No matter how early we are in the offseason, it’s always a good idea to monitor the fantasy football market, checking average draft position to see who is overvalued.
In this article, we’re going to highlight five overvalued wide receivers, using FantasyPros consensus rankings as our baseline.
So, without further ado, find out why I think that Tetairoa McMillan, Garrett Wilson, Jameson Williams, Christian Watson, and DK Metcalf are early overvalued wide receivers right now.
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Fantasy Football Wide Receivers to Target
Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR)
Tetairoa McMillan had a promising rookie season, delivering on the hype as a first-round wideout, putting up 70 catches for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns. That’s the kind of first year that we’ve come to expect from future alpha WR1s. It’s caused many to be excited for what McMillan has in store for his second season.
However, this buzz has pushed McMillan up inside the top-15 wideouts, which makes me feel like he’s a bit overvalued. There are two words why: Bryce Young.
Young has made strides under Dave Canales, but he’s still a game manager. The former first overall pick averaged only 188.2 passing yards per game last season. It’s still a run-heavy offense, so unless Young shows more improvement, it’s hard to justify McMillan’s current cost.
Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ)
We all know that Garrett Wilson is one of the most talented wideouts in the league. The problem is only that he’s been held back by poor quarterback play. However, coming off an injury-plagued season, Wilson is currently overpriced at WR16 in FantasyPros consensus rankings.
The expectation here is that the Jets are going to get an upgrade at quarterback, but who is available that excites you? Fernando Mendoza is the likely first overall pick and Dante Moore went back to college, so the Jets aren’t in position to draft one. Can they sign Malik Willis or trade for Tua Tagovailoa? Sure, but is that enough to push Wilson to WR16?
We need more of a discount to invest in Wilson, especially since the Jets still have Aaron Glenn as head coach, coming off an abysmal first year.
Jameson Williams (WR – DET)
Jameson Williams comes in at WR18 in FantasyPros consensus rankings. I find that to be overvalued, particularly with Dan Campbell’s decision to bring on Drew Petzing as offensive coordinator.
Petzing can help out the running game, but we saw how we misused Marvin Harrison Jr. for the last two seasons, putting him on the perimeter to run clear-out routes, which doesn’t suit his strengths.
It wouldn’t surprise me to see Petzing deploy Williams in a similar fashion, making him too boom-or-bust to pay for at this cost.
Christian Watson (WR – GB)
Christian Watson is WR26 in FantasyPros consensus rankings, which feels like a premium for him. The best way to approach a Packers wideout in Matt LaFleur’s wide receiver-by-committee offense is to just take the cheapest one. This allows you to avoid disappointment.
Yes, Romeo Doubs will likely sign elsewhere, but Jayden Reed will be healthy, and who knows, maybe Matthew Golden can take on an enhanced role.
I just can’t trust Watson at this cost, especially since he’s dealt with injuries throughout his career.
DK Metcalf (WR – PIT)
DK Metcalf isn’t necessarily expensive, currently WR30 in FantasyPros consensus rankings, but this feels like a floor pick. Metcalf hasn’t shown a high ceiling at all in his last few years.
Yes, Mike McCarthy should help out the offense, but Aaron Rodgers is still the quarterback.
Why take Metcalf when I can draft Marvin Harrison Jr. or Rome Odunze later?
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