Josh Shepardson | Mon, Apr 27th 2026, 9:57am EDT

MLB DFS Picks & Underdog Player Props: Monday (4/27)

Monday’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings features seven games, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET. The main slate at FanDuel has six games, starting at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Underdog pick ’em picks are from the seven games.

Monday’s Top MLB DFS Picks & Player Props

Thursday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings (4/27)

Max Fried (SP – NYY) at Texas Rangers

According to FanGraphs, among tonight’s probable starters, Max Fried has the third-lowest ERA (2.40), the lowest xERA (2.29) and the lowest WHIP (0.77) in 2026, and he’s tied for the most wins (three) and the most quality starts (five). Fried also has a 29.3 CSW%, 105 stuff+, 105 location+ and 113 pitching+ in six starts spanning 41.1 innings.

Fried should continue his hot start to the year against a putrid offense. The Rangers are tied for 28th in wRC+ (67) with a 30.2 K% versus lefties and tied for 28th in wRC+ (74) with a 22.7 K% at home in 2026. Thus, the Yankees are -180 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (SP – LAD) vs. Miami Marlins

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has pitched well this year, and he’s a handful for opponents in his home ballpark. In 87.2 innings at home since last year, Yamamoto has a 2.87 ERA, 3.33 xFIP, 1.06 WHIP, 8.3 BB% and 28.2 K%.

His matchup isn’t the easiest. The Marlins are fifth in wRC+ (113) with a 20.5 K% versus righties this year. However, Miami is 15th in wRC+ (95) with a 23.1 K% on the road, and the betting info is desirable for Yamamoto. The Dodgers are -300 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.5 runs.

Matthew Boyd (SP – CHC) at San Diego Padres

Matthew Boyd has a wretched 5.79 ERA in three starts, totaling 14 innings this season. The southpaw’s underlying data is much better. Boyd also has a 3.74 xERA, 1.88 xFIP, 2.02 SIERA, 1.14 WHIP, 39.3 K% and 5.4 BB%. The lefty’s 18.4 SwStr%, 31.8 CSW%, 97 stuff+, 115 location+ and 108 pitching+ also point to better days ahead.

The Padres are 25th in wRC+ (77) with a 22.3 K% versus lefties and 12th in wRC+ (110) with an 18.1 K% at home this season. Therefore, Boyd has a decent matchup. Furthermore, the Cubs are -115 favorites, and the game’s total is 8.0 runs. Boyd is an excellent SP2 in all game types at DraftKings and a viable GPP pick at FanDuel.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

Home (UNIQLO at Dodger Stadium)
Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/LAD -300

Chris Paddack has gotten shelled this year. In five appearances (four starts), Paddack has produced a 6.38 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 1.88 HR/9. The veteran righty’s ERA estimators are much better, but he’s significantly underperformed them throughout his career. Paddack has also coughed up a .343 wOBA to lefties and a .340 wOBA to righties since last season. The Dodgers have elite hitters and a deep lineup of batters who’ve crushed righties since 2024, with eight of the projected starters tallying at least a 103 wRC+ and five logging at least a 130 wRC+.

Road (Petco Park)
Game Total/Moneyline: 8.0 Runs/CHC -115

Randy Vasquez has a sparkling 1.88 ERA in five starts this year, and even his 3.55 xFIP and 3.44 SIERA are rock-solid. Vasquez’s 4.32 xERA is less impressive, and his pitch modeling — 97 stuff+, 101 location+ and 94 pitching+ — doesn’t support his sterling ERA. Seven of Chicago’s projected starters have recorded at least a 102 wRC+ against righties since 2024, with six amassing at least a 110 wRC+ and five rattling off at least a 121 wRC+. Vasquez isn’t necessarily a punching bag anymore, but the Cubs have a talented lineup worth stacking, namely in GPPs.

Core Studs

Shohei Ohtani has hit 85 homers with a .409 OBP, .368 ISO, .439 wOBA and 185 wRC+ in 1,058 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
Max Muncy has drilled 32 dingers with a .399 OBP, .258 ISO, .394 wOBA and 155 wRC+ in 606 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
Ian Happ has recorded 18 runs, seven home runs, 14 RBI, one stolen base, a .350 OBP, .245 ISO, .365 wOBA and 132 wRC+ in 120 plate appearances this season.

Value Plays/Punts

Moises Ballesteros has recorded 11 runs, four homers, 12 RBI, a .446 OBP, .293 ISO, .486 wOBA and 213 wRC+ in 65 plate appearances in 2026.
Michael Busch has hit 51 homers with a .341 OBP, .233 ISO, .356 wOBA and 131 wRC+ in 1,039 plate appearances against righties since 2024.
Hyeseong Kim has tallied seven runs, one homer, seven RBI, five stolen bases, a .404 OBP, .111 ISO, .380 wOBA and 140 wRC+ in 52 plate appearances this season.

Monday’s Top 3 Underdog Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Max Muncy (3B – LAD): 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI — Higher

Muncy has 27 hits, 22 runs, 11 RBI, a .300 batting average, .300 expected batting average (xBA), .394 OBP, .333 ISO, .440 wOBA and 180 wRC+ in 26 games and 104 plate appearances this season. Moreover, he had 15 hits, 11 runs, seven RBI, a .333 batting average, .423 OBP, .400 ISO, .490 wOBA and 215 wRC+ in his last 13 games and 52 plate appearances.

Matthew Boyd (SP – CHC): 2.5 Earned Runs — Lower (0.78x Payout)

Boyd allowed six earned runs in his first start of the season, but he’s allowed only one and two earned runs in two subsequent starts. The southpaw has allowed fewer than 2.5 earned runs in 22 of 34 starts since last year.

Ranger Suarez (SP – BOS): 17.5 Outs — Lower (0.93x Payout)

Ranger Suarez has struggled to pile up outs this year. In five starts, he’s recorded 13, 12, 18, 24 and 14 outs, putting him under 17.5 in three of those turns.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.

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