trade into or out of those narratives early.

Dynasty Trade Advice

Let’s dive into dynasty fantasy football trade advice for January. And check out the entire show below:

What actually moves dynasty value in January?

Early offseason values are shaped by three forces:

  1. Role + scoring profile
    Rushing QBs, goal-line backs, and high-usage target earners hold value better, unless the usage changes.
  2. Free agency and team-building signals
    A player can rise without a new stat line if the market expects a better landing spot (or the team invests around them).
  3. Rookie pick liquidity
    Picks become “currency.” People overpay for certainty, or overpay for the mystery box. Your edge is knowing when to convert picks into production, and when to do the opposite.

Biggest Movers and Storylines (by position)

Quarterbacks: “Tier 1” clarity + the backup who might not stay a backup

Warmly and Fitz framed a fairly clear top tier in superflex, then focused on key shifts:

  • Jalen Hurts trending down from the elite rushing-TD profile (still great, but maybe less “cheat code”).
  • Trevor Lawrence rising after a strong finish and improved organizational support.
  • Malik Willis gaining real dynasty value as a potential 2026 starter, not just a stash.

Full breakdown + trade actions: /dynasty-trade-values-qb

Running backs: Role is king, but the offseason is the role market

The RB market is always volatile, but two key angles stood out:

  • Blake Corum rising into the “high-end handcuff with standalone usage” tier.
  • Breece Hall is a classic “value can jump fast” candidate if he lands in the right offense.
  • Rico Dowdle type profiles can swing back up with a favorable landing spot.

Full breakdown + trade actions: /dynasty-trade-values-rb

Wide receivers: The Luther Burden moment (and how to react)

The receiver conversation was dominated by one name:

  • Luther Burden: elite efficiency signals, elite separation, and a scheme/coach fit that dynasty managers will chase aggressively.

They also touched on:

  • Michael Wilson: whether to treat the breakout as sticky or sellable.
  • The Bears pass-catcher ecosystem — Burden vs Rome Odunze as a real dynasty debate.

Full breakdown + trade actions: /dynasty-trade-values-wr

Tight ends: Bowers vs McBride… and who should be TE3?

At the top, it’s still a two-man tier for many managers:

Then the real dynasty question: who is TE3? Fitz planted his flag on Colston Loveland, with Tyler Warren as a strong alternative in the same range.

Full breakdown + trade actions: /dynasty-trade-values-te

Dynasty rookie draft pick strategy: 2026 vs 2027 picks

The episode emphasized a practical approach:

  • 2026 picks are closer to “cash-like” because managers can already imagine the class and timeline.
  • 2027 picks are more speculative, often undervalued in early winter trades, then overvalued once the community starts talking itself into future classes.

Actionable rule:
If you’re contending, convert distant picks into points when your league’s market is cold on them. If you’re rebuilding, collect 2027 liquidity before hype catches up.

Actionable Buy/Sell Cheat Sheet (from the episode’s key ideas)

Buys (if priced reasonably)

Sells (if the market spikes too hard)

  • Jalen Hurts (if someone still pays “QB2 overall” pricing)
  • Trevor Lawrence (if he jumps into the elite tier price-wise)
  • Luther Burden (if your league is paying WR1 overall-ish prices already)
  • Trey McBride (if someone treats him as clearly equal to Bowers)

Final takeaway: It’s a “two-step” market

January dynasty trading is where you win by being early:

  1. Identify which storylines will move ADP/values by March.
  2. Trade before your league-mates adjust.